You should just lay off this game completely bleedingpurple. Going through your logic and write up on this game, you're contradicting yourself every other post with your logic.
I can read it in your analysis. You know that the Vikes are going to lose by more than 10 in GB in a primetime game on a short week with too many injuries and banged up bodies. But your heart keeps telling you that it's going to be a close game because you -want- it to be a close game.
I'll point it out for you - the big red flag I saw (amongst many of them). You say it's going to be a one score game 23-20 in GB. Later on when asked about the spread were it a neutral field you say... it'd be a field goal difference.
You're letting emotion cloud your logic here. Lay off the play. You don't have to bet the packers to cover the spread, but in your write up you are (without even realizing it) laying a strong case for the Packers to cover. And then, your heart is jumping in to tell you the Vikes are going to cover regardless.