Week 5 early peeks

[Senor Capper]

Shopped around today and found 2 great lines which I didn't see anywhere else after visiting 4 books.

Bet these...


Carolina @ Denver -6 (Leroys)

- looking for a bounce here after Atlanta LW.

Carolina is a stellar 10-1 ATS in their last 11 dog roles, with perfect 3-0 line log this year by 13, 18 & 20.5 pts.

The pup stands at an awesome 20-4 ATS in Carolina contests with the only miss by a mere point.

Broncos are currently on a 1-6 ATS run as non-division hosts.

+6


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Cleveland @ Pittsburgh -6.5 (Mirage LV)

Cleveland is 10-4 ATS as division dogs.

Then visitor is the way to go whenever these teams face a division opponents the guest is 10-2 ATS in Clevelands last 12 division games & 11-3 ATS in Pittsburghs last 14 division encounters.

Garcia needs to grab his nads & get this one together!! Brownies have shown in past affairs that they can beat the Steelers on their own turf.

+6.5

 

[Schouest]

I had 3 games circled for the upcoming week..those 2 and SAN FRAN...so you really have boosted me on those 2...and I think AZ may just think they are better than they really are after this weekend !!

 

[Senor Capper]

St. Louis @ Seattle -6.5

SF is the worst team in the NFL. So don't be deceived by the STL/SF fiasco LW. Seattle has fasted for two weeks and are ready to feast on some home cooking.


Seahawks are both 3-0 SU & ATS with 2 of their line wins by 11.5 & 24 points. Granted two of those games were against such foes as the lowly Bucs & Saints but they were on the road which is still impressive.

Seattle is currently on a 7-0 spread run, among which was a 24 point cover in their 1st divisional hoster.

Seattle is 7-1-1 ATS off a shutout win.

Good enough for Se?or Capper

-6.5

If you can only find 7s I would still play it.


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Oakland @ Indianapolis-9


Indy has won & covered all 3 since its opening week Thursday loss to the Patsies.

The favorite is now on a 5-1-1 ATS spread run in Colts games, immediately on the heels of an 11-6-2 dog run.

Raiders are a solid 15-6 ATS play as Road Dogs of at least 3 pts.

Still I give the 9 before the line gets any worse...

Indy -9


======================

Other games looking into......

Dallas -3.5
Houston +4.5
Ne -13 Eeek !!

 

[Senor Capper]

I'm a wee bit worried about Vanderjagt's hamstring. If he don't go I may be worried about a cover.

 

[ELVIS]

originally thought the same, but i see a lot of 7's in the future. :sadwave:

 

[beertime]

GL this week El Nino...

played a meaty 3 team 10 point tease you may toss in as a back up.

pats -2.5
browns down under 47
crazy carrie + 15.5

its all nothin but free money...may as well share.

:scared

 

[Senor Capper]

I have hesitated on TB due to the QB situation but I found "the hook" at an online betting site which I won't mention due to the fact they don't advertise here. Most Vegas books had TB at +3.5 at sometime or other but I failed to book it.

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans -3.5

Bucs are 7-13 SU since the Superbowl in '02.
Only (3) offensive TDs in (4) games, have only reached 100 RYs once and are only 4 points away from a 1-12 ATS run.


The bright side?
The visitor is on a 7-0 ATS run in Saints division contests. Add the fact that the Aints are on a 15-27-1 ATS run at home & 1-7-1 ATS as a chalk off a DD spread loss.
Tampa is 16-5-2 ATS off scoring at least 13 points.

Maybe I'm reaching here so I will make this my "Nsane Play of the Day" selection....

+3.5

 

[Senor Capper]

Great new for my Nsane Play... Duece starting for the Aints and Staley is playing for the Steelers against my Brownie play. It only gets better.

 

[Senor Capper]

Great new for my Nsane Play... Duece starting for the Aints and Staley is playing for the Steelers against my Brownie play. It only gets better. :cursin:

 

[Senor Capper]

Took it in the ass with the Seahawks.
Brownies was a loser at the get-go.

Nsane Play won which brings them to a decent 5-2 ATS.

Easy win with the Colts but not-so-easy win with the Panthers.
I'll take it regardless.

3-2 for the day.

Looking into the Redskins with a write-up forthcoming.

SC

32-21-2
Nsane Plays 5-2

 

[Senor Capper]

Baltimore Ravens @ Washington Redskins (PK)

Ravens are an impressive 22-10 ATS as a RD and their "D" has held 13 of their last 19 opponents to under 13 pts.


Skins "D" WILL hold Lewis in check and Ravens "D" should handle Portis who only averaged only 2.9 yards against the Brownies.

This game will come down to the Passing game.
I'll take Brunell, Ramsey & the hosts over Boller, Butt Buddy Kordell & visitors.

In a game that may go down to the wire....

PK

Best to all
SC

 

[ChrryBlstr]

good luck, senor!!!

 

[bsully123]

senor, i agree with you bout the hawks. i got it good today. Once again the prevent defence only prevented me from winning !