===*===
2025 NFL: 29-44-2 -739.67
--straight: 9-8-2 [sides: 9-8-1 (fave:6-7-1, dog:3-1) totals: 0-0-1 (ov:x-y, un:0-0-1)]
--teasers: 18-21 [6, 6.5 & 7pts: 8-14, T3/10: 6-4, T4/13: 4-3]
--parlays: 2-15
===*===
Week 5 was close but no cigar on Rams (well, for tease, here), Browns, Seahawks, and Chiefs, which were my 4 straight losses. All had late chances, but my book tells me that close only counts in horseshoes. They seem to be paying all those lucky folks with horseshoes stuck where the sun don't shine; unfair favoritism. I tried. Where are my hand grenades. Gotta have a sense of humor to have enjoyed week 5's festivities, what with the pinball game in Arizona, the hot potato show in New Orleans, a tipsy Trevor Lawrence breaking in a new pair of shoes in Duval, among others. Moving on.
===
Colts -6.5 -109 327/300
cowboys -3 -102 102/100
chargers -4 +101 100/101
patriots -3.5 +106 150/159
Buccaneers -3 +101 100/101
bears +4.5 -108 108/100
=887(6)
===
-Colts have destroyed the 3 also-rans that they've faced (Mia,Ten,LVR). Cardinals might be hoping to avoid that classification, and have incredibly lost their last 3 all on last-second field goals, but with their current defensive injuries and locker room instability, they look ripe to continue this present illusion that is the Indiana Jones Colts. One handicapping issue this match presents, to me, is how to consider opponent's passer rating when their list of opposing quarterbacks is unimpressive, as is the case with Cards. Strength of schedule doesn't tell the whole story. To illustrate my concern, I see Cards with opponent passer rating of 82.5 which is 6th best. Colts are presently 8th at 86.7, leaving me the only metric I see that favors Cardinals for this one.
-I think this Patriots team is too fresh and too well-coached for this to be a let-down spot. Road trip a little concerning but it took the Saints getting 5 straight turnovers from the Giants in order to get their first win of the year. Also, my doctor recommended exposure therapy to get over my childhood trauma of giving 3.5 points and suffering my team winning by a field goal. Wouldn't buying the hook leave me more exposed? Medical science is over my head.
I might still indulge in teasers or something stronger. Both, probably.
Good Luck
2025 NFL: 29-44-2 -739.67
--straight: 9-8-2 [sides: 9-8-1 (fave:6-7-1, dog:3-1) totals: 0-0-1 (ov:x-y, un:0-0-1)]
--teasers: 18-21 [6, 6.5 & 7pts: 8-14, T3/10: 6-4, T4/13: 4-3]
--parlays: 2-15
===*===
Week 5 was close but no cigar on Rams (well, for tease, here), Browns, Seahawks, and Chiefs, which were my 4 straight losses. All had late chances, but my book tells me that close only counts in horseshoes. They seem to be paying all those lucky folks with horseshoes stuck where the sun don't shine; unfair favoritism. I tried. Where are my hand grenades. Gotta have a sense of humor to have enjoyed week 5's festivities, what with the pinball game in Arizona, the hot potato show in New Orleans, a tipsy Trevor Lawrence breaking in a new pair of shoes in Duval, among others. Moving on.
===
Colts -6.5 -109 327/300
cowboys -3 -102 102/100
chargers -4 +101 100/101
patriots -3.5 +106 150/159
Buccaneers -3 +101 100/101
bears +4.5 -108 108/100
=887(6)
===
-Colts have destroyed the 3 also-rans that they've faced (Mia,Ten,LVR). Cardinals might be hoping to avoid that classification, and have incredibly lost their last 3 all on last-second field goals, but with their current defensive injuries and locker room instability, they look ripe to continue this present illusion that is the Indiana Jones Colts. One handicapping issue this match presents, to me, is how to consider opponent's passer rating when their list of opposing quarterbacks is unimpressive, as is the case with Cards. Strength of schedule doesn't tell the whole story. To illustrate my concern, I see Cards with opponent passer rating of 82.5 which is 6th best. Colts are presently 8th at 86.7, leaving me the only metric I see that favors Cardinals for this one.
-I think this Patriots team is too fresh and too well-coached for this to be a let-down spot. Road trip a little concerning but it took the Saints getting 5 straight turnovers from the Giants in order to get their first win of the year. Also, my doctor recommended exposure therapy to get over my childhood trauma of giving 3.5 points and suffering my team winning by a field goal. Wouldn't buying the hook leave me more exposed? Medical science is over my head.
I might still indulge in teasers or something stronger. Both, probably.
Good Luck
