Week 4

[WildBillPicks7]

Early leans right now - official plays will be posted later when totals come out at 5dimes.

Boise +4 (Fresno barely beat Rutgers and they are 1-5 L6 @ home vs Boise, Boise QB Southwick and the RB for Boise are more talented than what RU showed Fresno, this game should be a pick em line)

W Michigan +17 (Iowa off instate game vs ISU, W Mich off rd loss at NW, Iowa D is supposed to be solid but they didn't look too hot vs ISU)

Duke +4 (Pitt second ACC game, first on rd to Tobacco Rd, wrong team favored here)

Michigan -17 1/2 (only 17 1/2 @ UConn? UConn off tough home beat to Md and Michigan got the scare of it's life vs Bowden's Zips - they should right the wrongs in this road tilt easily)

Marshall +10 1/2 (Va Tech offensively sucks and Marshall can put up pts vs anyone, also not a far travel spot for Herd)

Utah +7 (BYU vs Utes, instate rivalry, both can put up points, BYU lost away LY 24-21 giving 3 1/2 and they are 1-3 L4 home vs Utes)

Hawaii +11 1/2 (Line has dropped 1 full pt thus far, Nev off beatdown to Noles and now take on Rainbows who kept USC on it's toes, Chow's team should be able to score enough pts to keep this one around 3 pts)

Michigan St +7 (this line will come down, this series is always a nail biter, dog typically covers, State is 0-3 L3 vs ND but 7-1 L8 away and lost at home 20-3 LY giving the Irish 3 - Irish off tough game vs PU in which their "D" couldn't stop the air game of PU, State doesn't pass that well, but this game smells like a 3-4 pt game)

Colorado ST +39 (Bama off huge rd WIN vs A&M now take on a club that can score, but can't stop anyone from scoring, Bama gave up pts through the air, taller receivers hurt them, only problem here is CSU doesn't have any tall WRs like Evans for A&M, but Bama at home giving up 6 touches vs Rams "O" may be a bit much)

Arizona St +7 1/2 (Cardinal tough this year, but not defensively, they beat Army by 14, giving up yards on the ground, ASU can run a lil and Kelly should pass a lot better than he did vs Wisky, ASU is 4-1L5 ats vs Stanford, line is lower than my pwr numbers which more times than not means the dog covers, this game will come down to turnovers)

Fla ATL +5 (Middle Tenn off slight win vs Memphis, now go on the road again, FAU going for home victory here, one set of numbers has MT winning by 3 the other has FAU as favored by 4 1/2 - will have to watch line swing in this tilt, I have MT winning by 20)

Tulane +13 1/2 (Line jumped +12 1/2 to +13 1/2, Tulane can put up pts folks, Syracuse does not fair well as a DD fav, sure they played Penn St tough, but not sold on Orange in this one, I have this game as a 2-3 pt fav for Syracuse)

Texas St +25 1/2 (Why is this one so low? Tech off big win vs TCU, Texas St can score pts and have held their first 3 opp to only 9 pt average while scoring 25, lots of Texas St kids would love to upset Tech)

Tex SA +2 1/2 (UTEP off big win and scored 42 on NM St, but everyone scores like that vs Aggies, TSA tough road games, just off big loss to AZ, this line should be more for UTEP but it's low and schedule strength favors TSA, May wait to see if line goes back up before my final pick)

Indiana +4 (Was +5 1/2, steam dropped this one early, I smell "middle action", Tigers MOV is 30 pts and Indiana off big win vs BG who had one of the better national defenses but got worn out by the Hoosiers, Indiana MOV 21 pts, Big10 vs SEC, may play the total on this one if around 58-61 pts, should be very high scoring.)

Back later this week with official plays.

GLE!

1 unit...10-11, -2.1
2 unit... 12-9-1, +4.2
3 unit...2-6, -13.8
4 unit...2-3, -5.2
5 unit...4-6, -13.15
6 1/2 pt teaser:...
7 pt teaser:...0-1, -1.3
Round robins...
Parlay.....
ML.....9-4, +9.1
10 pt teaser....0-1, -5.0
13 pt teaser...0-4, -15.6
WON.......39....LOSS.....45....-42.1 units

 

[hawkeye]

Bill you are going against my new top ten rated team--the Hawks--wow:facepalm:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Bill you are going against my new top ten rated team--the Hawks--wow:facepalm:

No official plays yet, Hawk, no worries! LOL

That's still a lot of pts to be giving for Iowa though, even at home vs a MAC team.

 

[hawkeye]

I agree:toast:

 

[capping-guru]

Lots of live dogs, ASU and IU look nice. GL

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Lots of live dogs, ASU and IU look nice. GL

It might be one of them dog weekends, where a #2 or #3 go down and TV games have dogs winning outright. It happens every once in a while in wk 4 before October gets here.

TSA now favored -1, opened +3 :facepalm:!!

Still got some homework to do before offical plays released!!

Come on Steelers!!

Has anyone seen SteelCity? Miss his picks!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Official Sept 19-21

Official Sept 19-21

Ok, well, here are the official "WILD MAN" plays for this week. I've started out in the red thus far, so can only go in one type of direction, continue to go down or go up - no middle ground here.

Sept 19-21

FLORIDA ATLANTIC +6 (1 unit) :sadwave: Owls in good spot to get home win here after some tough road games where they played hard, Middle Tenn isn't the same as they have been in the past, barely beat Memphis and got beat up vs UNC on the road.

LOUISVILLE -41 (1 unit):00hour UL can name their score here folks, FIU has given up 38 ppg, UL scoring 40 ppg, FIU has scored ave of 8 pts in their games, doubtful they get past the 50 yd line unless a kick returner gets loose.

MARSHALL +9 1/2 (1 unit):00hour Herd could get the road upset here vs Hokies, they can score, they can run and their QB is as good in my opinion as Thomas is, if not better as a passer.

KANSAS -10 (1 unit) :sadwave: Kansas off bad beat at Rice, Heaps is still a mess and the only reason I'm backing Jayhawks is they go for home win here vs La Tech team still trying to get an identity with Holtz at the helm.

NORTH TEXAS +33 (1 unit):00hour NT can run, they are dangerous running the ball, and Georgia gave up some running yards to CLEM & to S Car, and NT thus can stick around the 5 touchdowns here imho.

DUKE +4 (3 units):00hour Pitt first rd ACC game, Duke off home beat to GT, Duke & Pitt on paper, evenly matched, "D" might be a lil better for Duke and that's not saying much, plus this is a home tilt, should help the Blue Demons a bit.

WISCONSIN -24 (4 units):00hour Wisky catches PU off huge home game vs ND in which they exhausted themselves and lost, Wisky off bad beat in waning secs on rd vs ASU, home field and motivation here for Wisky to bounce back, play this one up to -27 pts here.

PENN ST -20 (1 unit):00hour P St found out just how good UCF running game was last wk and pissed away a lot of opportunities, that's what young teams do and Lions should bounce back here at home vs Kent Flashes who got beat up a bit @ LSU last wk, but hung in there under the number, Happy Valley won't be happy unless they romp here, PSU by 24.

MARYLAND -4 1/2 (1 unit):00hour small rivalry game, Md lost LY by 10 on the rd as 26 pt dogs, Md off huge win at U Conn, Edsell's return to his former stomping ground, now back home with the Naval yard trajedy as an impetus here for Terps and Terp nation to get the victory by 7, line has bounced from -4 1/2 to -6, WVU played at Oklahoma well and shut down OU offense, but get this folks, OU has a lot of banged up QB's, something Maryland is thankful they are healthy. Terps by 7.

USC -6 1/2 (2 units) :sadwave: another line drop? OK. I'm not buying Utah St with Keaton guys, they couldn't get the win vs the Utes and they played no one last wk and put up 70 points. USC faced a better "D" in BC than what USU has to offer. USC by 10

CINCINNATI -21 (3 units):sadwave: Cincy QB Legaux out, he didn't play LW in tuneup game vs NW La and Bearcats still put up over 60 pts. Miami OH is giving up an average of 46 pts per game and UC scoring at 42 ppg, M-O scoring only 10 ppg, Cincy in a laugher by 30!

COLORADO ST +41 (1 unit):00hour Like the Rams "O" and Bama off huge tilt vs A&M, yeah they will be focused, Bama that is, but Rams will feel this is their bowl game shot in SEC country. Alabama 45 CSU 17.

TEXAS STATE +27 (2 units):00hour TSU folks isn't that bad, TT off huge home win vs Horned Frogs and have had a lil time to get ready for this game, Cliff will have his team ready, but both Qbs got lit a few times vs TCU and TSU "D" giving up just 9 ppg so far, yeah, not against anyone in top 50, but they will give Tech fits here instate.

MICHIGAN -17 1/2 (5 unts) :sadwave: Brady bunch will have his Wolverines focused here and not call off his troops vs U Conn who is off the rebound vs Maryland at home, now face high potent offense in Michigan who let down after ND game vs Zips, now Wolverines put it together and win by 28!

HAWAII +11 1/2 (2 units) Nevada still searching for their asses after Jameis kicked into high gear the 2nd half last wk in Tally, Rainbows played USC tough and had a wk off to prepare for Nevada, Hawaii both losses to Pac12 teams, USC & Oregon St, but Rainbows did manage to put up some points, even only 13 ppg, should improve here vs Nevada who may or may not have starting QB in this tilt. I'll take the rested team over the team that got a pay day in Tally only to get beat up there.


Marshall +325 (1 unit):sadwave:

USC -245 (2 units):00hour

ULL -245 (1 unit):00hour



1 unit...10-11, -2.1
2 unit... 12-9-1, +4.2
3 unit...2-6, -13.8
4 unit...2-3, -5.2
5 unit...4-6, -13.15
6 1/2 pt teaser:...
7 pt teaser:...0-1, -1.3
Round robins...
Parlay.....
ML.....9-4, +9.1
10 pt teaser....0-1, -5.0
13 pt teaser...0-4, -15.6
WON.......39....LOSS.....45....-42.1 units

 

[hawkeye]

FAU Owls:0008

 

[joefrog91]

I'll be on Indiana, UTSA and Mich St.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

I'll be on Indiana, UTSA and Mich St.

I was thinking of all 3 as well Joe, but the movements on those game lines have me waiting till day of the game. Non-conf stuff gets crazy action on them when their is someone in the bag, sorta like how Wisky lost to ASU late Saturday night, Wisky sides won big time, but Moneyline got screwed!!

Something tells me in those 3 games it's going to happen to one of them for sure. But it could just be me being a lil paranoid!! LOL

GL!

:0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Early leans right now - official plays will be posted later when totals come out at 5dimes.

Boise +4 (Fresno barely beat Rutgers and they are 1-5 L6 @ home vs Boise, Boise QB Southwick and the RB for Boise are more talented than what RU showed Fresno, this game should be a pick em line)

W Michigan +17 (Iowa off instate game vs ISU, W Mich off rd loss at NW, Iowa D is supposed to be solid but they didn't look too hot vs ISU) 86% of public on WMich?

Duke +4 (Pitt second ACC game, first on rd to Tobacco Rd, wrong team favored here)

Michigan -17 1/2 (only 17 1/2 @ UConn? UConn off tough home beat to Md and Michigan got the scare of it's life vs Bowden's Zips - they should right the wrongs in this road tilt easily)

Marshall +10 1/2 (Va Tech offensively sucks and Marshall can put up pts vs anyone, also not a far travel spot for Herd)

Utah +7 (BYU vs Utes, instate rivalry, both can put up points, BYU lost away LY 24-21 giving 3 1/2 and they are 1-3 L4 home vs Utes)

Hawaii +11 1/2 (Line has dropped 1 full pt thus far, Nev off beatdown to Noles and now take on Rainbows who kept USC on it's toes, Chow's team should be able to score enough pts to keep this one around 3 pts)

Michigan St +7 (this line will come down, this series is always a nail biter, dog typically covers, State is 0-3 L3 vs ND but 7-1 L8 away and lost at home 20-3 LY giving the Irish 3 - Irish off tough game vs PU in which their "D" couldn't stop the air game of PU, State doesn't pass that well, but this game smells like a 3-4 pt game)

Colorado ST +39 (Bama off huge rd WIN vs A&M now take on a club that can score, but can't stop anyone from scoring, Bama gave up pts through the air, taller receivers hurt them, only problem here is CSU doesn't have any tall WRs like Evans for A&M, but Bama at home giving up 6 touches vs Rams "O" may be a bit much)

Arizona St +7 1/2 (Cardinal tough this year, but not defensively, they beat Army by 14, giving up yards on the ground, ASU can run a lil and Kelly should pass a lot better than he did vs Wisky, ASU is 4-1L5 ats vs Stanford, line is lower than my pwr numbers which more times than not means the dog covers, this game will come down to turnovers)

Fla ATL +5 (Middle Tenn off slight win vs Memphis, now go on the road again, FAU going for home victory here, one set of numbers has MT winning by 3 the other has FAU as favored by 4 1/2 - will have to watch line swing in this tilt, I have MT winning by 20)

Tulane +13 1/2 (Line jumped +12 1/2 to +13 1/2, Tulane can put up pts folks, Syracuse does not fair well as a DD fav, sure they played Penn St tough, but not sold on Orange in this one, I have this game as a 2-3 pt fav for Syracuse)

Texas St +25 1/2 (Why is this one so low? Tech off big win vs TCU, Texas St can score pts and have held their first 3 opp to only 9 pt average while scoring 25, lots of Texas St kids would love to upset Tech)

Tex SA +2 1/2 (UTEP off big win and scored 42 on NM St, but everyone scores like that vs Aggies, TSA tough road games, just off big loss to AZ, this line should be more for UTEP but it's low and schedule strength favors TSA, May wait to see if line goes back up before my final pick) LINE to UTSA -1 1/2 NOW, 9/17/13

Indiana +4 (Was +5 1/2, steam dropped this one early, I smell "middle action", Tigers MOV is 30 pts and Indiana off big win vs BG who had one of the better national defenses but got worn out by the Hoosiers, Indiana MOV 21 pts, Big10 vs SEC, may play the total on this one if around 58-61 pts, should be very high scoring.)TOTAL at 70 1/2 moves to 71 1/2 in about 5 minutes

Back later this week with official plays.

GLE!

1 unit...10-11, -2.1
2 unit... 12-9-1, +4.2
3 unit...2-6, -13.8
4 unit...2-3, -5.2
5 unit...4-6, -13.15
6 1/2 pt teaser:...
7 pt teaser:...0-1, -1.3
Round robins...
Parlay.....
ML.....9-4, +9.1
10 pt teaser....0-1, -5.0
13 pt teaser...0-4, -15.6
WON.......39....LOSS.....45....-42.1 units

tracking - read above bold print.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

added

7 pt teaser, 1 unit to win 9 units: Boise State +10, North Carolina State +21, Michigan -11, Duke +11, Philadelphia Eagles +3?, Over 44 KC/Eagles Over 44, Over 37 San Diego/Titans Over 37, New York Giants +7
:sadwave:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

totals:

Over 74 Baylor/ULM - 2 units,:00hour both teams with high powered scoring machines

Over 65 Wyoming/AF - 2 units, Cowboys can score, just ask Nebraska, AF can score as well and put some pts up vs Boise, should be entertaining

Over 51 Michigan/U Conn - 2 units, :sadwave: Michigan may score 42 themselves here and U Conn 13-14 pts perhaps

Over 51 CSU/Alabama - 2 units,:sadwave: CSU can score folks and Bama showed some vulnerability vs A&M last wk, former AC vs his mentor, should be some pts in this game

Over 65 1/2 Rice/Houston - 2 units:sadwave: , both teams can score and score quickly, McHargue may or may not play, but it shouldn't matter, in City rivalry, Houston 42 Rice 37

 

[BOBBYW]

gl...

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Doing decent so far today:

added:

Air Force +5 1/2 (1 unit) Air Force had some time off for this one, Awini has a great game vs porous Wyoming "D".

Auburn +17 1/2 (5 units):00hour Think Auburn can actually stick within points here or get the upset bid, they lost 12-10 Last time at home to LSU with a lackluster offense? I'll take my chances with Gus and his troops here over Mad Hatter!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Two plays pending, one is a lock to hit, total in AF/WY, the other play, AF +5 1/2??? Well they gotta lot to make up the 2nd half!!

First winning week out of 4!!

One more wk of non-conf tilts, then it's conference time folks!!

:toast: