Week 6 Plays

[Cie]

33-22 +27.47 ytd


This is the 1st card this season with which I do not feel comfortable.

Leans:

South Carolina -3.5 [will not play over -3]
BG +19.5
Neb +7
Vandy +8.5
Baylor +8.5
FAU +15.5
Vols -2 ---->system play
Tex +10.5
FLA +8.5
Ill -3 ---->system play
Kan +3

GL:weed:

 

[Sun Tzu]

Stay far away from texas.

Many many internal issues to go along with playing bad football.


On top of it all McCoy is questionable with a concussion.

An ass-raping Stoops-style is on the way.

 

[Cie]

Stay far away from texas.

Many many internal issues to go along with playing bad football.


On top of it all McCoy is questionable with a concussion.

An ass-raping Stoops-style is on the way.

Thx for the heads up. GL

 

[dawgball]

I like:

FAU +15' -- both perceptions lead towards South Florida money

South Carolina -3' -- we differ here, but I think this game and line is begging for Cats backers

Tennessee -2 -- i think this is the play here, but I don't feel strongly enough about it to make it official.

Is it pissing money away at this point to pick this spot to back the Irish?

 

[Blackman]

Just curious -- is it the home favorite vs the ranked dog system? Has been lucrative in the past.

Best of luck this week Cie.

 

[Cie]

I like:

FAU +15' -- both perceptions lead towards South Florida money

South Carolina -3' -- we differ here, but I think this game and line is begging for Cats backers

Tennessee -2 -- i think this is the play here, but I don't feel strongly enough about it to make it official.

Is it pissing money away at this point to pick this spot to back the Irish?

I just looked at SC/Kentucky more closely. I agree with your assessment. Line of 3.5 is fishy. No way I play Kentucky, and their +8 turnover margin, in this spot. In fact, I will wait for line to drop to a field goal or less and will definitely play SC. Cats have played no good defenses this season, and were outgained by both solid teams they played---Louisville and Arky. Hell, even Kent St matched them practically yard for yard. SC will be the best front they've faced to date and SC will be able to run.

Thx for your input. GL

 

[Cie]

Just curious -- is it the home favorite vs the ranked dog system? Has been lucrative in the past.

Best of luck this week Cie.

It sure is the unranked fav system. I don't track the results, but I have used it for 4 seasons with definite overall profits. GL this week.

 

[Cie]

Played these so far. Won't be adding too much outside of BG and ILL...

Baylor +8 -105 x1
Cin +3 +100 x1.5
Tenn -2 -105 x3.5
FAU +15.5 -105 x1.5
BG +21 -115 x2
Ill -3 +100 x2

I'm guessing ILL and BG will move in my favor, but we'll just have to see about that. GL:weed:

 

[Cie]

I added another unit and a half to Tenn -2, also added:

BG +21 -115 x2

GLTA:weed:

 

[tulah]

I was thinking about B.C as a possible play this week. now I'm not too sure:shrug:

do you think N.D can hang with the Bruins this week. I'm leaning to the Irish .
Claussen will likely have some friends and family in the Rose Bowl. As you may already now he played H.S in Thousand Oaks which is about 35 miles from the R.B .


Best of luck this week

 

[Cie]

Thx Tulah. Seems like ND got it going late vs. Purdue. UCLA is somehow still living off the USC win LY, because everyone, myself included has been tooo high on them this year. The late outburst to blowout Oreg St last week made an otherwise close game on paper look like a huge win. I didn't watch, but I am going to check drive logs on that game when I get a chance. I will likely add ND+ small later this week.


Added:

Ill -3 +100 x2

Looking closely at 2 favs:scared ----->Ohio St and Oreg St


Good luck to most:weed:

 

[#cruncher]

fwiw Cie, I had the Beavers grading out losing by 12 (by the stats only)...UCLA/Irish is a spooky one to me...UCLA should have beat them last year (when the Irish were rolling)...and if they get the chance they may not call the dogs off???...but my main question is which UCLA defense is going show up...like you said, they were different after the USC victory...I still can't get over them losing to Florida St in the bowl...maybe a hangover from upseting USC?

 

[BGFalcon]

Is it pissing money away at this point to pick this spot to back the Irish?

I felt that last week was a better spot to take the points with ND even though it was very hard to pull the trigger on it. My reasoning was that Purdue is really bad defensively and would likely let up on the gas pedal with Ohio State up the following week. UCLA is better defensively. They have been shaky in the secondary but have faced some pretty good passing teams. That is not the case with ND. UCLA is also still stinging from the Utah debacle and may want to pour it on if possible. Not saying I would lay the chalk but I don't see this as a good spot for the Irish compared to last week. I am passing the game.

This is the 1st card this season with which I do not feel comfortable.

I agree. Besides some Division I-AA games, I may not have many picks this week either.

 

[Kramer]

Cie, Gators getting 8.5, if I bet against LSU, I know
I will lose. How much you give me to bet the
Gators. :mj07:

All kidding aside, don't you think this is a 3-7 pt
game. :shrug:

Don't have a feel for your other games Xcept
GO VOLS

:drinky: :weed:

 

[Morris]

GL this weekend Cie. Haven't looked at the card yet.

 

[Sam Bone]

Good Luck Cie. I also haven't had time to look at the games to much yet, but I'll probably also be on a couple of the games you like.

 

[dawgball]

The more I think about it, the more South Carolina is my favorite play of the week.

That is a bad sign for all of you holding cawk tickets in your hand.

 

[Irish]

cie
gl this weekend..... leaning the tigers to beat up on gators.

cheers
irish

 

[Cie]

Thanks dudes.

Cie, Gators getting 8.5, if I bet against LSU, I know
I will lose. How much you give me to bet the
Gators. :mj07:

All kidding aside, don't you think this is a 3-7 pt
game. :shrug:

Don't have a feel for your other games Xcept
GO VOLS

:drinky: :weed:

Tough card for sure. I figure it to be a close game, but I always seem to underestimate this team. I know I keep preaching this, but LSU OL has played inconistently all season due to an overall lack of experience and cohesiveness.

The WR corps is missing that go-to guy without Doucet, and Flynn has been playing on that high ankle sprain. It seems like there is alot to fix in order for the offense to begin to roll.

On the DL, starter C. Alexander was lost for the season a couple of weeks ago. Marlon Favorite moved into that spot, but was also injured right away and didn't play last week. I did hear he's playing this week.


Certainly LSU can cover this number, but I would play FLA or nothing here. GLTA

 

[#cruncher]

Thanks dudes.



I know I keep preaching this, but LSU OL has played inconistently all season due to an overall lack of experience and cohesiveness.

The WR corps is missing that go-to guy without Doucet, and Flynn has been playing on that high ankle sprain. It seems like there is alot to fix in order for the offense to begin to roll.

On the DL, starter C. Alexander was lost for the season a couple of weeks ago. Marlon Favorite moved into that spot, but was also injured right away and didn't play last week. I did hear he's playing this week.


Certainly LSU can cover this number, but I would play FLA or nothing here. GLTA

:violin:

So Cie, the NC game gonna be played in New Orleans this year? :mj07: