- WEEK 3 -

[the addict]

week 1- 3-2
week 2- 5-1

YTD TOTAL 8-3



playing one right now....love this play....GREENBAY absolutley rolls in this game...

im sure a lot of the "sharps" will be on seattle....and i usually am the first one who would play seatltle with a line like this...

but i dont care about anything else..

Aaron Rodgers and Co. are 1-1

Russell wilson and Co. are 1-1

only one team leaves 2-1 after playing on primetime....are you willing to bet on russel wilson???? I love the kid, but im not...

ill take the former superbowl champs....who according to most are "old and not the bully on the block anymore".......i disagree...i still think they are the favorite...


if they lose im sure ill be hearing about it after the strong opinion, but i love this game...

seattle whooped on on dallas...at home....where everyone knows it impossible to go there and play well...

remember NYG last year? absolutley murdered seattle at home after seattle had a couple nice games....same thing here....simply a better team has them overmatched...


GL




PLAYS:

GREENBAY ML

COLTS ML LOSS

OAKY +4.5 WIN

CHARGERS UNDER 48 WIN

PHILLY ML LOSS :sadwave: :facepalm:

SAINTS UNDER 52.5 WIN

7 PT TEASER WIN

DALLAS -1
JETS +6


7 PT TEASER

NYGMEN +10 WIN
NYGMEN OVER 42

 

[the addict]

LEANS in everygame if I had to choose now:



TOOK EM DOWN...HAD AN EMAIL ASKING IF I PLAYED ALL OF THEM. DIDNT WANNA CONFUSE ANYONE....SORRY...THATS WHY I SAID LEANS HAHA :mj07:

 

[the addict]

just locked it in...


changed it tho....fuck the points....reduce the risk as KOD would say...




took GREENBAY ML

 

[the addict]

hopin to get LUCKy again...



takin da colts

took em last week as well...think andrew luck and CO. finish above .500 this year...


ADDING:

COLTS ML

 

[the addict]

ADDING:

OAKY +4.5

 

[the addict]

ok...

little more juice then usual on big plays...usually always play bigguns with -115 or -120

but




LOVE THIS and wanan reduce the risk...fuck laying the field goal

GL



BIG PLAY NFL


ADDING:

PHILLLY ML

 

[baby johnson]

best of luck my man, you may need some

 

[Jord20]

I have to think about that Packers play. I live your thinking though. Good luck as always

 

[the addict]

Thanks guys...

Usually greenbay and philly would be the last games I looked at....what the public sees as "inferior" teams only getting a fieldgoal vs "dreamteams" and superbowl champs....

But I think these lines r more a reflection of what the teams really are.....seattle is a good team at home and 99% of the time, they are always a team to consider at home....not this week I just don't feel it....greenbay has a chip on their shoulder...they roll..


As far as the biggie, I se the same....zona has a 2-0 record and just beat newengland and now get to come home....many of times, a solid defense gettin points at home, would be a team to consider....not this week....philly has looked bad this year for the majority of 8 quarters, and some would say are lucky to be 2-0 and not 0-2.....

Like I said, I don't think trap lines here...just accurate lines....if these were different weeks of year, may not even think about em...

But greenbay, and philly each have a lot to prove, and this is a good week to do it playing a rookie qb and a team who doesn't know who their qb is.....zona and seattle have great defenses, but philly and greenbay will score on anyone....seattle and zona won't be able to bring enough points to the table...


Ahhh if this loses I will hear about it, but I like the value....

 

[the addict]

man philly Oline is dinged up....shoulda considered that more...still lovin it...




tonite, feelin nice...


GL


PLAY:


GMEN +10
GMEN OVER 42


roughly 1 to win .8


LOVE THIS TEASER

 

[trolln4walii]

Good Luck this week my friend :toast: Love the teaser tonight and the Pack and Colts on Sunday :0074

 

[the addict]

Good Luck this week my friend :toast: Love the teaser tonight and the Pack and Colts on Sunday :0074

woooow did we just get lucky there on a muffed punt...

thank T4W....hope ya cashed as well....


pack and colts lets get it...:toast:


9-3 YTD

 

[the addict]

Maclin out....fuck me....eagles r very dinged up....

 

[the addict]

ADDING:

SANDIEGO UNDER 48

 

[bleedingpurple]

I cannot find it in my heart to wager on Green Bay, I have in the past but will be watching with my buds. It won't be any fun if I'm cheering with them!

 

[the addict]

I cannot find it in my heart to wager on Green Bay, I have in the past but will be watching with my buds. It won't be any fun if I'm cheering with them!

i understand bp


I usually never wager on steeler games unless its against them....hate rooting for em around my brother...we watch all games together usually...




man, I am really considering picking up your vikings D in fantasy

GL

 

[the addict]

teaser

Dallas -1
Jets +6

About 1 to win .85



Absolutley love this...play this for all u got...

Not makin it a big play cause I have a lot already tied up in nfl, but that may change by tommorow if tonite finishes ok...

 

[Zamo]

Hey Addict!! Just checked out your thread and saw your opinion on GB!! :0074 :0074 :0074

I am with you man 100% on the EXAXT same line of reasoning!! LAst night I made this my first 3X unit wager of the season!!

Let's cash it!!!

 

[imawinner21]

oak

oak

Hi was wondering if you can tell me why you like the points with oak? there cbs are injured and not great to begin with.

 

[the addict]

Hi was wondering if you can tell me why you like the points with oak? there cbs are injured and not great to begin with.

Lot of it has to do with the line being where it is....Pittsburgh is one of the heaviest bet teams in the entire league, and seeing them only laying a fieldgoal at some places, to a terrible oakland team who just got crushed by the dolphins, really makes me question this line...

If this line was 6-9 I wouldnt even probably look at it....but the low number was literally the first number that caught my eye this week....it screams TAKE PITTSBURGH FOR FREE MONEY

OAKY 0-2 and just got crushed by TANNENHILL

PITT 1-1 and just crushed the NY FUCKIN JETS

people are very high on pitt right now and all the time, and people are very very low on oakland right now....pitt will get pounded at this number..


The biggest thing for me however: NO TROY AND NO HARRISON

I look at pittsburgh...I am a local of Pitt, so I see all of their games....their Defense is not nearly what it was...their secondary is average at best...the flyin hawaaiin makes them look better at times....With no troy, they are in trouble...cortez allen, the starting corner opposite of ike taylor, is not good....

Troy and James are literally the worst two people this defensive unit could of lost....so bad for them...

Along with that, their RB situation isnt great right now with mendenhall being out, and we all now when ben has to throw 40 times a game, he is prone to make some very dumb mistakes...


then I look at oakland...

Carson Palmer has played this steelers team...A LOT

he knows their tendencies and their schemes...he will be able to pick their depleted secondary apart I think, and really take advantage of not having #43 lurking all over the field...

D. Moore has fully recovered now, and is a very underrated WR...Heyward-bey is fast as anyone in the league, and steelers can be vulnerable to the deep ball...

Mostly with oakland, I think D. Mcfadden is going to run wild.....pitt hasnt allowed a RB to have a catch yet, but that will change...He is so explosive when hitting holes, and pittsburgh aggressive Defense I think will get them in trouble at times when he sees an opening.......





Disclaimer: Everytime I make a big write-up, I am usually way off, and make myself look stupid, so you shuold prolbably take the steeelers, that way tommorow you can come back in here and :lol:


GL with whatever you do