Week 6 plays

[capping-guru]

YTD 78-72-3 +8.17 Units

Friday play -
SU +3 for 3 Units
If SU loses this game, they are 1-4 and can forget a bowl game. So they will be treating this like their bowl game. SU getting points at home in primetime on a Friday night, I will take them all day long. Pitt on the other hand has struggled big time this year and are a horrible road team too boot! I will play SU in the 1st half as well.

 

[capping-guru]

MOH +21 for 2 Units
Cincy off a massive win over VT in the dying seconds. They now return home to face a MAC team in MOH that will play lights out with nothing to lose. Cincy wins but their emotional letdown allows MOH to stay within the number!

 

[capping-guru]

GT +10.5 for 2 Units
GT craps the bed every year, you just never which game it will be. Well it happened this past Saturday as they got caught looking ahead to Clemson. GT always plays well at Clemson and I truly feel the team who has the ball last wins this game. Should be another tight game to the finish between these 2 teams who are notorious for close games against one another. GT has won 5 of the last 6 vs. Clemson and 7 of the last 9. Clemson is the Jacket's 2nd biggest rival behind UGA.

NW +4 for 2 Units
PSU will have trouble with the Wildcats offense all day in this one. PSU D does much better against a run oriented offense. NW should exploit the PSU D through the air. Only angle I hate going against is that PSU fits into a system of unranked home fav over ranked opponent.

 

[capping-guru]

Texas -7 for 3 Units
WV has played absolutely nobody!! They haven't been tested and struggled against a Maryland D that takes away the pass in WV too boot. Terps or Marshall shouldnt be scoring 3 or 4 TD's against WV but they did. That tells you all you need to know about the WV D. Couple that with their first road game of the year against Texas who has already been tested against Okie St. and do have OU on deck. Horns D should get after Geno Smith with their solid pass rush. WV wont have quick scoring TD drives against the Horns. They will have to grind it out and I dont think WV has nearly enough of what it takes on the road against a very well balance Horns team.

 

[capping-guru]

SC -2.5 for 3 Units
UGA defense has allowed every opponent to put up points this year, including Buffalo. Homefield advantage, better defense and a superior running game is more than UGA can handle.

 

[capping-guru]

Miami +13 for 2 Units
Irish D struggles against good passing teams and the Canes can sling it around. Plus they have a very solid running game. ND off their bye week with Stanford on deck. I see ND winning the game but I dont see them winning by double digits. Sure ND has a balanced attack with a solid D but Miami can score with the best of any team in the nation.

 

[capping-guru]

Strong Leans -
NC St. 13.5
Vandy +7.5
VT +3.5
OU -4
Maryland -4
Auburn -10
OSU -5
IU +14.5
Purdue +3

 

[cole]

Texas -7 for 3 Units
WV has played absolutely nobody!! They haven't been tested and struggled against a Maryland D that takes away the pass in WV too boot. Terps or Marshall shouldnt be scoring 3 or 4 TD's against WV but they did. That tells you all you need to know about the WV D. Couple that with their first road game of the year against Texas who has already been tested against Okie St. and do have OU on deck. Horns D should get after Geno Smith with their solid pass rush. WV wont have quick scoring TD drives against the Horns. They will have to grind it out and I dont think WV has nearly enough of what it takes on the road against a very well balance Horns team.

I'm a Texas guy and while I understand and agree with many of your points, the Horns inability to tackle in space really concerns me in this game. The linebackers are a mess right now and really need to get Hicks back this week. I do think Texas will be able to run the ball and maybe play a little keep away but the question is whether they can actually ever stop WV. The defense has been a major disappointment so far. I will no doubt be pulling for you on this one though. Good luck!

 

[capping-guru]

I'm a Texas guy and while I understand and agree with many of your points, the Horns inability to tackle in space really concerns me in this game. The linebackers are a mess right now and really need to get Hicks back this week. I do think Texas will be able to run the ball and maybe play a little keep away but the question is whether they can actually ever stop WV. The defense has been a major disappointment so far. I will no doubt be pulling for you on this one though. Good luck!

Always appreciate the insight, good or bad. As for your points, you make a great point on the tackling but I really think the front 7 of Texas gets after Geno Smith. Heck Maryland's front 7 did and they were nowhere near as athletic as the Horns front 7. Sure WV is number one is scoring this year but their D is 91st! Yikes! Horns are 9th in scoring in the nation but 41st in PA. Their passing game is 40th in the nation but 19th in rushing. Horns are too balanced for me on both sides of the ball plus homefield will be huge here, WV over the years are never a good road team.

 

[capping-guru]

North Texas +12 for 1 Unit -
Houston is just flat out horrible and brutal ATS while UNT has played some tough games to date against LSU, KSU and Troy and are more battle tested in my eyes. I will take the near 2 TD's in this one.

OSU -3 for 2 Units -
Better coach and more balanced team in OSU. Huskers are a terrible road team and are far too inconsistent for me to back them up.

Maryland -4 for 1 Unit -
Off the bye week the Terps should be rested and ready for WF who have been anything short of awful this year. I think the Terps passing game gives WF fits.

 

[capping-guru]

Stanford opens at -12.5 last night, line has dropped to -8. Anyone with info on potential injuries for the huge line drop? Thanks in advance!

 

[Full court press]

MOH +21 for 2 Units
Cincy off a massive win over VT in the dying seconds. They now return home to face a MAC team in MOH that will play lights out with nothing to lose. Cincy wins but their emotional letdown allows MOH to stay within the number!

Miami and Cincy have a rivalry of sorts since they are so close to one another. The Bearcats can expect the Redhawks best shot here. Miami QB Dysert has been putting up nice numbers and has really improved over the years and generally makes good decisions with the football.

 

[capping-guru]

Miami and Cincy have a rivalry of sorts since they are so close to one another. The Bearcats can expect the Redhawks best shot here. Miami QB Dysert has been putting up nice numbers and has really improved over the years and generally makes good decisions with the football.

Thanks! Great info on the game, it really makes me like this game more and more. Great situational spot here.

 

[capping-guru]

Thursday night play -
Utah +14 for 2 Units
Dogs are 4-1 ATS so far this year on Thursday nights. Vegas loves getting a ton of money on the favs on National TV as the dogs usually play above their heads in this spot. This is no different plus you get a team that the public loves in USC. 2TD fav on the road in conf. play makes me want to hit this one even bigger.

 

[#cruncher]

Thursday night play -
Utah +14 for 2 Units
Dogs are 4-1 ATS so far this year on Thursday nights. Vegas loves getting a ton of money on the favs on National TV as the dogs usually play above their heads in this spot. This is no different plus you get a team that the public loves in USC. 2TD fav on the road in conf. play makes me want to hit this one even bigger.

Feel the same as you, Utah should be jacked up for this one and the man usually always 'penalizes' USC some. Only concern is Utah's offense, but if they can get any kind of offense at all their defense could make this a tight one.

 

[capping-guru]

Feel the same as you, Utah should be jacked up for this one and the man usually always 'penalizes' USC some. Only concern is Utah's offense, but if they can get any kind of offense at all their defense could make this a tight one.

Thanks! Great point on the penalties being called. I watched SU give USC fits on a neutral field, I think Utah really brings it tonight! GL to us!

 

[capping-guru]

ECU +12 for 1 Unit
This has always been a tight series and UCF has struggled big time in the 2nd half of games this year. Give me the double digits.

 

[capping-guru]

Ark St. -2 for 1 Unit

Making Maryland a 2 Unit play now. WF has now lost their best WR and they struggle big time on offense already.

 

[capping-guru]

Ole Miss +12.5 for 3 Units
I really think the no-huddle Rebels offense gives A&M D a tough time. A&M on the road here and a nice spot for the Rebs at home. I see this as a FG game.

 

[capping-guru]

Army +7.5 for 1 Unit
Going to bite on this one as BC is terrible on the road, line has dropped 2pts. yet all the money keeps pouring in on BC. Doesnt add up to me.