Week 6 Card (Oct 2nd -7th)

Irish

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WOW
I took it on the chin this last past weekend.

Lets right this ship

VT (+5) over Clemson
VT defense has needed a bit of a challenge and they will rise to this occasion. Taylor showed great escapability but not the play making ability I expected. VT needs to let him pass but does Clemson really have the defense or offense to spot 5? Yes this is going to be a sea of orange and purple but VT has seen the dragon in LSU home field and they will need to play a helluva lot better if they are going to win. I expect VT to win this game the same way georgia tech did last week.... defense and rushing the ball. GT pressured clemson all day, kept the clemson RB in front of them rather than chasing them. Them on passing downs the LBs made the difference by shooting gaps and getting to the QB. VT has enough of an o-line to get ore moving the ball but what I like in this game is misdirection with Taylor. I would love to see him throw the deep ball but in this game I want to see him play option ball. Read the end and make the play, use his speed and ability to break contain on the aggressive clemson defense. Keep it simple... run the ball, fake the run and let the Q run then hit the speed on the outside with quick outs and let Royal beat one on one with a move and quick hitter not going deep. The VT game plan is normally ultra conservative and that should be productive enough to muster field position to get the defense involved. The VT defense scores points and generates take aways. I think that defense keeps it close and Ore and Taylor running the ball get the win. IMO VT wins but I'll take VT and the points after the weekend I just had.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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kansas (+3) over kstate
coming off a very emotional win the wildcats go right into a rivalary game. kansas played well but after watching texas the past few weeks they are not the team they once were. kansas has not really played anyone tough but they have been playing lights out. the jayhawks have had a week off to prepare for this game and should be ready. kansas is ranked (in ncaa) 3rd offense, 3rd defense, 4tg points scored and 1st points allowed. the jayhawks allow 5.8 points per game. even playing pancakes thats not too shabby. kstate has played auburn and texas but the emotions from last week should lead to a bit of a let down. kansas has the offense moving and his defense has the playmaker speed like 2 years ago. ku has a good crew at lb and one of the best corners in college. kstate is a very good team with the home field but after a week of rest kansas comes to play and they have ever chance at the straight upset. ku is a balenced team and should present huge challanges for kstate. this will be a very good game but i am not sold on kstate to be 3 points better than kansas because of the texas game. texas has okla focus, they are not a very strong team and kstate ran back a few special team tds. ku more than likely watched that game and will want nothing more than to beat a rival and a team that beat texas.

cheer
irish
 

Irish

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oklahoma (-10.5) over texas
red river shoot out...both teams coming off disappointing loses. how do these teams rebound. we they start by having a good week of practice. this is going to be tough for texas because colt mccoy is banged up. he was knocked out of the game last weekend and has been limping all season. too many scrambles for the sophmore, he has been just crushed a few time this year. in comes a very aggressive okie defense that will trry to lay a lick on colt early. kstate showed big weakness on special teams for texas and okie can exploit those holes. okie is gonna come into this game angry and have the better team to rebound. yes 10 is a lot but texas just does not have the defense imo to control oklahoma. the sooners has talent at both wr spots, they have sold te and o-line and a group of fast talented rbs. not too mention a qb with a big arm eveb though he hasn't looked great in the last few games. still texas is the running game and stoops has to committ to pressure and stoping the run. send everyone at colt and the rb and just meet in the back field. i expect the sooner offense to score but a banged up qb and an offense that has looked less than stellar all season will not get it done for the horns. bradford has to put the big game atmosphere behind him and play. using the running game and te blocking will take the pressure off the young qb. then once texas is trying to stop the run use crossing patterns for big plays in the middle of the field. both teams off a loss should be focused and if that is the case in this huge game okie should flat outplay texas. colt will play but he will not be effective as in years past. the texas line is big but they lack cohessiveness and english should be in the backfield all day. powerfull fast offense and agressive defense will lead okie to then win while mistakes and pressure should lead teas to stalled drives or turnovers....playing catch up will allow okie to clamp down and push past texas.

cheers
irish
 

Irish

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Thanks Blackman
I need the kind words, after last weekend... Felt a little to much like Quint at the end of Jaws.

Memphis (-2.5) over Marshall
Small play based on the whole school is going to come out and support this team. They will be playing for the deceased lineman and this will be a tough place for Marshall to come in and play. If they win they are the bad guys and I don't think that sits well with these young kids. Memphis is bad but they have been able to put some offense on the board, the bad thing is they stink on defense but playing for a fallen defensemen mat inspire the troops. I hate playing on a team for this reason but I have to think it is motivation.

Cheers
Irish
 

Shifty Mac

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definetely on memphis too, home team has won on like an avg of 18 points between these 2, also think memphis comes out rolling since one of the players was gunned down
 

kickserv

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my testicle is on Memphis....so ya should get off to a good start...best of luck this week :SIB
 

Irish

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thanks guys, good luck to you as well this weekend...last night was a good start but that was an insane ending..memphis throwing 2 incompletions and giving marshall the ball back after the carved them up and a fumbled snap and bad route give the cover...i'll take it.

vt is now getting 6, this is interesting...i may re-hit but it looks almost to good. perhaps i am missing something but does home field make clemson that much better, or are the pancakes inflating expectations of a vt team that has not really dominated anyone?

asu(-8.5) over washinton st
the sun devils are quietly one of the deadliest teams to challenge in the pac 10. they hae showed the ability to score a lot of points but he is the scary fact. they allow about 17 points per game and that is good news. granted they haven't played oregon, cal or usc but they have looked good to start. washington has won its 2 games at home but idaho and sds don't make me think they are a good team. they have lost their road games and last week they lost by 28 to an overrated arizona team. the cougars do not have the denfense to make a game in this contest. sure they can score but to allow arizona to spread you out and give up 48 shows they lack team fundimentals and speed. this is a very good advantage for asu, they have speed and can hit you running or passing and should keep wash st off balence all day. that being said wash st has players on offense and the best way to stay in this game is to keep the asu offense off the field. this is where the new defense comes in, the ability that erickson has instilled in these boys should get them ready to stop wsu. they hand the ball over to their offense and let them do their jobs. the best thing for asu on defense is for the offense to come out and score often....this eliminates the guess work on the wash st play calling. when wash st gets down they will have to throw to keep up and that will allow the asu defense to concentrate on playing pass defense. imo asu is the better team,even in this tough place to play they should show up. wsu state averages 29 points scored on offense, but they give up a ton and i think asu takes advantage in an old fashion track meet. both teams will score but asu has a better shot at stopping the wsu offense and when they do they will continue to pile on. asu is the better team. 8.5 on the road is a hefty number to spot in the division but imo asu wins by double digits.

cheers
irish
 

Irish

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Thanks Goat - haha

Rice (+20.5) over So.Miss
Watching So.Miss against Boise I have to think they are not good. But lets be honest Rice stinks. Still Rice has played Baylor Texas Tech and Texas, all teams that can play this game and they were able to score some points. Not alot but some. They problem they can't stop anyone, to the tune of given up in the area of 40 plus per game. But So.Miss scores about 28 per game and gives up 24 per game and I think even though Rice has ZERO defense the owls can score 14 and make this a win. So.Miss is getting its first home game in a while and they should be up for making amends after the boise beating. This one will get scary and Fletcher should have hiesman type numbers tonight. But young is banged up and I think a terrible team getting 20 from an middle of the road team is worth it. Tough game to cap harder game to watch I'll bet so in addition I am going
Bo Sox (ML) over Angels.... If Rice gets this one it is because the fight and get a few points before the 4th and get a "No quit" TD to boost team moral. Would have loved 21 but I'll take the 20 and hook.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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geogia (ml) over tenn
georgia has played so.car,okie st, and bama which they won. tenn has played cal and florida granted both were away games they still lost by at least 10. the bulldogs score about 30 plus points a game which is good because tenn is allowing about 30 plus per game and gives up 400 plus yards per game. that shows this defense just is not where it needs to be this season. they will get better but the are young and banged up. offensively tenn scores about 37 per game wjich is a good offense but georgia only gives up about 1x per contest so something will give and !'( it will be a little of both. georgia will not allow 37 but tenn will not be held to under 20, if tenn is under 20 then they are in trouble. florida and cal showed tenn what speed is and i don't think geogia is cal fast but the are fast enough to take it deep over the top or run the stretch by tenn defense. imo bama and so. car have twice the defense of tenn and geogia was able to move the ball running and passing and that balence should be too much for tenn even at home. this should be a good sec battle but imo it comes down to georgia has played well in big games while tenn has not. yes the home field advantage will help tenn but georgia will fight as the did at bama and should come out with a win in the end. they have the total edge in defense and stafford should lead his guys to points.

cheers
irish
 

Irish

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Kentucky (+3) over South Carolina
No time to talk, Good luck to all
Cheers,
Irish
 

Irish

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bad night for woodson to have his poorest game so far. oh well..

utah (+14.5) over louisville
this is an extremely hard game to call. louisville has an explosive offense but no defense. utah hammers ucla and then gets blanked by unlv. louisville has the home field but they also go to cincy next week. mean while the road has been none to kind for the utes. so why take the chalk. first kragthorpe and whittingham are old friends. in the 70's their fathers coached at byu. what does this mean...nothing but utah is all or nothing with this game. unlike louisville, utah made this the marquee game all off season while louisville was looking at other bigger fish. it scares me because any team that gets blanked by the rebels defense is not a strong offense. the utes have a interesting offense and they should be able to move the ball against this high powered louisville defense..haha. the louisville defense loses a key member is williams and they had 2 other starters get in trouble as well. their is mo swagger for the team in papa john stadium and no fear from those they play. now..utah will bring blitzes a lot of them, always pressure on louisville at home, cincy on the doorstep, still hurting from early loses, off the field issues and a motivated utah team...i hope it is the utah team that played ucla....not the one that played unlv. get out to a lead and keep pace with the track stars and as cuse did you might just win in the end.....i'll take 2 tds and a hook though.

cheers
irish
 

qwerty69

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Week 6 picks

Week 6 picks

New to the site here, but i will throw out what i have for this week.
Up to 64% winners after a very slow first couple weeks. Toped off with 75%+ last week.

Utah St. -and im a big Hawaii fan.
Auburn

Akron and E Michigan for weekly steamers.

SDSU to keep it within a score at the end.

Stanford - lot of points for a struggling USC offense to put up if Stanford can put up a couple scores which they will.

N Illinois - this should end up a 2 td margin.

N Texas - at home against another sub par team getting a td.

Iowa St. - not sure why, but this is what the numbers point out. They can be awe full or average, im hoping for average this week.

S Florida to keep it rolling and dish our a woodshed game.

ASU - my pre season sleeper to keep it rolling

Cinny - im finally a believer, im on board.
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Irish

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Jack - was the guy who posted before me a spammer? He posted the exact same post in another thread? Just checking because if he is....TWO WEEKS IN A ROW I GET HIJACKED!!!!!!!!!!

Normally I would not care but that omen lead to last weekend one of the worst weekends in a long time....

Ohio St (-7) over Purdue
The boilermakers have a good offense but they have not finished a game to date. In their last few games they get ahead and coast to a win. I am not sure this team knows how to play from behind or in a competitive game. OSU has a very good defense, strong special team, monster WR's, good running backs and a strong o-line. The OSU offense is very productive and should have a fairly easy time moving the ball on Purdues weaker defense (IMO). Purdue has a big time advantage at WR and the ability to catch the ball, the boilermaker WR have sticky hands and make Painter looks good on some bad throws. Thats a good thing for Purdue bcakers because OSU will force him to throw early and his throws will not be on the mark. Not saying they will be off by alot but some might lead to drops. Tressel should have a nice game plan and the big O-line and TE group for the bucks should move the line back and gain positive yards almost every play. Very important for Ohio st to establish momentum and take the home crowd out of the game. Force Purdue into a catch up game and make Painter uncomfortable. Every team has score against Purdue in the later quarter but that was due to big leads and Purdue giving up. I think they will struggle trying to keep poace with a better team. And the offense will not be a successful against a good defense considering they are used to ND, Minnesota 117th, Central Michigan 116th. That will be a big key in the outcome. OSU's defense will stop Purdue more than Purdue will hold OSU. Then as the game goes on, Purdue lack of closing out games will catch up with them as OSU normally gets stronger as time goes on.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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Small plays
UNC (+7) over Miami
Home and UNC saw a much tougher defense last week on the road and did well against it. Now they are home against a Miami team that did not play well against Duke last weekend.

Neb (+6) over Mizzou
:shrug: I'll take the points in hope the cornhusker offense matches point for point with another tough team. These squads are evenly matched IMO, but I never like going with Callihan.

Cheers
Irish
 
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