Week 3 Picks. YTD: 24-14, +7 units

[Deezeldogg]

Well, I went 12-7 in week 2, which is the exact same record as week 1! After week 1, I was +3 units, and now I'm +7. Week 1, I played 4 games for 4 units and went 2-2. Week 2, my only 4 unit game was Penn State, so that really bit me in the ass and blew what coulda been a nice weekend. I think I might try and stay with 2 unit games this week

I'll post some early leans as soon as I check the odds. Hope everyone had a good weekend and good luck this week!

 

[Deezeldogg]

YTD 24-14, +7 units

Early Leans For Week 3:

I'm looking at a lot of games right now. Need to cut the list down, but there are so many good-looking games. Plus, the bug is really biting me! Here's what I like right now, we'll see where the lines go. And of course, I need to do some research. Input is much appreciated so that I can shorten my list. My local guy will go nuts if I play all of these!

BIG PICK: Colo St +3 over Nevada. How the hell is Nevada a favorite????

W. Va -14.5 over Maryland (line moved from 14)
Kansas +5.5 over Toledo (line moved from 5)
Syracuse +3.5 over Illinois (line moved from 3)
Michigan St +2 over Pitt
Kansas St -11.5 over Marshall (line moved from 12)
Vandy +6.5 over Arkansas (line moved from 6)
Akron -2.5 over Cent Mich (line moved from 3)
UAB +17 over Georgia (line moved from 17.5)
East Mich +17 over Northwestern
Temple +41 over Minnesota (line moved from 40)
Oregon -3.5 over Oklahoma
LSU +2.5 over Auburn
W Mich +8.5 over Va. (line moved from 9.5)
Miami +4.5 over Louisville
Baylor +13.5 over Wash St
NCST +2.5 over S Miss
Memphis +1.5 over E Carolina (line moved from even)
Clemson +4.5 over Fl St (line moved from 5)
Tenn +3.5 over Fla
Nebraska +18.5 over USC


TOTALS

I usually like to play the Overs, but there seem to be an awful lot of games in the 50's, so I'm looking at a lot of the Unders.

WVA/Mary Over 46
Duke/Va Tech Over 41.5
Mich St/Pitt Under 50.5
Akron/Cent Mich Under 47.5
Ball St/Purdue Under 55.5
E Mich/Northwestern Under 53.5
Oklahoma/Oregon Under 50
Miami/Louisville Under 54.5
Bose/Wyoming Under 52.5
Mich/ND Under 50.5
Texas Tech.TCU Under 55
Texas/Rice Under 55
Ariz St/Colo Under 52
Clemson/Fl St Under 43.5
Navy/Stanford Under 57.5

 

[gman2]

nevada is the favorite because they are a better team than colorado state. very few teams have had a tougher schedule to open the season than the wolfpack. if this game were played in week one, reno would have been a 5 or 6 point favorite.

 

[Deezeldogg]

I see what you mean Gman. I liked Nevada early to beat Fresno straight up. But with an 0-2 start, I really like Colorado St. to keep it at least close and possibly win straight up/

 

[Deezeldogg]

Well, I've been able to narrow it down a bit. Her's the list with updated lines:


Syracuse +3 over Illinois
Michigan St +2.5 over Pitt
Kansas St -10 over Marshall
Vandy +6 over Arkansas
Akron -2 over Cent Mich
UAB +17 over Georgia
Temple +41.5 over Minnesota
Oregon -4.5 over Oklahoma
LSU +3.5 over Auburn
Miami +4 over Louisville
Baylor +12.5 over Wash St
NCST +2.5 over S Miss
Memphis +1 over E Carolina
Tenn +3 over Fla

TOTALS

Mich St/Pitt Under 50.5
Akron/Cent Mich Under 47.5
Ball St/Purdue Under 55.5
E Mich/Northwestern Under 53.5
Oklahoma/Oregon Under 50
Miami/Louisville Under 54.5
Bose/Wyoming Under 52.5
Mich/ND Under 50.5
Texas Tech.TCU Under 55
Texas/Rice Under 55
Ariz St/Colo Under 52
Clemson/Fl St Under 43.5
Navy/Stanford Under 57.5
ADDED Tenn/Fla under 45.5

SCRATCHED the following:

WVA
Kansas
East Mich
West Mich
Clemson
Colo St
Nebraska
WV/Mary Over
VaTech/Duke Over

 

[Deezeldogg]

Continue to cut the list. I'll play all of the totals, but wanted to cut the sides down to 12.

SCRATCHED:

Syracuse +3 over Illinois
Kansas St -10 over Marshall
Tenn +3 over Fla

These are the 12 I plan to play. I'll update the lines when wagers are posted.

PLAYS (2 units each)

Michigan St +2.5 over Pitt
Vandy +6 over Arkansas
Akron -2 over Cent Mich
UAB +17 over Georgia
Temple +41.5 over Minnesota
Oregon -4.5 over Oklahoma
LSU +3.5 over Auburn
Miami +4 over Louisville
Baylor +12.5 over Wash St
NCST +2.5 over S Miss
Memphis +1 over E Carolina


TOTALS (2 units each)

Mich St/Pitt Under 50.5
Akron/Cent Mich Under 47.5
Ball St/Purdue Under 55.5
Oklahoma/Oregon Under 50
Miami/Louisville Under 54.5
Boise/Wyoming Under 52.5
Mich/ND Under 50.5
Texas Tech/TCU Under 55
Texas/Rice Under 55
Ariz St/Colo Under 52
Clemson/Fl St Under 43.5
Navy/Stanford Under 57.5
Tenn/Fla under 45.5

 

[Deezeldogg]

I lost the 2nd half pick last nite of WV/Mary game. That now makes me 24-15, +5 units on the year. I plan on playing the 25 plays listed in my last post, unless the lines change alot. I will update any changes tomorrow after I make the plays with my local. After listening to my guy Cowherd, I am adding Navy over Standford for 4 units and I am upgrading 2 of his other picks that I had already picked myself--Miami for 4 units, and Oregon for 4 units. I won't use his 4th pick, Cincy, since they are playing my Buckeyes!! Good Luck to all!!

 

[BGFalcon]

You were 24-14 and +7 units. Now you are 25-15 and +5 units. Are you getting no-vig bets?

 

[Deezeldogg]

Sorry, that was a typo, should be 24-15, +5.

 

[Deezeldogg]

And yes, my local is a good friend, so no vig!