Week 6

[WildBillPicks7]

Not my favorite card, but a few jump out strong this week, other plays trend and statisical plays.

Week 6

Thursday Night NFL:

Colts -2 1/2 (5 units) :00hour
13 pt teaser, (1 unit) - Teaser / Over 33 Colts/Texans, Under 58 BYU/UCF, Colts +9 1/2 & UCF +9 1/2 :00hour

Denver -8 (1 unit) :00hour - NJ shutout LW? Denver on turf high scoring, Denver 38 Jets 13
Over 47 1/2 Denver/Jets (1 unit) :00hour
Pittsburgh +2 1/2 (1 unit) :sadwave: 2nd gm between the 2, Pitt had huge lead last time, win again by 3.
Over 45 Carolina/Bengals (1 unit):00hour Intersectional game, Carolina on turf, Bengals off rd L MNF.
New England -3 (1 unit):00hour Bills off big win @ Detroit, Pats off easy win vs Bengals, Pats better QB
Chicago +3 1/2 (1 unit) :00hour Both teams suck defensively, Falcons better at home, B2B RG for CHI.
Oakland +7 1/2 (1 unit):00hour Chargers should romp so why the pt drop? Raiders search for W #1.
Seattle -8 (1 unit) :sadwave: - Seattle off MNF win, late game for them, Dallas 3-1 A L4 vs Sea but this Sea team different than years past. Seattle by 10 or more.
Carolina +7 (1 unit) :00hour- Cincy off Sunday night loss, both teams even on paper, Carolina off big home W.

Green Bay -3 (3 units) :shrug:- Packers in a scoring machine groove, Miami QB vs GB "D"? GB 31 Miami 20
OVER 53 CHI/ATL (5 units) :sadwave: - Saints & Falcons put up huge pts, CHI put up nice points away LW vs Carolina, Atlanta did same at NYG but failed to perform on rd, this one both teams should scoring in upper 20's, ATL 28 CHI 27 or Visa Versa!

Jags +5 (3 units):00hour Jags no wins this year, Titans off last minute loss to Browns LW, Whitehurst gets the start, Titans gave up 175 yards rushing LW, Jags on 75 yds rushing per game, wet conditions may come into play, Bortles could have a break out day or bust!! I'll take the road dog that's had no wins over a 1-4 team!

Sunday Night game:




Eagles -2 1/2 (3 units) Eagles in revenge mode over last year defeat in which Boles got his bell rung, this time he's healthy and special teams and "D" have carried the birds the last few weeks, now the adjustment at home in game 2 of b2b will prove worthy for Eagles big receivers vs NYG secondary who's taken apart the Skins and Falcons last couple of weeks, Eagles front 7 get to Eli a few times and his ol' turnover magic should come into play!! Eagles 34 NYG 24!

1 unit......21-24-1, -5.4
3 unit......9-1, +23.7
5 unit......3-1-1, +9.50
Teasers....4-1, +7.0
Moneyline..6-3, +1.4
MNF......7-2
Sides....28-21-2, 57.1%
Totals...9-5, 64.2%
Parlays..0-1, -1.0
Halftime...1-3, -4.6
WON...44..LOSS...34... Push...3..55.84%...units..+30.6..since 9/04/2014

 

[WildBillPicks7]

added:

Carolina +7 (1 unit) - Cincy off Sunday night loss, both teams even on paper, Carolina off big home W. Get this other fact, so far teams that played on Sunday football their next game out unless it was a bye afterwards, the ATS winner on Sunday night is 1-3- their next game ATS, ATS loser from Sunday Night is 0-4. Bengals without Purfict are not the same aggressiveness and Patriots exposed them with good short passes, some deep passes and using their RBs in play action schemes. Sure, Cam isn't a big play action guy, but he's a capable runner and his big WRs and Olson just might get to the Bengals. Carolina 27 Cincy 24.

GL!

Other Facts: Monday night football loser is 4-0-1 their next game, MNF winner is 2-2-1 their next game, there were 2 games on MNF in wk 1 for those of you who may know it's week 6 and how does WildBill come up with 5 games already.

:142smilie

Thursday night ATS winner - 1-2, winners have had last 2 byes, ATS loser is 1-1-1, and guess what? 2 byes afterwards.


GL this week!

:0003

 

[canabiz]

GL Bill...appreciate you posting BW picks if you happen to come across them.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

GL Bill...appreciate you posting BW picks if you happen to come across them.

If I get them (I have 3 plays he's on, 2 of which I'm not touching now lines moved too much), I randomly post them and if I do it's in the thread I happen to be in. I will try to post them in the services thread under Football Service picks.

Thanks!!

GL!

:0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Colts -2 1/2 (5 units) Too many factors for this game. 1, who do you want to QB your football team, Luck or Fitz? What WRs do you want on your team? Andre or sure handed Wayne, Hilton, Nicks? Texans have big runner back, but how'd he do vs Dallas? A couple big plays huh? Colts are more healthy this year this time around then they were last year this time around and have added some players in key positions. Richardson will expose the Texans front 7, where the Texans give up 4.8 yards per rush and 6.6 yards per reception. Luck will expose this with his TEs Fleener and Allen who are both big TEs. JJ Watt will be dbl teamed you can almost bet on that and the Colts will do some dunkaroos around him and off tackle trap plays with Bradshaw and Richardson. Other factors, Texans have played who this year in comparison to Colts? Giants? They got beat up by the Giants. They got beat by Dallas after Dallas was sky high after home win vs the Aints. Texans beat Buffalo? Really? Buffalo? They beat Washington? Really? When Griffin got hurt? Skins "O" was so out of synch they beat themselves in that game. If you are line tracking this game and betting on Texans you better do your homework on their personnel, their play calling tendencies and their special teams. Sure the home dog might be a great play tonight but really? Colts have played a pretty healthy schedule and they have probably one of the most astute QBs in the NFL in Luck. And better yet, they have a very good kicker which will be the x factor this evening in this Televised tilt. My numbers had this game as a pickem to -2 and the spread opened -2 1/2 on the Colts, so Vegas knows something. Colts won at Houston LY 27-24, yeah, HC at that time had a heart ailment, that wasn't any difference in the game folks. Colts were a -1 fav LY with not as good personnel as this Colts team has this year and it's Chuck's 2nd full season after his ailment when Bruce Arians ran the team for him and the Colts are smarter. Houston has some "RAW" talent folks, they have a new HC in O'Brien who did well at Penn St and was a good coordinator and assistant to the General in New Eeenglund, so comparing apples to apples, I'll take the small fav here to win by 6 pts! Indy 27 Hou 21!

GL!

Oh and one more thing, line opened -2 1/2 as I said, rose to -3+05 , now back down to -2 1/2, most games end on 3-7 pts, public % is 76 spread Indy and 78 money line Indy. Both teams are 3-2, Indy is 2-0 on the road ATS, 1-1 SU, beating Jags as everyone has this year, lost at Denver by 7 in first Sunday Night game. I think the Colts are lil more formidable than the Skins and Buffalo, both teams that Texans beat so far at home.

Later taters!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Colts -2 1/2 (5 units) Too many factors for this game. 1, who do you want to QB your football team, Luck or Fitz? What WRs do you want on your team? Andre or sure handed Wayne, Hilton, Nicks? Texans have big runner back, but how'd he do vs Dallas? A couple big plays huh? Colts are more healthy this year this time around then they were last year this time around and have added some players in key positions. Richardson will expose the Texans front 7, where the Texans give up 4.8 yards per rush and 6.6 yards per reception. Luck will expose this with his TEs Fleener and Allen who are both big TEs. JJ Watt will be dbl teamed you can almost bet on that and the Colts will do some dunkaroos around him and off tackle trap plays with Bradshaw and Richardson. Other factors, Texans have played who this year in comparison to Colts? Giants? They got beat up by the Giants. They got beat by Dallas after Dallas was sky high after home win vs the Aints. Texans beat Buffalo? Really? Buffalo? They beat Washington? Really? When Griffin got hurt? Skins "O" was so out of synch they beat themselves in that game. If you are line tracking this game and betting on Texans you better do your homework on their personnel, their play calling tendencies and their special teams. Sure the home dog might be a great play tonight but really? Colts have played a pretty healthy schedule and they have probably one of the most astute QBs in the NFL in Luck. And better yet, they have a very good kicker which will be the x factor this evening in this Televised tilt. My numbers had this game as a pickem to -2 and the spread opened -2 1/2 on the Colts, so Vegas knows something. Colts won at Houston LY 27-24, yeah, HC at that time had a heart ailment, that wasn't any difference in the game folks. Colts were a -1 fav LY with not as good personnel as this Colts team has this year and it's Chuck's 2nd full season after his ailment when Bruce Arians ran the team for him and the Colts are smarter. Houston has some "RAW" talent folks, they have a new HC in O'Brien who did well at Penn St and was a good coordinator and assistant to the General in New Eeenglund, so comparing apples to apples, I'll take the small fav here to win by 6 pts! Indy 27 Hou 21!

GL!

Oh and one more thing, line opened -2 1/2 as I said, rose to -3+05 , now back down to -2 1/2, most games end on 3-7 pts, public % is 76 spread Indy and 78 money line Indy. Both teams are 3-2, Indy is 2-0 on the road ATS, 1-1 SU, beating Jags as everyone has this year, lost at Denver by 7 in first Sunday Night game. I think the Colts are lil more formidable than the Skins and Buffalo, both teams that Texans beat so far at home.

Later taters!

:0003

Last add today, I may post a Total of Year or Game of Year for Saturday before Saturday am.

13 pt teaser, (1 unit) - Teaser / Over 33 Colts/Texans, Under 58 BYU/UCF, Colts +9 1/2 & UCF +9 1/2

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Sunday Night game:

Eagles -2 1/2 (3 units) Eagles in revenge mode over last year defeat in which Boles got his bell rung, this time he's healthy and special teams and "D" have carried the birds the last few weeks, now the adjustment at home in game 2 of b2b will prove worthy for Eagles big receivers vs NYG secondary who's taken apart the Skins and Falcons last couple of weeks, Eagles front 7 get to Eli a few times and his ol' turnover magic should come into play!! Eagles 34 NYG 24!

GL!

 

[canabiz]

If I get them (I have 3 plays he's on, 2 of which I'm not touching now lines moved too much), I randomly post them and if I do it's in the thread I happen to be in. I will try to post them in the services thread under Football Service picks.

Thanks!!

GL!

:0074

Thank you Bill. Appreciate it!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Thank you Bill. Appreciate it!

Anytime canabiz!! :toast:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Last add today, I may post a Total of Year or Game of Year for Saturday before Saturday am.

13 pt teaser, (1 unit) - Teaser / Over 33 Colts/Texans, Under 58 BYU/UCF, Colts +9 1/2 & UCF +9 1/2

:00hour:00hour WINNAHS!!

 

[canabiz]

Nice call on the Colts, Bill!

Any other BW NFL plays for Week 6 that you are aware of, outside of the Over on Thursday?

Thanks and continued success!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Nice call on the Colts, Bill!

Any other BW NFL plays for Week 6 that you are aware of, outside of the Over on Thursday?

Thanks and continued success!

Arizona @ -3, it's -6 now.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Slap me now!! Way too many plays. After this week, big adjustment on # of plays I post. The numbers as Senor states, "are getting sharper".

Jags +5 (3 units) Jags no wins this year, Titans off last minute loss to Browns LW, Whitehurst gets the start, Titans gave up 175 yards rushing LW, Jags on 75 yds rushing per game, wet conditions may come into play, Bortles could have a break out day or bust!! I'll take the road dog that's had no wins over a 1-4 team!

GLE!!

 

[sds222]

Jags +5 (3 units)

I don't get this line, i took jags earlier at 4, :toast:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Get the cover with the Jags!! :toast:


Ahead so far today with a push on Packers at +3. Eagles line now down to -1? WOW!! 68% on NYG and 80% on money line when it had value. Eagles in prime time games, Thurs, Sun and Mon, 3-0-1, push vs SF @ SF. Eli vs Eagles dbs, 2.1 INTs per game last 3 games!! Watch the show!!

GO EAGLES!!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

added:

Carolina +7 (1 unit) - Cincy off Sunday night loss, both teams even on paper, Carolina off big home W. Get this other fact, so far teams that played on Sunday football their next game out unless it was a bye afterwards, the ATS winner on Sunday night is 1-3- their next game ATS, ATS loser from Sunday Night is 0-4. Bengals without Purfict are not the same aggressiveness and Patriots exposed them with good short passes, some deep passes and using their RBs in play action schemes. Sure, Cam isn't a big play action guy, but he's a capable runner and his big WRs and Olson just might get to the Bengals. Carolina 27 Cincy 24.

GL!

Other Facts: Monday night football loser is 4-0-1 their next game, MNF winner is 2-2-1 their next game, there were 2 games on MNF in wk 1 for those of you who may know it's week 6 and how does WildBill come up with 5 games already.

:142smilie

Thursday night ATS winner - 1-2, winners have had last 2 byes, ATS loser is 1-1-1, and guess what? 2 byes afterwards.


GL this week!

:0003

Thursday loser now is 1-2-1, with Texans pending next wk. Cincy ties 37-37, loses ATS, should have lost SU!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Get the cover with the Jags!! :toast:


Ahead so far today with a push on Packers at +3. Eagles line now down to -1? WOW!! 68% on NYG and 80% on money line when it had value. Eagles in prime time games, Thurs, Sun and Mon, 3-0-1, push vs SF @ SF. Eli vs Eagles dbs, 2.1 INTs per game last 3 games!! Watch the show!!

GO EAGLES!!

:0003

With line now at -1 Philly, Public is 51% on Philly side and 83% ML for Giants, was 68% NYG side and 80% ML NYG.

:0corn

 

[Franchise_Davis]

With line now at -1 Philly, Public is 51% on Philly side and 83% ML for Giants, was 68% NYG side and 80% ML NYG.

:0corn

I agree (if that counts for anything today)

I think the Giants come back to earth this week. They are not going to sweep the rest of their schedule

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Sunday Night game:

Eagles -2 1/2 (3 units) Eagles in revenge mode over last year defeat in which Boles got his bell rung, this time he's healthy and special teams and "D" have carried the birds the last few weeks, now the adjustment at home in game 2 of b2b will prove worthy for Eagles big receivers vs NYG secondary who's taken apart the Skins and Falcons last couple of weeks, Eagles front 7 get to Eli a few times and his ol' turnover magic should come into play!! Eagles 34 NYG 24!

GL!

Ok folks, already played Eagles -2 1/2, line since fluctuated since my original post, public has gone both ways on both teams and the ML all day. Pundits all saying same thing "Eagles offense has not done anything, it's been special teams and their "D"!" Well duh!! Anyone who watches/follows the NFL knows this, why do you think the oddsmakers only made the Eagles a 3 pt fav? That's where the line should have been 3! Giants away thus far had a win at Washington, that's it!! They played like crap in wk 1 vs Detroit @ Detroit. Eli has been better because their opponents have had no pass rush, do you think the Eagles have no pass rush? So far this season the Eagles have already surpassed their 1/2 way point from last year in sacks! The DBs for the Eagles have intercepted more passes through the first 5 games and beat last year Special Teams TDs already. Sure we can't count on the special teams to win a game for the Eagles, but all teams count on special teams to do something, how the hell did the Saints win their SB ring? Wasn't Sproles there? How about Seattle? Did they have special teams crush the Broncos? How about the Ravens? Didn't Jacoby Jones crush a KO return during the Lights out in New Orleans fiasco?

Eagles win this one tonight folks!! I'll give the -2 now I can get, my local closed shop to me today and they usually take me up to game time on SNF!!

2 more units on Eagles to make it a 5 units on the Eagles, 3 @ -2 1/2 and 2 @ -2.

GL!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Ok folks, already played Eagles -2 1/2, line since fluctuated since my original post, public has gone both ways on both teams and the ML all day. Pundits all saying same thing "Eagles offense has not done anything, it's been special teams and their "D"!" Well duh!! Anyone who watches/follows the NFL knows this, why do you think the oddsmakers only made the Eagles a 3 pt fav? That's where the line should have been 3! Giants away thus far had a win at Washington, that's it!! They played like crap in wk 1 vs Detroit @ Detroit. Eli has been better because their opponents have had no pass rush, do you think the Eagles have no pass rush? So far this season the Eagles have already surpassed their 1/2 way point from last year in sacks! The DBs for the Eagles have intercepted more passes through the first 5 games and beat last year Special Teams TDs already. Sure we can't count on the special teams to win a game for the Eagles, but all teams count on special teams to do something, how the hell did the Saints win their SB ring? Wasn't Sproles there? How about Seattle? Did they have special teams crush the Broncos? How about the Ravens? Didn't Jacoby Jones crush a KO return during the Lights out in New Orleans fiasco?

Eagles win this one tonight folks!! I'll give the -2 now I can get, my local closed shop to me today and they usually take me up to game time on SNF!!

2 more units on Eagles to make it a 5 units on the Eagles, 3 @ -2 1/2 and 2 @ -2.

GL!!

:0008