Week 6 NFL WiLd sTyLe

[WildBillPicks7]

Started out good, last couple of weeks, eh!!

New England -9 (1 unit) - Tommy boy's home debut off suspension, Bengals on downward spiral quickly with the Red Flyer Wagon getting shallacked in the pocket.

Over 43 1/2 Balt/Giants (1 unit) - Giants seeking to get something going, Ravens off low pt total vs Skins.

Miami +8 (1 unit) - Steelers big public play not as strong on the rd, Miami off home beat from Titans.

Jacksonville +3 (1 unit) - Bears off Indy loss on the rd, Jags off bye week after winning in Irishland have the better club here.

Over 44 SF/Buff (1 unit) - SF not stopping anyone defensively, Buffalo off a few bigs wins at home, Kaep gets a start, should be some ugly plays in this one.

San Fran +9 (1 unit) - Buffalo this big a fav after rd win @ LA? OK.

Cleveland +7 1/2 (1 unit) - Titans off big rd win @ Miami, now fav? Ok.

Under 44 1/2 Philly/Wash (3 units)

Over 43 LA/Det (3 units)

Indy +3 (3 units) - SNF is fun, usually high scoring affairs and dogs can be live plays, Colts starting to play a bit better each week after 5 weeks, Houston missing JJ Watt, Colts by 3!

Philly -3 (5 units) - Eagles playing consistent on offense let one get away LW, Skins off big rd win @ Balt, Eagles opened as a dog, steamed line, "D" should get them going along with Sproles returns.

KC +1 1/2 (5 units) - Chiefs off bye, Charles starting to get legs under him, Raiders off narrow win vs Bolts, Chiefs should show up to play in this one!

Seattle -5 (5 units) - Seattle not the same, should be rested here, Falcons in b2b situations on west coast after playing Denver on the rd face the noise and 12th man, Wilson and running game should exploit Falcons here, Seattle by 7 or more.

Green Bay -4 (5 units) - Packers vs young stud, Prescott, Boys have not faced a team such as Green Bay yet come back to reality here on the rd @ Lambeau. Packers by 7!






1.............24-16, +6.4
3..............9-8, +.60
5..............4-3-1, +3.5
Halftime....
Moneyline..
Teasers......4-4-1, -8.5
GOY.......
TOY.........
Sides........27-18-2
Totals.......10-10, units counted with units played
TNF..........2-3, units counted with units played
MNF.........5-3, units counted with units played
WON...41.....LOSS...31....PUSH....3...UNITS......+2.0, as of 9/8/16

 

[namja]

I had made 10 picks for week 6 on my spreadsheet. 9 of them agree with you. Scary. I smell a 9 team parlay bet coming up!

My 10th pick is SD FIRST HALF ML +145. I don't think the SD will deviate from their scoring pattern. Do well in the 1H and 3Q. And then #FAIL in the 4Q.





Edited to Add:
Risk $10.00 To Win $2,413.03 Pending 9 Team Parlay
Pending 10/16/16 1:00pm NFL Football 252 New England Patriots -9 -115* vs Cincinnati Bengals
Pending 10/16/16 1:00pm NFL Football 259 Jacksonville Jaguars +3 -125* vs Chicago Bears
Pending 10/16/16 1:00pm NFL Football 261 San Francisco 49ers +9 -130* vs Buffalo Bills
Pending 10/16/16 1:00pm NFL Football 261 San Francisco 49ers/Buffalo Bills Over 43 -130*
Pending 10/16/16 1:00pm NFL Football 265 Cleveland Browns +9 -140* vs Tennessee Titans
Pending 10/16/16 1:00pm NFL Football 267 Philadelphia Eagles -1 -125* vs Washington Redskins
Pending 10/16/16 4:05pm NFL Football 269 Kansas City Chiefs pk +100* vs Oakland Raiders
Pending 10/16/16 4:25pm NFL Football 274 Green Bay Packers -4 -110* vs Dallas Cowboys
Pending 10/16/16 8:30pm NFL Football 275 Indianapolis Colts +3 -105* vs Houston Texans

I have 1 unit on each game, but this is my crazy NFL parlay of the week.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

I had made 10 picks for week 6 on my spreadsheet. 9 of them agree with you. Scary. I smell a 9 team parlay bet coming up!

My 10th pick is SD FIRST HALF ML +145. I don't think the SD will deviate from their scoring pattern. Do well in the 1H and 3Q. And then #FAIL in the 4Q.

BOL!!

 

[ESPNTED]

Love Indy+3. Wrong team favorite. Indy win this game and be tie with Houston for first place in Division. Bank it

 

[Scrapman]

WARNING WARNING who did Patriots Beat last WEEK

oooo yes the 0-4 Browns


Everyone looks great vs 0-4 and teams or 1 - 5 or 1 - 10 teams

yaaaaaaaaaa they win 45- 10 next game vs a team with a 5- 7 record go in as huge chalk and lose the game s/u

:mj07:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

WARNING WARNING who did Patriots Beat last WEEK

oooo yes the 0-4 Browns


Everyone looks great vs 0-4 and teams or 1 - 5 or 1 - 10 teams

yaaaaaaaaaa they win 45- 10 next game vs a team with a 5- 7 record go in as huge chalk and lose the game s/u

:mj07:

You are correct, Scrappy!

This is a light play for me and the main reasons I'm taking NE at home, first game back @ home for Tommy boy, 2nd, Dalton has had no protection and NE "D" will bring more than the Cowboys did, 3rd, Cincy can't run, NE one of best against the run, special teams, Cincy sucks at it, NE has strong special teams and home advantage. Cincy had big hype going into this year and with only one weapon in AJ Green who's being shutdown by every team it seems and no protection for Dalton, NE is one of best against the run, Cincy one of the worst at running the ball, NE special teams big asset along with home field and head coaches, gotta side with Billy boy here.

I have NE winning by 12, advanced Vegas line was NE -4, over-reaction yes to how bad Cincy's been playing, however NE is getting healthier all the time and the two TE's will be too much for Cincy to try and stop along with north/south running of Blount.

Contrarians would go against the 75% public following of NE but with all the intangibles here, I have to side with NE, they are just that much better overall.

If you go by the 70/30 or 80/20 rule, go opp of what the public is playing, it's hitting over 55.7% the past few years, however, the swing has gone from 51 % up to 55.7%, which means the public is doing much better. Last weekend, where money was 70-80% and you went opposite, you went 4-1.

GL!

 

[Scrapman]

GO READ MY NEW THREAD STARTS OUT WARNING>

 

[namja]

WARNING WARNING who did Patriots Beat last WEEK

oooo yes the 0-4 Browns


Everyone looks great vs 0-4 and teams or 1 - 5 or 1 - 10 teams

yaaaaaaaaaa they win 45- 10 next game vs a team with a 5- 7 record go in as huge chalk and lose the game s/u

:mj07:

1. I agree with your thought process, however this scenario does not fit. If the Bengals were anything like a 5-7 team, then I'd say the Pats need to be careful. But the Bengals are more like a 0-4 team right now. They have 2 wins, but the 2 wins are against the 1-4 Jets and the 1-4 Dolphins who are both worse than what their records indicate. The Bengals right now are playing at below Browns level. After the Pats destroy the Bengals and roll into Pittsburgh next week, yeah, the Pats need to be careful. But this week, this is Brady's first home game. He will give the home crowd a show.

2. Speaking of the Bengals and the Browns, I pick the Browns to beat the Bengals next week.

 

[baby johnson]

1. I agree with your thought process, however this scenario does not fit. If the Bengals were anything like a 5-7 team, then I'd say the Pats need to be careful. But the Bengals are more like a 0-4 team right now. They have 2 wins, but the 2 wins are against the 1-4 Jets and the 1-4 Dolphins who are both worse than what their records indicate. The Bengals right now are playing at below Browns level. After the Pats destroy the Bengals and roll into Pittsburgh next week, yeah, the Pats need to be careful. But this week, this is Brady's first home game. He will give the home crowd a show.

2. Speaking of the Bengals and the Browns, I pick the Browns to beat the Bengals next week.

how bout the Pats in the first half then?

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Started out good, last couple of weeks, eh!!

New England -9 (1 unit) - Tommy boy's home debut off suspension, Bengals on downward spiral quickly with the Red Flyer Wagon getting shallacked in the pocket.

Over 43 1/2 Balt/Giants (1 unit) - Giants seeking to get something going, Ravens off low pt total vs Skins.

Miami +8 (1 unit) - Steelers big public play not as strong on the rd, Miami off home beat from Titans.

Jacksonville +3 (1 unit) - Bears off Indy loss on the rd, Jags off bye week after winning in Irishland have the better club here.

Over 44 SF/Buff (1 unit) - SF not stopping anyone defensively, Buffalo off a few bigs wins at home, Kaep gets a start, should be some ugly plays in this one.

San Fran +9 (1 unit) - Buffalo this big a fav after rd win @ LA? OK.

Cleveland +7 1/2 (1 unit) - Titans off big rd win @ Miami, now fav? Ok.

Under 44 1/2 Philly/Wash (3 units)

Over 43 LA/Det (3 units)

Indy +3 (3 units) - SNF is fun, usually high scoring affairs and dogs can be live plays, Colts starting to play a bit better each week after 5 weeks, Houston missing JJ Watt, Colts by 3!

Philly -3 (5 units) - Eagles playing consistent on offense let one get away LW, Skins off big rd win @ Balt, Eagles opened as a dog, steamed line, "D" should get them going along with Sproles returns.

KC +1 1/2 (5 units) - Chiefs off bye, Charles starting to get legs under him, Raiders off narrow win vs Bolts, Chiefs should show up to play in this one!

Seattle -5 (5 units) - Seattle not the same, should be rested here, Falcons in b2b situations on west coast after playing Denver on the rd face the noise and 12th man, Wilson and running game should exploit Falcons here, Seattle by 7 or more.

Green Bay -4 (5 units) - Packers vs young stud, Prescott, Boys have not faced a team such as Green Bay yet come back to reality here on the rd @ Lambeau. Packers by 7!






1.............24-16, +6.4
3..............9-8, +.60
5..............4-3-1, +3.5
Halftime....
Moneyline..
Teasers......4-4-1, -8.5
GOY.......
TOY.........
Sides........27-18-2
Totals.......10-10, units counted with units played
TNF..........2-3, units counted with units played
MNF.........5-3, units counted with units played
WON...41.....LOSS...31....PUSH....3...UNITS......+2.0, as of 9/8/16

OVER 44 Denver/SD (5 units) - Most TNF games have gone over, SD on short rest, Denver "D" will get tested all over the field, Denver 30 SD 28.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

8-6-1, -12.4 units, going 1-4 on 5 unit plays. :facepalm:

New week next week, week 7!

GLE

1.............30-17, +11.3
3..............10-9-1, +.30
5..............5-7-1, -11.5
Halftime....
Moneyline..
Teasers......4-4-1, -8.5
GOY.......
TOY.........
Sides........32-21-3
Totals.......13-12, units counted with units played
TNF..........2-3, units counted with units played
MNF.........5-3, units counted with units played
WON...49.....LOSS...37....PUSH....4...UNITS......-10.4, as of 9/8/16

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MNF

7 pt: Jets +15 1/2 & Under 52 1/2 (5 units)

GLE

1.............30-17, +11.3
3..............10-9-1, +.30
5..............5-7-1, -11.5
Halftime....
Moneyline..
Teasers......4-4-1, -8.5
GOY.......
TOY.........
Sides........32-21-3
Totals.......13-12, units counted with units played
TNF..........2-3, units counted with units played
MNF.........5-3, units counted with units played
WON...49.....LOSS...37....PUSH....4...UNITS......-10.4, as of 9/8/16

 

[WildBillPicks7]

MNF

7 pt: Jets +15 1/2 & Under 52 1/2 (5 units)

GLE

1.............30-17, +11.3
3..............10-9-1, +.30
5..............5-7-1, -11.5
Halftime....
Moneyline..
Teasers......4-4-1, -8.5
GOY.......
TOY.........
Sides........32-21-3
Totals.......13-12, units counted with units played
TNF..........2-3, units counted with units played
MNF.........5-3, units counted with units played
WON...49.....LOSS...37....PUSH....4...UNITS......-10.4, as of 9/8/16

Trying to middle: Jets +15 1/2 & Over 38 (5 units)

 

[WildBillPicks7]

The JETS are bad!! :facepalm:

0-2, -11.0 units on MNF!!

1.............30-17, +11.3
3..............10-9-1, +.30
5..............5-7-1, -11.5
Halftime....
Moneyline..
Teasers......4-6-1, -19.5
GOY.......
TOY.........
Sides........32-21-3
Totals.......13-12, units counted with units played
TNF..........2-3, units counted with units played
MNF.........5-3, units counted with units played
WON...49.....LOSS...39....PUSH....4...UNITS......-21.4, as of 9/8/16

 

[Scrapman]

OK pats won again but most of game Bengals were winning YOU had to worry that your wager was in danger

most times no cover at half time = loss $$$$

any way by my stats patriots are cooked eating bagels in NFL = NO BOWL WINS Ever

since as far back as 1985 .........


wish i could find results from all teams from 1965 but i dont think no body has that much data anywhere


or in print all NFL teams since bowl started in 65

omfg

 

[namja]

The Bengals are TERRIBLE.
They're lucky the game was so close (ONLY lost by 18).

I wouldn't be surprised if the lost to the Browns this week.
Definitely not covering the 10 points they are laying.