Recap of Week 2:
The systems ended the week at 13-9 (with two no-plays). The original post has been updated... green teams covered, red teams didn't, gray teams were no plays.
The week's biggest play (Jacksonville - 4 systems), won.
....
If you don't count plays when systems oppose each other, the systems went 11-5. If you consider one Jets play to cancel out only one San Diego play, then call it 11-7.
Onward to Week 3:
Note: To simplify the record-keeping, I am going to leave the long-term records of all systems unchanged until the end of the year, and state what the '04 record is of each system immediately after the long-term record. This way it's easier to tell which systems have been working this year.
∙ Systems with an asterisk (*) are considered more reliable.
This week's big play: Detroit
System #3 - Play on a home dog if they won their last game outright, and their opponent was at home last week (90-44-6, 67.2% since '90). (1-1 in '04)
Play on: Cincinnati
System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Seattle
System #5 - Play on the home team when both teams have won 2 straight SU (74-47-2, 61.2% since '89). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Detroit
System #9 - Play on the home dog on Monday Night football (58-36, 61.7% since '83). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Washington (ONLY if they become the underdog)
System #12 - Play on a Monday Night home team that was on the road last week if their opponent was at home last week (84-46-2, 64.6% since '80). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Washington
System #13 - Play on a Monday Night home team whose opponent won it's last game SU @ home (60-34-2, 63.8% since '85). (1-0 in '04)
Play on: Washington
*System #14 - Play on any home dog of 3 pts if the total is 37 or less (31-19, 62.7% since 1983). (0-1 in '04)
Play on: Cincinnati
*System #16 - Play against a team that won but failed to cover last week, and is favored again this week. (29-5, 85.3% since start of '02, including 15-4, 78.9% when the team in question was favored on the road). (0-1 in '04) **updated**
Play on: Tampa Bay
*System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 67-102-5, 60.4% Unders --- O/U 32-52-3, 61.9% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game). (1-1 in '04) **updated**
Play the UNDER on: Pitt/Mia, Clev/NYG, Hou/KC, Chi/Minn, SF/Sea
*System #23 - Play against an undefeated road favorite, (12-3 ATS, 80%) (2-3 in '04) **updated**
Play on: Detroit
System #24 - Play on the home underdog when both teams have winning records, or both teams have losing records (~70% since ???) (1-1 in '04)
Play on: Detroit
*System #37 - Play on a road team that has a bye the following week (19-8-1, 70.4% since '02). (4-0 in '0-4) **updated**
Play on: Dallas
============================
Systems in conflict:
Two systems (with a possibility of a third) are on Washington; one system is on Dallas. Other than that, no conflicts.
The systems ended the week at 13-9 (with two no-plays). The original post has been updated... green teams covered, red teams didn't, gray teams were no plays.
The week's biggest play (Jacksonville - 4 systems), won.
....
If you don't count plays when systems oppose each other, the systems went 11-5. If you consider one Jets play to cancel out only one San Diego play, then call it 11-7.
Onward to Week 3:
Note: To simplify the record-keeping, I am going to leave the long-term records of all systems unchanged until the end of the year, and state what the '04 record is of each system immediately after the long-term record. This way it's easier to tell which systems have been working this year.
∙ Systems with an asterisk (*) are considered more reliable.
This week's big play: Detroit
System #3 - Play on a home dog if they won their last game outright, and their opponent was at home last week (90-44-6, 67.2% since '90). (1-1 in '04)
Play on: Cincinnati
System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Seattle
System #5 - Play on the home team when both teams have won 2 straight SU (74-47-2, 61.2% since '89). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Detroit
System #9 - Play on the home dog on Monday Night football (58-36, 61.7% since '83). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Washington (ONLY if they become the underdog)
System #12 - Play on a Monday Night home team that was on the road last week if their opponent was at home last week (84-46-2, 64.6% since '80). (No plays yet in '04)
Play on: Washington
System #13 - Play on a Monday Night home team whose opponent won it's last game SU @ home (60-34-2, 63.8% since '85). (1-0 in '04)
Play on: Washington
*System #14 - Play on any home dog of 3 pts if the total is 37 or less (31-19, 62.7% since 1983). (0-1 in '04)
Play on: Cincinnati
*System #16 - Play against a team that won but failed to cover last week, and is favored again this week. (29-5, 85.3% since start of '02, including 15-4, 78.9% when the team in question was favored on the road). (0-1 in '04) **updated**
Play on: Tampa Bay
*System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 67-102-5, 60.4% Unders --- O/U 32-52-3, 61.9% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game). (1-1 in '04) **updated**
Play the UNDER on: Pitt/Mia, Clev/NYG, Hou/KC, Chi/Minn, SF/Sea
*System #23 - Play against an undefeated road favorite, (12-3 ATS, 80%) (2-3 in '04) **updated**
Play on: Detroit
System #24 - Play on the home underdog when both teams have winning records, or both teams have losing records (~70% since ???) (1-1 in '04)
Play on: Detroit
*System #37 - Play on a road team that has a bye the following week (19-8-1, 70.4% since '02). (4-0 in '0-4) **updated**
Play on: Dallas
============================
Systems in conflict:
Two systems (with a possibility of a third) are on Washington; one system is on Dallas. Other than that, no conflicts.
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