YTD: 14-9-2
Well, the dogs sure have dominated to begin this week, spending only about three minutes of game clock not covering the spread in those mid week games.
Will see if it keeps up today. Here's what I like early:
Ohio +11.5 over Northwestern. This line seems way too high, perhaps the result of having an 0-3 team, OU, playing a 3-0 team, Northwestern. OU acquitted themselves very well in back to back near miss upsets over Ohio State and MAC favorite CMU. In both games, I really liked the OU attack and they seem to have that running game going hitting for over 145 yards in each. Nortwestern, meanwhile, has allowed an averageof 150 yards on the ground in their two games against fellow FBS schools. Even lowly Syracuse churned out 122. OU managed 4.7 per carry against Ohio State, so I think they can move on this Big 10 team. Their running game is unique and hard to stop. Northwestern will have their hands full on day. The Wildcats are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite, including 1-5 when laying double digit chalk.
Troy +21 over Ohio State. The referendum judging the Jim Tressel era continues today. Ok, so I kid. There's no referendum needed to decide whether or not he is a great coach with great accomplishments. But, aren't we a little surprised with the vitriiol coming out of Crimson and Silver Nation this week. The most common refrain seemed to be, get rid of all the assistants and if that doesn't work than we'll talk about the Senator. In the blogosphere, I even came across a few thoughts that they hoped Lane Kiffin and Mark D'Antonio would somehow get fired so the Bucks could hire them as coordinators. I dont know about any of that. What I do know is where are about to see this former national title contender undergo a makeover this afternoon. We'll see how splitting the snaps between Boekmann and Pryor will go. We might see some pistol formations. And while I think its a great move long term for this team, we might still see a plodding effort today from Ohio State. Pryor will look good today on several occassions, but he'll aslo make some mistakes today. OSU is still without their stud tailback. And, of course a hangover effect from last week will dog them today as well. OSU is only 4-6 ATS at home against non BCS teams. Troy has mastered the art of losing, but covering when they square off against the Big Boys. They're 14-8 ATS as a true road dog against teams from the BCS leagues with covers in Florida State, LSU, Ga Tech, South Carolina, Arkansas and Oklahoma State in recent seasons. I think they'll grab another one in Columbus today.
Arkansas +9 over Alabama. I think the Hogs are a bit better than their come from behind wins against lesser teams showed, and I also feel the Tide isn't as good (yet, at least) as their #9 rankings shows. These teams have a history of playing close games. Besides, close games are the stamp of SEC football. I'd have to double check my numbers, but I have dogs in SEC league games at 57-37-3 over the last two years. Thought we might have one of those DD dogs that have been cashing lately, but thats not the case this morning. Still, I think I might end up on all four dogs in SEC conference games today, so we'll get it started in Fayetteville this afternoon.
All three of these plays are just for 1 unit apiece.
Good Luck!! :weed:
Well, the dogs sure have dominated to begin this week, spending only about three minutes of game clock not covering the spread in those mid week games.
Will see if it keeps up today. Here's what I like early:
Ohio +11.5 over Northwestern. This line seems way too high, perhaps the result of having an 0-3 team, OU, playing a 3-0 team, Northwestern. OU acquitted themselves very well in back to back near miss upsets over Ohio State and MAC favorite CMU. In both games, I really liked the OU attack and they seem to have that running game going hitting for over 145 yards in each. Nortwestern, meanwhile, has allowed an averageof 150 yards on the ground in their two games against fellow FBS schools. Even lowly Syracuse churned out 122. OU managed 4.7 per carry against Ohio State, so I think they can move on this Big 10 team. Their running game is unique and hard to stop. Northwestern will have their hands full on day. The Wildcats are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite, including 1-5 when laying double digit chalk.
Troy +21 over Ohio State. The referendum judging the Jim Tressel era continues today. Ok, so I kid. There's no referendum needed to decide whether or not he is a great coach with great accomplishments. But, aren't we a little surprised with the vitriiol coming out of Crimson and Silver Nation this week. The most common refrain seemed to be, get rid of all the assistants and if that doesn't work than we'll talk about the Senator. In the blogosphere, I even came across a few thoughts that they hoped Lane Kiffin and Mark D'Antonio would somehow get fired so the Bucks could hire them as coordinators. I dont know about any of that. What I do know is where are about to see this former national title contender undergo a makeover this afternoon. We'll see how splitting the snaps between Boekmann and Pryor will go. We might see some pistol formations. And while I think its a great move long term for this team, we might still see a plodding effort today from Ohio State. Pryor will look good today on several occassions, but he'll aslo make some mistakes today. OSU is still without their stud tailback. And, of course a hangover effect from last week will dog them today as well. OSU is only 4-6 ATS at home against non BCS teams. Troy has mastered the art of losing, but covering when they square off against the Big Boys. They're 14-8 ATS as a true road dog against teams from the BCS leagues with covers in Florida State, LSU, Ga Tech, South Carolina, Arkansas and Oklahoma State in recent seasons. I think they'll grab another one in Columbus today.
Arkansas +9 over Alabama. I think the Hogs are a bit better than their come from behind wins against lesser teams showed, and I also feel the Tide isn't as good (yet, at least) as their #9 rankings shows. These teams have a history of playing close games. Besides, close games are the stamp of SEC football. I'd have to double check my numbers, but I have dogs in SEC league games at 57-37-3 over the last two years. Thought we might have one of those DD dogs that have been cashing lately, but thats not the case this morning. Still, I think I might end up on all four dogs in SEC conference games today, so we'll get it started in Fayetteville this afternoon.
All three of these plays are just for 1 unit apiece.
Good Luck!! :weed:
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