Damn, I wrote a long write-up about tonight's game (Illi/So. Fla) late last night, there was a real quick blink on electric power and the bastard disappeared. Too late to re-write and I'm doing something else right now, briefly....
Tonight's game really figures to go UNDER mostly because both teams focus more on a ground based offensive and those games, IMO, tend to go UNDER. Also check this part out:
Fighting Illini
Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games following a bye week.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 non-conference games.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 games in September.
Bulls
Under is 4-0-1 in Bulls last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
...and that's no bull either!
Actually, I don't go by trends like the above, but I DO go for getting 17 pts. in a game that UNDER figures so well. Also look at who each team played AND HOW THEY DID in their last game.
I play 2 and 3-team parlays sometimes and, in those cases, I buy pts. sooo... I got Ili. +17 1/2 tonight. Seems like a dumb thing to do, but it sure paid off last night by moving the 1 pt. (from 14 to 13) for Boise St.
Doing that keeps parlays alive quite often. I don't think it's a good idea to do that when playing single line plays.
One thing to check out for tonight's game.. . . the Injury Report. I'm not familiar with all the names on that list for Illi and they come out on the short end asfaras injuries go.
Others
I really like the Utes but that line has to make a big move in their favor for me to bite on that game. Also, if there's a team that LUVS to burn my ass whether I'm on them or against them, it's the Panthers.
Lines that look like gifts worry me, but I just had to put in Oklahoma St. -13.
Using Notre Dame - 7 in 1st half and an NFLer (Redskins +125) in parlays.
SIX-FIVE, I don't use the spreadsheet cause it is way too much work for so many college games and I've done pretty good figuring the games I think I can beat last season and starting out very good SO FAR this season. I even took a shot in Week 1, looking for a team I LUV to fade (FAU) and as soon I saw Navy, I didn't check a thing more and put a very large $ (for me, that is, I don't even do 3 figure bets). Yeah, I know about their new couch and the higher expectations for them for this season with decent offensive staters returning. FORGET IT, that team's stinks up the field EVERY year and I've profited quite well fading them.
Hope you are still around here these days.
G.L.
Tonight's game really figures to go UNDER mostly because both teams focus more on a ground based offensive and those games, IMO, tend to go UNDER. Also check this part out:
Fighting Illini
Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games following a bye week.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 non-conference games.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 games in September.
Bulls
Under is 4-0-1 in Bulls last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
...and that's no bull either!
Actually, I don't go by trends like the above, but I DO go for getting 17 pts. in a game that UNDER figures so well. Also look at who each team played AND HOW THEY DID in their last game.
I play 2 and 3-team parlays sometimes and, in those cases, I buy pts. sooo... I got Ili. +17 1/2 tonight. Seems like a dumb thing to do, but it sure paid off last night by moving the 1 pt. (from 14 to 13) for Boise St.
One thing to check out for tonight's game.. . . the Injury Report. I'm not familiar with all the names on that list for Illi and they come out on the short end asfaras injuries go.
Others
I really like the Utes but that line has to make a big move in their favor for me to bite on that game. Also, if there's a team that LUVS to burn my ass whether I'm on them or against them, it's the Panthers.
Lines that look like gifts worry me, but I just had to put in Oklahoma St. -13.
Using Notre Dame - 7 in 1st half and an NFLer (Redskins +125) in parlays.
SIX-FIVE, I don't use the spreadsheet cause it is way too much work for so many college games and I've done pretty good figuring the games I think I can beat last season and starting out very good SO FAR this season. I even took a shot in Week 1, looking for a team I LUV to fade (FAU) and as soon I saw Navy, I didn't check a thing more and put a very large $ (for me, that is, I don't even do 3 figure bets). Yeah, I know about their new couch and the higher expectations for them for this season with decent offensive staters returning. FORGET IT, that team's stinks up the field EVERY year and I've profited quite well fading them.
Hope you are still around here these days.
G.L.
Last edited: