10-11-1 (-1.05) (This is just getting annoying! Not going well enough, but not going bad enough to fade! :cursin: )
Right...Dodgy looking card to me, so it will be a quiet week.
Chiago @ Cleveland under 35 (1.96) (2 units)
Undeterred by last weeks OT killer....
League: 7-35 under (Av. 33.5) home 3- fav off a BYE. [Chic]
2-21 under (Av. 31.8) since '97
and: 1-12 under (av. 30.3...0-12 under since '90) if BOTH teams are off a BYE.
I'd suggest the chances of this thing losing twice in 2 weeks is fairly slim.
oke
Can Chicago score on the road? I'm sure they will run all day to take the pressure off Orton after his last effort! Cleveland allow 3.9 ypr, but have been pretty consistant, they haven't allowed a run go for 20+ yards yet.
Browns have scored 13, 6...and 26 @ GB only due to 2 TD's from massive GB defensive break downs, which won't happen v. this Bears D.
Dilfer isn't exactly a deep ball threat.
I think we'll see plenty of running, short passing and defense in this one.
Under all the way.
Jax -2.5
League: 12-5-1 (15-3 this number...Av. win 15.8!!) any home fav, off a 10+ ats loss as any fav if the opp last failed to cover as fav. [Jax] (4-0 last season)
10-1 (Av. win 16.5!!!) if the opp's total was last 40+
This suggests that Cinci are still being over-rated, despite a poor performance last week...and the 40+ total part suggests that their defense it weak...
...and, would you believe it, the stats actually show it.
They are allowing 4.9 y/rush (2nd worst behind only Minni), so Jax should be able to control the game.
They also lost both of their Centres in last week's game, so they've had to reshuffle their O-line which is bad news.
Let's be honest, Cleveland, Minni, Chicago and Houston are 4 pretty ordinary teams, so the 4-0 start just may be a bit deceiving.
Jax have the best pass D in the league (4.86 y/pass)and a solid run D.
They've looked bad recently, but played 3 of the better defensive teams over the last 3 weeks.
They should be able to run all over Cinci at home...in both senses of the word.
Tease: Arizona +10, New Orleans +10, Detroit/Baltimore under 40 (2.20)
League: 1-13 (Av. LOSS 6.6) home 3- fav off 3- SU loss as away 7+ dog. [GB]
0-8 (Av. LOSS 5.6) if total >40
(The only loss in this system was a TD in OT to cover the -3!)
League: 1-10-1 (Av. LOSS 9.7!!!...2-10 SU!!) away 3- fav off 3- SU win as home 7+ fav. [Carolina]
and; League: 11-4 (Av. loss 0.4) any home dog off 10+ ats win as any 3- fav. [Ariz]....5-0 last season!
Definately 2 'upsets' on the cards here...simply can't see either team getting blown away.
And, I have no idea how either team will score in Detroit.
Could anyone believe the Ravens are dead last in ypr @ 2.6!!...Detroit aren't much better at 3.0.
Neither team can pass downfield...both teams have solid pass D.
It could well be ever bit the snorer that Balti/Jets was last week.
Good Luck all
Right...Dodgy looking card to me, so it will be a quiet week.
Chiago @ Cleveland under 35 (1.96) (2 units)
Undeterred by last weeks OT killer....
League: 7-35 under (Av. 33.5) home 3- fav off a BYE. [Chic]
2-21 under (Av. 31.8) since '97
and: 1-12 under (av. 30.3...0-12 under since '90) if BOTH teams are off a BYE.
I'd suggest the chances of this thing losing twice in 2 weeks is fairly slim.
okeCan Chicago score on the road? I'm sure they will run all day to take the pressure off Orton after his last effort! Cleveland allow 3.9 ypr, but have been pretty consistant, they haven't allowed a run go for 20+ yards yet.
Browns have scored 13, 6...and 26 @ GB only due to 2 TD's from massive GB defensive break downs, which won't happen v. this Bears D.
Dilfer isn't exactly a deep ball threat.
I think we'll see plenty of running, short passing and defense in this one.
Under all the way.
Jax -2.5
League: 12-5-1 (15-3 this number...Av. win 15.8!!) any home fav, off a 10+ ats loss as any fav if the opp last failed to cover as fav. [Jax] (4-0 last season)
10-1 (Av. win 16.5!!!) if the opp's total was last 40+
This suggests that Cinci are still being over-rated, despite a poor performance last week...and the 40+ total part suggests that their defense it weak...
...and, would you believe it, the stats actually show it.
They are allowing 4.9 y/rush (2nd worst behind only Minni), so Jax should be able to control the game.
They also lost both of their Centres in last week's game, so they've had to reshuffle their O-line which is bad news.
Let's be honest, Cleveland, Minni, Chicago and Houston are 4 pretty ordinary teams, so the 4-0 start just may be a bit deceiving.
Jax have the best pass D in the league (4.86 y/pass)and a solid run D.
They've looked bad recently, but played 3 of the better defensive teams over the last 3 weeks.
They should be able to run all over Cinci at home...in both senses of the word.
Tease: Arizona +10, New Orleans +10, Detroit/Baltimore under 40 (2.20)
League: 1-13 (Av. LOSS 6.6) home 3- fav off 3- SU loss as away 7+ dog. [GB]
0-8 (Av. LOSS 5.6) if total >40
(The only loss in this system was a TD in OT to cover the -3!)
League: 1-10-1 (Av. LOSS 9.7!!!...2-10 SU!!) away 3- fav off 3- SU win as home 7+ fav. [Carolina]
and; League: 11-4 (Av. loss 0.4) any home dog off 10+ ats win as any 3- fav. [Ariz]....5-0 last season!
Definately 2 'upsets' on the cards here...simply can't see either team getting blown away.
And, I have no idea how either team will score in Detroit.
Could anyone believe the Ravens are dead last in ypr @ 2.6!!...Detroit aren't much better at 3.0.
Neither team can pass downfield...both teams have solid pass D.
It could well be ever bit the snorer that Balti/Jets was last week.
Good Luck all
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