Week 6 Card (Oct 3rd - 7th)

Irish

Green&Orange
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Tulsa (-5.5) over So. Miss
Tulsa is 2nd in C-USA in scoring, with 30.2 points per game. Tulsa is also 2nd in the conference in total offense, with 417.2 ypg, and turnovers, with 3. The Golden Hurricane is 1st in the conference in total defense, allowing just 274 ypg, but one season after leading C-USA with 36 takeaways Tulsa has forced only 5 turnovers in 4 games. Playing at home might be an edge for Tulsa but the Golden Hurricane won 34-17 at Southern Miss last year. Tulsa's QB Smith has completed 66.1% of his passes for only 152.5 yards per game with 9 touchdowns and 3 picks. Ryan Bugg, WR Idris Moss and TE Ted Curtis are emerging as Tulsa's go-to receivers. They should be good enough weapons to have a good game tonight especially with the way Smith throws the ball. IMO the Golden Eagles have looked sharper by defeating UCF, N.C. State and Southeastern Louisiana, with a loss to Florida. So. Miss has great team speed and will be a tough test for Tulsa. So. Miss will rely on the running game and Fletcher is leading C-USA with 127.3 ypg. Thi will be a very good offensive game. Both teams have the talent to make plays on offense. IMO Tusla has more ability to make plays on defense and that should give them an advantage. Tough to spot a good So. Miss 5.5 points but I like the way Tulsa plays at home. They are playing on a long week and So. Miss is playing on a short week. UCF is out right TERRIBLE in pass defense yet they played So. Miss tough and I think Tulse will be able to play them a little harder. Young is a decent passer but he only completes about 53% of his passes and will throw a pick if pressured. Tulsa looking to score a lot tonight, while So. Miss will try to establish the running game. I think at home with the more explosive offense Tulsa plays hard.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Tulsa/So.Miss OVER (46)
Points Per Game: USM 27, TULS 30.3
Points Allowed: USM 16.3, TULS 20.5
Both teams allow points and both teams can put up points.

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Irish
 

Irish

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C. Florida (ML) over Marshall
UCF entered the Southern Miss game ranked last in the nation in passing defense and 117th in total defense, allowing 335 passing yards and 464 total yards per game. That is not good, but then again I don't see Marshall throwing the ball. Marshall?s bread is buttered in the running game and I expect the knights to make running a hard task for the herd. Moffett is a good QB but has not been playing well lately, Still he has the ability to take over a game and the Marshall pass defense might give him just that opportunity. The Herd is allowing 32.2 points, 145 rushing yards and 348 total yards per game with a thin defensive line hit by a variety of losses and have forced only five turnovers in four games. Marshall has played the better teams leading to their 1-3 record but they have been ineffective in those games and tonight?s game is a better match for them. This team is very one dimensional, Last week at Tennessee he completed eight of 14 passes for 110 yards with an interception and a lost fumble. That?s right a grand total of 14 passes when being down the whole game. Bradshaw will lead this team and they will feed the horse. The o-line is good enough to open lanes but the knight?s defense has to limit the big gains. IMO this game comes down to CFLA stopping the run and playing smart. Marshall will kill them selves given the chance because they commit a lot of penalties. This will be a hard game to watch but IMO Central Florida has the ability to stop the run and win this game. I also have a small play with the points.


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Irish
 

Irish

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CFla/Marsh UNDER (44)

Weather might be a factor tonight, but the way Marshall runns the ball I see the clock moving and long drives needed to get points.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Hawaii (-10) over Nevada
Been on Nevada a lot over the past few weeks and I think they are in for it when they go into paradise. The warriors will have an offense the wolfpack cannot defend. I think Nevada will score but Hawaii will look to trade 2 for one in this game and they can. Hawaii made a game of it at Bama and Boise. This is a better team than the record states and home they are even better. Also a bit of revenge in this game considering Nevada defeated Hawaii 38-28 in Reno last year. Scoring a plenty but Hawaii is a very good home team and Nevada is not great on the road. They have lost 2 out of 3 on the road (9pt difference in Fresno, 30 point difference in ASU). Give they are a poor road team, Hawaii being a good home team, both having good offenses, both having good coaches this should be a good game but I just don?t think Hawaii will give Nevada a chance to run its game plan, and the warriors will attack.

GT (-13.5) over Maryland
IMO Maryland is that bad, and I expect GT have a little swagger after a win in blacksburgh. They might have a let down but IMO the fans will not let that happen. Ball should have a lot of success throwing to Johnson because the Maryland defense will not be able to cover him. They will attempt to many defenders on him but that will free up the other Johnson who has talent of his own.

Pitt (-7) over Cuse
Team speed on defense, solid QB play and decent running game. I am not sold on Cuse even though they have started to play better. I like what Wandsat (sp) has done putting his speed on the field. They have a pretty decent line and the running back should take advantage when given the chance. Also the WR for Pitt have started to become big play guys. Keep your eyes on #81 because Palko will, he loves to go to him because he is big and fast and will be a problem in this game. I am just not sold on Cuse yet and I like the way Pitt have looked in it games.

Smaller plays
Ball St (-4.5) over Buffalo
Like the offense of Ball st with Nate Davis in control. The kid can run and throw and will be a problem for the buffalo defense.

Fla (+2) over LSU
I like the Swamp advantage, Leak and Tebow are playing well. Should be a very good game but I think Florida will fight and claw and given both coaches the teams will be ready. But still I like the gators at home, but man LSU has a tough defense.

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Irish
 

Irish

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NC St (+10.5) over FSU
Florida State's defense, though, ranks 3rd in the conference, allowing 253.8 yards per game. This will be a tough test for a green QB. Still NC state will have the home field crowd in a frenzy and this team will feed off them. Against BC the wolf pack showed heart and that is important going into this game. Amato spent 18 years as an assistant under Florida State coach Bobby Bowden before taking over at his alma mater in 2000. He's 3-3 against his mentor since joining N.C. State, including a 20-15 victory last season at Tallahassee. FSU has become a team that needs the pass but yet they do not want to make the jump to an air attack. The Wolfpack rank 10th in the ACC in rushing defense, 9th in total defense, so even with losing all that talent they have some playmakers. This will be a hard fought game and I just haven?t see the type of team effort that deserves a 10 point line. I know NC st lost to Akron but they will be ready and hungry to play this game and that should be enough. At home on Natty TV against this team, I like the chalk.

Looking at the late game but I am a little concerned, I have a lean to Utah but then it went off the board and came back the utes giving.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Utah (+1.5) over TCU
TCU look flat out bad and they have not looked extremely good on offense all season. Utah played poorly last week as well but IMO they should rebound after being embarrassed at home. Utah is a good home team and I do not seem them being that off sync again. The TCU defense was impressive in the win against TT but not impressive against the passing attack of BYU. BYU and Utah play a similar style of football but BYU has the better QB. Ratliff needs to complete a higher percentage of his passes but he has an accurate arm and can be a big time player in that system. I also like Ratcliff when a play breaks down to make a play with his legs. Both teams have something to prove after the last game and I think the home team will rebound a bit quicker. I have notice the line has dropped to a pick ?em and I also believe this is an even match up. I like the passing attack of Utah to cause problems for TCU defense and then Utah to open up the ground game. Unless TCU steps up on offense they leave the defense on the field too long and CB will get tired trying to keep up with the quick receivers. This should be an enjoyable game, but I think under Ballard the TCU offense just hasn?t come together. They have tremendous talent but something is not clicking and Utah can take advantage at home.

INTERESTING NOTE......
My book has the money
TCU 96%
Utah 4%

Utah came out at +1.5, then went to a pick and (Off the board earlier) now to a fav giving 2.5, very confusing movement.

Cheers
Irish
 

clark

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Oct 1, 2006
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IF FSU GETS UP EARLY IT'S OVER. NCST QB IS LUCKY ,NOT GOOD IN MY OPINION.LOSSES TO AKRON AND S.MISS SHOW THE REAL NCST TEAM. PS EVERY RB NCST HAS FACED HAS HAD THER BEST GAME AGAINST THEM. GL
 

Irish

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Clark
thanks for the info just some extras why I like the pack plus 10.5:

1. Redshirt sophomore Daniel Evans is 1-0 as NC St QB, Not Stone the guy that lost to Akron or S.Miss

2. Wolfpack have won 3 of the last 5 meetings.

3. FSU is allowing 181 passing yards a game, but opponents have thrown for only 3 touchdowns. NC State has allowed only one touchdown pass this season

4. The Wolfpack is No.2 in the ACC in sacks with 12...FSU has 7 quarterback sacks.

Cheers
Irish
 
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