Week 7 Card (Oct 13th-15th)

[Irish]

Louisville (-7) over WVU
The best thing that could have happened to Louisville was the loss to SF. They are refocused and playing well. Now they go into WVU a place that WVU plays well but the offensive fire power of Louisville is way too much for WVU to contend with in this game. Louisville has talent up front and the O-line should open hole for the running game and the pass should be open all day. The Louisville defensive front should break up the running attack of WVU. Slayton is a solid back but Gwaltney is out and that is a small blow to WVU. WVU was able to pass and run effectively on Rutgers but this is not Rutgers and Louisville will stack the box to force WVU to throw. Really this game comes down to offense and Louisville will have WVU off balance all day. I like WVU at home but not in this game. The D-line for Louisville is solid and should be able to stop the run themselves but having 2 LB's in the mix will make i even harder for WVU to run. I have watched WVU all season and they IMO get a little too much respect in their house. VT was able to throw on the Neers all day and because of this the Cards should not see too many drives stall. Louisville has too much speed and they will turn this game into a track meet.

Cheers
Irish

 

[tulah]

This game caught my eye as soon as I looked at the spread sheet!

This is essentialy for the big east conference championship!

GL

 

[ajoytoy]

on it Irish...will be a pool play for me unless some injuries pop up beofre the weekend

gl on em all

 

[Shibby]

Looking forward to the rest of your plays and write-ups. Great work.

 

[Irish]

Ark St (-10.5) over La-Laff
Ark St has a veteran team and they have a lot of offensive weapons that can put up big numbers against a poor La-Laff defense. The Cajun defense gives up 220 yards rushing per game and the pass defense gives up 225 per game. The Cajuns have posted double digit loses in 3 out of 4 loses. The Indians have the top rated offense in the sun belt. They average 215 yards on the ground which sets up some solid production through the air. Senior QB Nick Noce should have enough time to make plays considering the Cajun defense must stack the box to stop the run, therefore having to play man on the outside. The biggest news for the Indians is the return of Antonio Warren RB, this senior leads the sun belt in rushing even after missing the last ASU game. It is not 100% that Warren will play but the weeks off should help his high ankle sprain enough for this is projected return game. The ASU defense gets a break with not having to face Baab, the senior Cajun QB should be out again opening up the second start for Desormeaux. The left handed QB is 45% on the year and has 5 interception, which is good news for the ASU secondary that has two solid players at safety. The ASU LB?s should shadow this QB because he does not stay in the pocket, he is one look down field and then scramble, normally to the left. If the Indians stack the box the Cajun offense will not be effective. The Indians at home play very well and coming off a loss and having an extra week of practice should have the Indians ready for this ESPN-U game. 10.5 is a lot for ASU to spot the Cajuns but I think ASU can shut the Cajuns out.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

NC St(-5.5) over Clemson
The wolfpack played a very tough schedule and they have show the ability to hang with strong teams. Granted the kicker for GT should have won the game for the jackets but Davis stepped in and threw some strikes after those miscues. The tigers have also played a very tough schedule and been in every game they have played. Considering the Tigers have lost by 3, 4 and 6 points and won by 4 and 1. The Clemson running game has set up Whitehurst and given the tigers a much need boost. The key to shutting out Clemson is keep them outside the redzone. The tigers rank 1st in the ACC in scoring from inside the 20 but 8th after that, showing the lack of big play potential. This speaks well for NC St because they have a very solid kicker and this should be a battle of field position. The Clemson defense has looked poor, they rank 9th in scoring defense and 10th in rushing and 10th in passing defense in the ACC. 5 of the. 7 of the last 8 match-ups between these 2 teams have been decided by 8 or LESS points. The environment should be crazy for NC St. The lack of offense for NC St has been a big disappointment. The Wolfpack rank 102 nationally in rushing which is based on poor o-line play. The Pack defense has not looked as strong as expected but that has to do with the offensive productivity. If the offense picks up their end and limits the penalties they have the players to make big plays. This is a huge conference game for 2 teams that MUST win. Clemson is 1-1 on the road losing its latest to Wake, in which the Tigers just ran out of gas in the fourth quarter. Triple OT against Miami, OT against BC, might have an issue with keeping up the intensity for 4 quarters away. Tiger?s last games have been decided in the last min or in overtime, that is an emotional rollercoaster that some of these kids might have problem dealing. Not sold on the NC St offense but think the defense, kicking game and crowd should be enough to wear the Tigers down and pull away in the 4th.

Cheers
Irish

 

[bryanz]

ARK is no more veteran than LAL. Both teams have 7 back on (D) and LAL had 7 on (O) , ARK had 4 on (O) to start the season. Both teams will be with out their "best" guys on offense. Last yr LAL won the game even after giving up 300 yards on the ground , 80 on 1 play to tail back Warren who is questionable and may not play and did not play in ARK last game.

 

[AR182]

irish,

good stuff as usual....

good luck with your plays...

 

[Irish]

Injuries to key veteran players in why the Indians have the edge in that category. A lot of freshman at the skill players for la-laff.
Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

NC St/Clem UNDER (10) 1st quarter

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

NC st/Clem UNDER (10.5) 2nd quarter
Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

UTEP (-7) over Tulane
UTEP killed them self?s last game fumbling 3 times and having 3 interceptions. You cannot do that in Memphis when you fail to stop Williams running the ball for 236 yards and 2 TD?s. UTEP had 9 drives in the first half and were in scoring position 6 out of the 9 yet only came away with 6 points. Now the Miners go into a neutral field (3 hours from Tulane) to play the green wave that got hammered by Houston (a team that UTAP beat). Houston was able to move the ball through the air but they were more effective rushing the ball, which is not the Miners strong suit. Still UTEP likes to use the dump pass as a form of a run play and Ebell can take it the distance. UTEP HAS to avoid the turn over and they should have no problem with Tulane that has wins against SMU and Southeastern Louisiana? Which shows the misleading stat of Tulane having the #2 defense in NCAA, which after the Houston game is probably not the case anymore. This defense should have problems with UTEPS offense that has speed and talent at WR. The Tulane O-line is banged up and UTEP is getting healthier with the return of West, Ward and Van on the miners defensive line. However losing Mineo is a big loss to the miners d-line but the returning players I mentioned before should help off set that injury. Palmer was banged up and had a rib injury but the week off will help him. The offense of UTEP (if the limit turnovers Palmer 6 picks so far won?t cut it) should have no problems moving the ball on the Tulane defense. The Tulane offense might have problems if they cannot run the ball and UTEP can force turnovers if Ricard has to throw all day. This is a team that will sputter offensively if put in 3rd and long situations. UTEP should play run almost every first down and it will be a long day for the green wave that have been going through an emotional rollercoaster all season, having no home field hurts the wave as well because the students don?t make the 3 hour trip to support the team. BIG plays are the key, Houston was able to make big plays and pile it on and the Miners have to hit the wave deep and hit them hard and the wave should struggle. The best thing for UTEP is to get out on top of Tulane forcing them to throw because the Miners struggle against the run but play well against the mid range pass which is the only other option for Tulane if they can?t run.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Small look ahead parlay

Indiana (+15.5)
Ol Miss (+13.5)
Wake (+14)

Background:
Indiana plays Iowa that goes into Michigan next week
Ol Miss at home gets Bama looking to Tennessee next week
Wake gets BC looking at going into VT next week

Just a small play
Also Texas Tech falls into that going to Texas next week BUT I'm playing TT (-15) this weekend because IMO K-State is that bad.

Cheers
Irish

 

[trolln4walii]

GL this week Irish. With you on Louisville and Indy. Have TT in my teaser. Hope you add more to your card that I'm playing :mj14:

 

[Irish]

TT (-15) over K-State
First of all, the red raiders are coming off a close game in Nebraska. Might be a bit of a look ahead to Texas this week but being at home might be enough to get the raiders ready to lay the wood. K-State hasn?t played a very tough schedule and looked very bad against Oklahoma and Kansas. K-State averages .73 yards per carry, let me repeat that .73 yards per carry. They gained 22 against Oklahoma and 35 against Kansas. Injuries have killed the wildcats and forces Webb and Evridge to carry the load, which they cannot. Hate to spot 15 with the longhorns on the door step but IMO at home the raiders are very dangerous, beating Kansas by 13 and averaging in the 60 plus point area (56,63,80) in their 3 other homes games, granted against poor teams. The coach called him self out on poor play selection against the cornhuskers in the 2nd half only gaining 118 yards. Especially regarding going away from the running game and Henderson. The Texas Tech defense is much improved and should be a big problem for K-state considering their ineffectiveness. This defense should have the advantage of playing with an early lead making K-State have to pass, this allows the D-line to pin their ears back and rush which is again bad news for the inexperienced O-line and young QB?s for K-State. The poor K-State offensive line is a very big problem. The red raiders need to play this game and not look ahead to Texas. Still Texas Tech should jump all over this poor K-State team and would like to see some back-up players for Texas Tech so they add a little insurance in the end, Graham Harrell is a solid back up and can move that offense. Look for Henderson to have a big game and the WR?s for TT to get behind the poor K-state secondary. The spread formation should string out the wildcats and they do not play team defense at all. Hodges should have a all day in the pocket to find open receivers something he did not have against Kansas or Nebraska.

Cheers
Irish

 

[budhachi]

any take on ND ML????

 

[Wilson]

Louisville (-7) over WVU
The best thing that could have happened to Louisville was the loss to SF. They are refocused and playing well. Now they go into WVU a place that WVU plays well but the offensive fire power of Louisville is way too much for WVU to contend with in this game. Louisville has talent up front and the O-line should open hole for the running game and the pass should be open all day. The Louisville defensive front should break up the running attack of WVU. Slayton is a solid back but Gwaltney is out and that is a small blow to WVU. WVU was able to pass and run effectively on Rutgers but this is not Rutgers and Louisville will stack the box to force WVU to throw. Really this game comes down to offense and Louisville will have WVU off balance all day. I like WVU at home but not in this game. The D-line for Louisville is solid and should be able to stop the run themselves but having 2 LB's in the mix will make i even harder for WVU to run. I have watched WVU all season and they IMO get a little too much respect in their house. VT was able to throw on the Neers all day and because of this the Cards should not see too many drives stall. Louisville has too much speed and they will turn this game into a track meet.

Cheers
Irish

3:30 pm start...it will be a tougher environment than those noon starts.
Louisville hasn't been too impressive on the road this year. I'm not saying WVU covers...I'm just saying it will be a good game.

Good Luck in all your other games

 

[The Judge]

Saturday looks good Irish, I'm on Texas Tech and Louisville with you.

 

[Irish]

N?Western (+8) over Purdue
Someone explain to me why Purdue is considered a good enough team to lay 8 to anyone. The barely won at Arizona and lost their last 3 games, granted to some decent teams but they really haven?t showed the ability to give them this much credit. The Boilermakers will look to Sheets o get the offense moving. Sheets is a good RB and will help out Kirsch in the passing game, but Kirsch has tossed a Int in each of the last 4 games. The offense has been doing its part in games but the give it up on defense. The boilermaker defense is horrid and they rank 114th in NCAA and are giving up 481 per game. Now Purdue gets the Wildcats coming off a home win to Wisconsin and played Penn St very well losing in the closing minutes. N?Western has the 2nd best offense in the Big 10 averaging 513 per game. They have now found a solid RB in Sutton to help out Basanez. Basanez is a good leader and has shown great control of this offense. Not only has he thrown the ball well but he has pulled the ball down and made plays with his feet. They have played some solid teams and put up big numbers in track meets games. The only game that N?Western looked poor in was the only road game against Arizona St, but the sun devils offense is more explosive than Purdue. These teams will look to outscore each other and N?Western has the ability to stay with Purdue and to spot them a TD plus is a bit much for a team that only 2 wins came 4 games ago and that was only a 7 point win against Zona. Should be a tough hard fought game but the wildcats have too much fire power and new found confidence to not put up a fight against the boilermakers.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Small play
Buffao (+23.5) over BG
Last weeks 20 some odd point victory was uninspired and this team might be looking ahead. Buffalo is terrible and that makes this play tough but BG should win by 5 TD's IMO but they will come out very slow and Buffalo at home will do everything they can to throw some points on the board. Just think the Falcons come out flat like they did last week, but last week was at home. This team can score anytime they want but when the don't care, other teams can sneak a few points on the board.

Cheers
Irish