Week 5 NFL - I couldn't wait to get started

[Jord20]

Week 4: 18-13 +9,680
YTD: 87-54 +43,890


Will update everything in a bit. Been a busy day. I had to get a few in early around key numbers that I wanted to guarantee...

Kyle Orton is starting for Buffalo sunday - at an underrated Detroit. That D is legit. Lions should eat him up.
Had to get it while still at 7.

The 3-0 Cards travel to Mile High off of a loss and a bye for the Broncos, who have yet to put an entire good game together... Had to get it while still at 7.

The mighty Seahawks come to town to face an awful Skins team. What is fresh in the public's mind - The seahawks beating the Broncos in a Super Bowl rematch - and the Skins getting embarrassed at home in primetime. Playing the Seahawks on the road is not the way to get rich... get that hook while you can

Lions -7 2120-2000
Broncos -7
SKins +7.5

 

[Jord20]

Updated record to include week 4. I hope to keep the winning weeks streak alive. Lucky coin 4-1 Hilton.


Niners -6 2120-2000

 

[rrc]

Great start to the year. :0008

 

[Jord20]

Great start to the year. :0008

Thanks, buddy.

1st look leans besides those 4 plays...

Vikes, Rams, cowboys, giants,

 

[tulah]

Hi Jord
Congrats on the success
I'm a lifelong Skins fan.
Be careful with the Redskins play.
They are pathetic in prime time games. Please feel free to research this.
The Sunday night game was a perfect example.
IMO the book cant set that number high enough.

LT T.Williams is hurting. Enormous loss for a thin OL.
This is a bottom of the barrel OL unit without Williams .
RT T.polumbus got his ass handed to him last Thursday.
He's gonna get crushed all nite.
Cousins is a totally different QB and different style of blocking has been implemented here with the redskins .
I'd say it's not working. Lots of the Skins Offensive success is because RG3 was a dual threat and the defense needs to account for him. Well with Cousins u know he's gonna make a. 3-5 step drop and sling it. RG was great at buying time and getting outside to slip past the rush and extend the play by a pass or run. This also benefited A.Morris and the running game as a whole. The redskins are now predictable and that's not good news them.

The DL hatcher, baker,& Jenkins are all nursing injuries.
NYG mediocre OL dominated every matchup. They also play double teams like crap.
They attempt to go around it instead of taking it on full force. Watch B.Orakpo last week VS giants OL W.Beaty...
Redskins Lbs aren't that good either. They won't stop any short pass' all nite.

Worst special teams in the NFL by a country mile. This is truly a huge deal.
Terrible starting field position and a huge Oline liability on field goals and PATs getting blocked and tipped.
FG kicker Kai Forbath has been a roller coaster lately. He's either hot or just junk.

Best of luck

 

[Jord20]

Hi Jord
Congrats on the success
I'm a lifelong Skins fan.
Be careful with the Redskins play.
They are pathetic in prime time games. Please feel free to research this.
The Sunday night game was a perfect example.
IMO the book cant set that number high enough.

LT T.Williams is hurting. Enormous loss for a thin OL.
This is a bottom of the barrel OL unit without Williams .
RT T.polumbus got his ass handed to him last Thursday.
He's gonna get crushed all nite.
Cousins is a totally different QB and different style of blocking has been implemented here with the redskins .
I'd say it's not working. Lots of the Skins Offensive success is because RG3 was a dual threat and the defense needs to account for him. Well with Cousins u know he's gonna make a. 3-5 step drop and sling it. RG was great at buying time and getting outside to slip past the rush and extend the play by a pass or run. This also benefited A.Morris and the running game as a whole. The redskins are now predictable and that's not good news them.

The DL hatcher, baker,& Jenkins are all nursing injuries.
NYG mediocre OL dominated every matchup. They also play double teams like crap.
They attempt to go around it instead of taking it on full force. Watch B.Orakpo last week VS giants OL W.Beaty...
Redskins Lbs aren't that good either. They won't stop any short pass' all nite.

Worst special teams in the NFL by a country mile. This is truly a huge deal.
Terrible starting field position and a huge Oline liability on field goals and PATs getting blocked and tipped.
FG kicker Kai Forbath has been a roller coaster lately. He's either hot or just junk.

Best of luck

Great info. Thank you.

All that being said, this is a spot that I absolutely cannot pass up.

 

[Jord20]

Over 47 1590-1500
over 23.5 1060-1000

 

[Jord20]

Vikes +9 2120-2000

 

[Jord20]

Just a reminder, I play ML on ALL of my NFL dogs with a spread of 10 or under.

+320 def worth a small shot, IMO.

 

[Jord20]

and yes, I know that Sam Ponder's husband is starting

 

[Korn]

Just a reminder, I play ML on ALL of my NFL dogs with a spread of 10 or under.

+320 def worth a small shot, IMO.

I apologize for all my questions... :facepalm: ML plays are 500's roughly?

Appreciate all the picks.

 

[Jord20]

I apologize for all my questions... :facepalm: ML plays are 500's roughly?

Appreciate all the picks.

yup

 

[Jord20]

Vikes +5.5 FH 1060-1000

 

[Gibson7]

Over 47 1590-1500
over 23.5 1060-1000

Does it bother you that 67% of the public is on the "Over" and the total has gone from 50.5 down to 46.5?

Not disagreeing with you here, I like the over I just usually bet against reverse line movement.

 

[Jord20]

Does it bother you that 67% of the public is on the "Over" and the total has gone from 50.5 down to 46.5?

Not disagreeing with you here, I like the over I just usually bet against reverse line movement.

Yeah, I see it. Public has been on all these overs in primetime, and they keep hitting. I actually know a bunch of squares who love the under tonight with the rain and Teddy out.

Vikes will still score... I like the rain too

 

[Scrapiron]

Line climbing again.
I got 8 and thinking of hitting it again at 9. Late line movement mean anything to you Jord?

 

[Jord20]

Line climbing again.
I got 8 and thinking of hitting it again at 9. Late line movement mean anything to you Jord?

Yeah, the late movement tonight was on the Bridgewater "out" news. Ponder is the worst QB on a roster in the NFl I think.

Punting on 4th and 1 from those spots in these games is the worst tradition still going on in the NFL... I PROMISE you, that will change one day once these retard old school guys realize going for it is +ev

 

[bleedingpurple]

Yeah, the late movement tonight was on the Bridgewater "out" news. Ponder is the worst QB on a roster in the NFl I think. Punting on 4th and 1 from those spots in these games is the worst tradition still going on in the NFL... I PROMISE you, that will change one day once these retard old school guys realize going for it is +ev

Ponder bad but defense didn't help at all

 

[Jord20]

Ponder bad but defense didn't help at all

True, but you (or at least I) expect that to some degree.

I took +20.5 and over 45.5 in game

 

[Jord20]

My buddy, Alex has never uttered the phrase, "it is what it is." He was also a flag football legend. He has a better shot of producing points for HIS team than Ponder does. Seriously, they need to get this guy out of the league.