Week 3 "plicks"

Jimboski

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Damn, I wrote a long write-up about tonight's game (Illi/So. Fla) late last night, there was a real quick blink on electric power and the bastard disappeared. Too late to re-write and I'm doing something else right now, briefly....

Tonight's game really figures to go UNDER mostly because both teams focus more on a ground based offensive and those games, IMO, tend to go UNDER. Also check this part out:

Fighting Illini
Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games following a bye week.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 non-conference games.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 games in September.

Bulls
Under is 4-0-1 in Bulls last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

...and that's no bull either!

Actually, I don't go by trends like the above, but I DO go for getting 17 pts. in a game that UNDER figures so well. Also look at who each team played AND HOW THEY DID in their last game.

I play 2 and 3-team parlays sometimes and, in those cases, I buy pts. sooo... I got Ili. +17 1/2 tonight. Seems like a dumb thing to do, but it sure paid off last night by moving the 1 pt. (from 14 to 13) for Boise St. :) Doing that keeps parlays alive quite often. I don't think it's a good idea to do that when playing single line plays.

One thing to check out for tonight's game.. . . the Injury Report. I'm not familiar with all the names on that list for Illi and they come out on the short end asfaras injuries go.

Others
I really like the Utes but that line has to make a big move in their favor for me to bite on that game. Also, if there's a team that LUVS to burn my ass whether I'm on them or against them, it's the Panthers.

Lines that look like gifts worry me, but I just had to put in Oklahoma St. -13.
Using Notre Dame - 7 in 1st half and an NFLer (Redskins +125) in parlays.

SIX-FIVE, I don't use the spreadsheet cause it is way too much work for so many college games and I've done pretty good figuring the games I think I can beat last season and starting out very good SO FAR this season. I even took a shot in Week 1, looking for a team I LUV to fade (FAU) and as soon I saw Navy, I didn't check a thing more and put a very large $ (for me, that is, I don't even do 3 figure bets). Yeah, I know about their new couch and the higher expectations for them for this season with decent offensive staters returning. FORGET IT, that team's stinks up the field EVERY year and I've profited quite well fading them.

Hope you are still around here these days.

G.L.
 
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Jimboski

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At half ti I couldn't find this thread?

At half ti I couldn't find this thread?

Found HUMUNGOUS posts by hawkeye, Pee Pee ,and others. Hmmmm. Don't know where the hell I was.

Anyway, found it now and 3rd quarter just started. Thought I'd just post what I tried to get in ....

See VERY little chance for Illi. to do anything positive. What a freakin poor excuse for a football game. Sheesh!

Covered bet with UNDER for the second half'. I bought 25 up to 27 pts. total for 2nd half in an effort to just recoup original bet.

On to bigger and better games for the weekend.
 

Jimboski

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I tried to get on here early this morn..

I tried to get on here early this morn..

FORGET IT! Page wouldn't load.

Mentioned some stuff about yesterday's play; what a fiasco that was. Basically, it said that the cappers that do all the extra work should have CLEANED UP. That is, players who examined the TREES (player vs. player) and not just the FORESTS (teams vs. teams, like me :( ) musta enjoyed that game way more than I did. It was all about them BULLS.

I wanted to add these plays that I put plenty of extra work into; I think almost all of them didn't start. Anyway, here's the plays that I tried to get in here:

Notre Dame first half -7
Okla. St. -13 (had this one in my orig. post)
Minny - 12 1/2
Uconn + 10 1/2
LSU - 6
Iowa UNDER 53

That's it for now, Good Luck, yawl.
 

Jimboski

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Looks like 3 - 2 so far

Looks like 3 - 2 so far

Actually, I'm posting this to get this up to the top of list so I have a chance at finding it next time. I gotta practice finding this thang when it gets buried too deep. I guess "Seach" works?

Big mistake with the half times thingy. UGH! Sometimes the reasoning is that you really like one of the teams and figure it's "safer" to getem real quick-like and while they're fresh before whatever changes things after the first half. Maybe not such a good thing afterall.

Pending:
LSU (not looking to good right now)

Also:
When I couldn't get MJ's loaded real early this morning, I had "for more than 2 units" for the Minny plick. I forgot to add that when I did get in. That game really helped me out.

I used KC Chiefs (NFLer) to my parlay with a live one still pending; got a line of -5 pts. on them. I'm sure there's a NFL player out there someplace.

Good luck for week 4.
 

Jimboski

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Dec 15, 2005
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Florida
Just adding a couple of misc. things

Just adding a couple of misc. things

MOSTLY, Wash (NFLer) will start in about 20 mins. and an outright win will turn my medicre winnings for the weekend into a very nice weekend.

Back to NCAAF:
Ive been working on a side,suplementary thingy for them college games and it is looking REALLY good. I'll be using it along with the regular handicapping for next week's games and I think it's gonna improve the results.

Since I mix parlays with my plays and bet different amounts on each kind of play, I don't post my records. I just see how the ole bankaroo is doing. I will mention teams that I think are the "bestest of the bets" when I post games though.

Really looking forward to next Sat. G.L.
 
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