Week 7 Catd (Oct 13-17th)

[Irish]

Kansas (-10) over Colorado
Big play
I do not care that this is a trap game. The reason is that Colorado is turning the keys over to the back up QB, this offense is not good and Hawkins is still better than the back up. Now they do have the home field advantage but I don't think thats important. The colorado offensive line is just down right not doing it. They cannot open holes and because Colorado can't run they cannot move the chains. I am sure Hansen is not thrilled about burning yet another red shirt year to take over for Cody Hawkins. I mean texas slept walked through the first half of their game and yet when they decided to play Colorado could not stop them or sustain drives. One reason I like this is because Kansas did not dominate last weekend. The defense for Kansas just decideds to show up whenever they want and thats not good. They need to be more consistant on defense, they have the playmakers but they just fail to play full speed all game. The difference here is if Kansas defense does not have to show up in order to pull away by more than this number. The Kansas offense can score and they will continue to score considering the Colorado defense is trying to fix issues. The Colorado offense and defensive lines just cannot establish themselves and they will not do so in this game. Kansas will more the ball all over the field and put points on the board. I cannot see the Buff being able to do it. Colorado has gotten lucky to cover in two of their games, against texas they were spotted a first half and against WVU a last second Td aided them. They will not be as lucky in this game. Kansas has a lot of weapons, the colorado defense will not be able to make plays and Kansas offense will just over power and push by the Buff even at home. As Colorado debates just mailing it in if Kansas gets on top. I think Reesing, and the offense will put their foot on colorado and apply pressure until colorado taps out. Kansas needed a help to over come Iowa st so I think the coaches will tell them all week long that they are not good enough to look ahead and they focus and out play colorado.

Cheers
Irish

 

[tulah]

I completey agree...

Colorado caught Texas looking ahead to OU and stayed close for little while.....

I too have this as a very big play this week...

GL Irish :mj06:

Any thought on Pitt @ Rutgers....
I'm really diggin Pitt.......

 

[Irish]

Ark State (ML) over La Monroe
small play
Both teams have played good team, Texas, Nebdraska Iowa all show up here. I think this will be a tough game, I do think the home field matters but I have been just a little more impressed by Ark St over the last few games.. 3 point loses to Iowa and Troy is not bad football. So as the season goes on both these teams have played big dogs but I think the growth goes to the wolves.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Tulah....
Pitt (-3) over Rutgers
I haven't done a ton of homework on the Pitt Rutgers game so far but this is what I see as in my play for the game. Pitt is the better team on both offense and defense. Rutgers is rebuilding a lot and the young Fr QB might be in over his head coming in off resting and injury against the Pitt front 4. That being said Rutgers o-line is starting to play better aqnd better each week and I had them as one of the top lines to start the season so if they pull together they might give the young QB a lot of time. Still the Pitt running game is for real and this game comes down to who can consistantly move the chains and score. I think Pitt has the advantage against the Rutgers defense but home field always makes guys play better. I would lay the three because it seems like Pitt has more answers than questions and I am not fooled by them playing bad last week because I am sure they are looking at this game. A huge Big East match up. I think the Pitt defense will make a freshman very unsteady. I mean Rutgers is 4-1 and their best win was against Maryland and that was before the terps figured some things out, Plus that was a 13-10 game at halftime and Maryland killed them selves all game! Pitt has wins against UConn and Navy and lost a game to NC st where they controlled the entire game. Pitt is the better team in this match up and they should look to prove it. The panthers normally play with a lot of emotion. No one on Rutgers is a good match up to defense Dickerson and Stull is finally throwing the ball well down field. Lewis is drawing comparisons to Dorsett and many close to the situation think this kid has all the ability to be better. Pitt is a loaded gun and they choose when they want to play well. That being said they could come out flat and let Rutgers get some emotion and play above their heads. This is a nice match-up for Pitt, they have a defense that can rattle the young rutgers QB, they can contain the running game and they have tall WR to stretch the field and a back that can keep Rutgers heads in the backfield . I like Pitts to show where they stand in the big east.

Cheers
Irish

 

[rocky mountain]

Tulah....
Pitt (-3) over Rutgers
I haven't done a ton of homework on the Pitt Rutgers game so far but this is what I see as in my play for the game. Pitt is the better team on both offense and defense. Rutgers is rebuilding a lot and the young Fr QB might be in over his head coming in off resting and injury against the Pitt front 4. That being said Rutgers o-line is starting to play better aqnd better each week and I had them as one of the top lines to start the season so if they pull together they might give the young QB a lot of time. Still the Pitt running game is for real and this game comes down to who can consistantly move the chains and score. I think Pitt has the advantage against the Rutgers defense but home field always makes guys play better. I would lay the three because it seems like Pitt has more answers than questions and I am not fooled by them playing bad last week because I am sure they are looking at this game. A huge Big East match up. I think the Pitt defense will make a freshman very unsteady. I mean Rutgers is 4-1 and their best win was against Maryland and that was before the terps figured some things out, Plus that was a 13-10 game at halftime and Maryland killed them selves all game! Pitt has wins against UConn and Navy and lost a game to NC st where they controlled the entire game. Pitt is the better team in this match up and they should look to prove it. The panthers normally play with a lot of emotion. No one on Rutgers is a good match up to defense Dickerson and Stull is finally throwing the ball well down field. Lewis is drawing comparisons to Dorsett and many close to the situation think this kid has all the ability to be better. Pitt is a loaded gun and they choose when they want to play well. That being said they could come out flat and let Rutgers get some emotion and play above their heads. This is a nice match-up for Pitt, they have a defense that can rattle the young rutgers QB, they can contain the running game and they have tall WR to stretch the field and a back that can keep Rutgers heads in the backfield . I like Pitts to show where they stand in the big east.

Cheers
Irish

I like and it have made an investment! See you at the window!

 

[Morris]

You nailed the Wisc/OSU game last Sat. Should have listened to you. GL this week!!

 

[Irish]

HAHAHA... you gotta love a team that just wanted to lodse like Ark state, shame on them for giving me home in the last min and having the QB just forget pocket awareness and get sacked on third down like that!

Thanks Morris and Rocky top.... I think another game that smells is Wisky/Iowa... a ton of love for the badgers with only 3 point wins over Minny and Fresno, and an 8 point win over sparty, while Iowa has beaten Michigan, Arizona and Penn st. When Iowa wants to play they are dangerous... you can see it, up 9 in the Mich game they knew they had the win and played soft defense lketting the Mich offense get the TD (backdoor cover) last week.

Boise (-9.5) over Tulsa
Big play
Big test for the hurricanes, last big test for that offense was oklahoma and that did not go over so well. The Tusla offense did not score a point. In comes Boise state at 5-0. Normally Boise is not as good on the road as they are on the smurf turf but I think they roll in this game. Rice was able to pass on Tusla for big plays all night just were not able to protect the QB enough to do it more often and it eventually lead to him getting hurt and leaving the game. Still that Rice game was a dog fight at half. I know it was a look ahead game right? But who has Tusla beaten... Rice, Tulane, New Mexico and Sam Houston I know they have won by big margins but those teams are down right bad. Kline is a good QB but the guy only completes about 64% and thats against terrible teams on defense. Boise beat Oregon and Fresno, I think that fresno game is a good indication of how Boise can play on the road. This is a HUGE game for Boise since they have a terrible schedule and this and Idaho are the two remaining tough games to go. They need to make a big statement tonight to impress voters and get so respect, I think beating an overrated Tulsa team in Tulsa would give them some false respect. Quarterback Kellen Moore ranks second in the nation in pass efficiency, that ability to pass the ball and move the offense has lead Boise to score 100 points on the road this season. They are above 50% scoring in the red zone. The question in my mind is not will Boise score it is which defense shows up? Is it going to be the defense of late or the defense that played against Fresno, if the broncos fix some issues on defense they will be a dangerous team. Now Tulsa plays a defense that has been confusing to Boise and they need to use film study to see going deep is a great way to break open the tulsa defense. Boise has won the last four games against Tulsa by an average score of 41-24 when they were WAC foes. I think that is how this game will turn out. These teams average 82 points when playing in Tulsa during their WAC days as well but both of those stats are pre 2005. Lets look deeper at the oklahoma game to get an understanding of Tulsa in big games. In his second start Landry Jones tossed 6 TD's, so they ate up the Tusla defense through the air which is something I said earlier Boise must do.Kline was less that 50% completitions and threw two picks, so against a decent defense he could not find a rythem and forced the ball into trouble. PLUS on third down Tulsa was 6-18, which means giving the ball back to an offense that was looking to score. Do I think the boise defense is as good as oklahoma, well NO but I think they are better than some teams the hurricanes have played so far. I think this game for Boise is a lot like the fresno game except Fresno was battle tested. I think Tulsa will play well but I do not think they can stop Boise through the air. I think Moore is the more experienced QB with the better players around him. Boise has not allowed a first quarter point this season and if they can do that tonight then Tulsa will get a little worried and start to play skiddish, forcing throws and not playing the relaxed type of football that leads them to score. So why has the line gone down, well personally I think it is because of who tulsa was in the past not who they are now. Tulsa this year have an ok armed QB but they have many issues on the line which have not been exposed because they have not played tough teams. The defense has not allowed a rushing TD but thats because teams can break big plays in the air and they don't need to rush, plus they have played bad teams. Tulsa has allowed an average of 200 plus yards passing and 8 TD's... 6 came from Okie... so you can see they have not been challenged outside the sooners, they are over matched and have been lucky to date to have played such bad teams to give them some confidence. They are not battle tested as fresno was so they might not handle the Weds night ESPN big game spotlight like Boise will. This game has a lot of up side for me since the line is under 10 and the defense will be shreaded through the air setting up the run later. Boise pulls away and takes this game because they need a big win to impress the polls, they are the better team, they have more to play for, and Tulsa is overrated. The home crowd will be crazy but the boise offense should be able to quiet them early. I look for Kline to implode as he did against Oklahoma because he is a first year starter and not used to defensive speed like Boise, they should be able to get to him all night and expose the Tulsa line injuries. boise has played well enough on the road for me to think they can get it done if they come to play.

Cheers
Irish

 

[rubiconed]

GL this week my friend !!! I still can't believe the end of the Ar St game !!!
Going to tail you on Boisie !!! :mj06:

 

[boilermaker]

Good Luck tonight Irish. I see this game very similar to the Boise/Fresno game.

 

[redsfann]

Thanks Morris and Rocky top.... I think another game that smells is Wisky/Iowa... a ton of love for the badgers with only 3 point wins over Minny and Fresno, and an 8 point win over sparty, while Iowa has beaten Michigan, Arizona and Penn st. When Iowa wants to play they are dangerous... you can see it, up 9 in the Mich game they knew they had the win and played soft defense lketting the Mich offense get the TD (backdoor cover) last week.



Cheers
Irish

Agree 100% with this analysis, Irish. I'll be on the Hawkeyes on Saturday, good luck to you if you play it. Really like Boise State tonight in a rout....:toast:

 

[Irish]

I am not one to scream shinanigans often but I do find it perplexing when boise on the last drive that lead to points was willing to go for it on fourth and one inside the redszone to get to first and goal then kick a FG on fourth and goal from the one??? I mean if it was that important to go for it to get them to goal to go why wasn't it a need to go from the one yard line again... just an interesting observation that would have led to a complete cover!!!!! I have to say if anything I think boise deserves to get jumped by anyone and everyone around them this weekend. Hell you have to think something is up if they don't. Texas gets jumped because they beat Colorado by 31 right?

Tomorrow is another day. But loses like these are starting to reall take their toll and have me wondering.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

S.Fla (+3) over Cincy
I am looking at this game about who the bearcats have played and how they have won. They beat up on Rutgers with the help of the rutgers QB turning it over 4 times in the 2nd quarter and no pressure on Pike. They beat the beavers and again no pressure on Pike let him pick the org st secondary to peices. Finally Fresno, they needed a last min TD to win that game and one huge reason was time of possession. Fresno had the ball for over 40 min and still could not pressure Pike when he was in there. Could this be due to In total defense Rutgers is 29th, Fresno is 68th and Org st is 73rd? Or is it because in pass defense these teams are all ranked above 80th in NCAA? Maybe it has something to do redzone defense with fresno being 40th, Org st 80th, rutgers 97th? I mean after all,The Bearcats have given up only three sacks, a league low, in five games. Well I think it is Cincy is a very good team that has not really faced a great defense. South florida is 10th in total defense, 9th in pass defense and 2nd in redzone defense. I think the Bulls will offer this Cincy team all they can handle, Sfla has made a living in games like this because they like the role of the underdog. I also do not think Cincy has played great offenses yet, yes I think fresno and org st are both ok but they are not explosive and Org St has look out right off key this season to me. So how will that totally replaced Cincy defense (remember one 1 starter from last year) handle an offense that can run and pass and puts up over 400 yards of offense? Remember last years loss to Cincy cost the defensive Co his job, after all he did let Pike go 20-28 for like 280 and a few TD'd. The home team has won 5-6 by 13 points or more, unfortunately Cincy won the only road game in that count and have won the last three against USF. I really like Daniels in this offense, now I really liked Grothe's ability to run the ball and not be affraid but Daniels is faster with a stronger arm he is a good fit in this offense. Cincy is giving up about 100 yards per game to rushers and 200 plus throught the air. I think this is where the Bulls can use play action and the QB to confuse a defense that has not see a player of his ability. Looks at the QB's cincy has faced Rutgers had Savage and Natale, one is a true freshman and the other is just terrible. Canfield at Org St, he is the Drew Bledsoe of mobility in the Pac-10, two bad knees he is a pocket passer. Fresno Colburn, some mobility but he is not gonna pull it and make big plays for the bulldogs with his feet. Now I am not saying the USF is been battle tested all season they have seen some cupcakes. But I think these two teams have yet to play bad match up teams until this game. I think the Cincy defense does not match up well aginst the USF duel threat QB and I think the cincy passing attack is stronger than the secondary for USF. What I like is the front four for the Bulls being able to get pressure without LB help. Play the same sort of defense they showed against FSU with coverage deep and a shadow on Pike. This should be a really good game but I like the rushing dog with a defense at home. They will come out with a ton of energy and fly around the ball. USF can do something which would really hurt Cincy, score while running the ball and eating up the clock. Then the defense can pin their ears back and rush because you know Pike is throwing it. I like both teams here but I really think the Bull have more to offer in the defense department and I think they have the oppertunity to revenge being manhandles last year, but Selvie wasn't really healthy. I am sure this defense will be out to make a statement and hit hard. Just need Daniels to not force the issue take wheat Cincy gives him and when in doubt get out scramble to avoid the loss and being behind the chains.

Cheers
Irish

 

[layinwood]

Good luck with your play Irish, what you said about these teams not playing vs bad matchup teams yet is the reason why I'm stearing clear of this game. If I had to I will always go with the home underdog but the whole reason I'm not on this game is because Cinci seems to be a bad matchup for SFlo. In the last two games they were dogs and in the third they were only 1 point favs but still won all three. If they were favs and won and I wouldn't have thought anything about the matchup but the fact that they have been dogs in the last two and still won makes me think these two systems against each other favor Cinci.

Hopefully it will be a great game with these young men making big plays and for your sake a 1 point game either way. :mj06:

 

[AR182]

irish....

against you in the kansas / colorado game...

good luck....

 

[LDB]

bol irish... :toast:

 

[Irish]

Iowa (-1) over Wisky
Big play
I think if the hawkeyes want to play they are very dangerous. I also see a Wisky team that killed them self last week and that game took a lot out of them. Having the lead and then self destructing makes a team lose a lot of confidence. Iowa has a very talented front line and they are fast and relentless, they do not need help to really cause problems for the line. Iowa is a team that when they want to play they can man handle a team, they did it against PSU and they did it against Mich but they have times where they get comfortable and take series off like last week to end the game or against Ark state. Still this comes down to the running game of Wisky vs the defense of Iowa, I think Iowa can really cause the badgers problems because they stunt a lot and rotate so it is hard to determin run block assignments. The the hawkeyes offense is very good at mixing it up and Stanzi has shown he can play in big games. I know the hawkeyes were a little to happy to beat a par Michigan team so I hope they just do not show up with no emotion saturday. If wisky gets on a roll they are tough to stop but seeing they only beat Fresno by 3 and Minny by three I am just not sold on them being able to win this game. Last week I thought the OSU line smelled funny and I ran away but this line also seems a little odd but I'll run to it this week. The better team at this part of the season should win in games like this.

Texas (-3) over Okie
Big play
Bradford back but he hasn't really been pressured since he returned from the injury. I think that if he gets pressured he will get flustered in this BIG game. He does not have the weapons to make the quick check down and the o-line is just not impressive. You see the BYU defense was a problem for Bradford and the Miami defense was all over the oklahoma front five. Plus the Maimi game really showed me this defense is just not that good and are suspect against a team with a good QB that can read them pre snap and controls his offense. That is Colt McCoy. Now I have not been impressed with Texas so far but I don't really think they have come to play in any game to date. Even the Texas Tech game was a game where Texas was too comfortable and just thought they would be given the win. In this game both teams normally come to play and if the lone horns need any more motivation they DROPPED in the polls after a 31 point win against Colorado. Not only are they playing oklahome but they are now playing Bama and florida. The texas defense and offense should have a huge chip on their shoulders. They have a ton of talent and I think they have a lot of match up advantages. This is always a huge game for both teams but I think the rust will come to the surface for Bradford and the texas offense does whatever they choose on offense.

Maimi (-14) over UCF
VERY big play
This is a fishy line, even on a bad day I think Miami has two times the talent the knights have on offense and defense. Then add in this is a recuiting game because in Florida Miami wants some of the same guys as UCF and normally gets them because they are the better team but they have to prove it. UCF is undefeated at home, they have wins against Buffalo, Memphis and Samford not too impressive. They lose against ECU and So Miss both teams I think are not very good football teams. You want to know why I think Miami has a reason to play? How about UCF gave them a dogfight last year. They won 20-14 in miami. Almost every player from that game returned and I am sure they will not sleep on a team that almost shocked them last year and they have far more to loss if they let this team in the game this season. UCF is giving up an average of 20 points to POOR teams, and they cannot get pressure on the QB. Against Miami if Harris has time the WR will be open and 20 points looks like it might be what Miami has in the first half. The UCF offense does not have the ability to score often and this will not be a defensive battle. Miami will score and get UCF throwing and they just can't do that well enough to stay on the field and that means Miami will get back on the field and continue to score and make the lead grow and grow. Since UCF has 34 points in the first halfs of all its games they are going to be in big trouble. They will not get on the board enough and Miami is a far better team. Big game with Clemson on deck but I still think in this spot the better, far better team with more to lose comes out to show they are the better team. Miami can pass all day on UCF and then James and Cooper should both have huge games as I do not think the UCF front seven can contain them and the o-line will open a lot of room.

VT (-3) over GT
Big play
I have friends close to the VT program and they have been talking about this game all season. They have this one circles and they should have the ability with a new found ability to run and throw to take the game over offensively and shut the GT offense down with blitz pressure. Nesbitt is not a good QB that means VY can pull the safeties and get into the running game. GT coming off an emotion win against FSU so they might be a little spent so the home field advantage will be nice for them. Still it comes down to this. VT dould the one WR for GT and play run. Offensively VT should be able to move the ball running and throwing as every team has done against GT. If you puch Morgan around then GT just cannot get to the QB. Thats big because you know Beemer will line up the Takcle and Boone to his side and thats a lot of beef to shed each play. VT has played Bama, Miami and Nebraska GT played Miami and they got stopped, this is top tier team vs mid level. VT has used every game to get this settled on offense and know they have the ability to move the ball on offense and Taylor has started to become more comfortable and thats scary because he can not only chuck it deep but his ability to run means the safety has to play in the box of watch him for containment. I always like Bud Foster to have a big game plan defensively and I think he should have his team ready to play assignment football and stop the running game from those HUGE plays that seem like the only way GT scores points. This yellowjacket offense is not built to move the ball down the field play after play and that will really hurt them against this defense. VT with an offense thats groing and a defense that always comes to play should be able to out play GT even in GT.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Dice34]

Irish..

GL with your picks....

Vtech- Ive never had any luck figuring this team out, for or against, so I always stay away

Miami- You have me interested....Ive read where UCF players/fans/coaches think they are coming to town to knock them off....Miami is essentially coming off a bye with many players rested last week, history wont repeat itself here I see a blowout as well 38-13 type of game....

Texas- Love this play...I believe the line is 3 instead of 6 to 7 for the way Texas has been sleep walking the first half of the season...its been a half season look ahead if there is such a thing to THIS game....Texas will look to leave no doubt in voters minds and the ESPN-Colt McCoy love fest will begin...I believe Texas wins by double digits again

Iowa- I do not like this play for many reasons, but just want to rebutt something you said...you give an excuse for Iowa only winning by 2 over mich because they took a series off because game was in hand...but then say not sold on Wisky because they on beat Minny by 3.....

Wisky beat Mich St by 8...but look closer and the game was 38-17 in the 4th quarter with the last 2 tds by MSU in garbarge time

The wisky minny game was similar...Wisconsin was up 24-13 in 4th and going in from the 12 but zach brown fumbled (who might not play this week thank god) and was returned 88 yards for a td with a 2pt con....wisky took the ball again and drove the field to score 31-21 with 3 mins to go.....

Wisky is a dangerous team if they can put 4 quarters together...they, like Iowa take series off it seems too...but I'm on wisky.....

 

[Irish]

Dice... I completely agree. Both teams have a good team and can take the game. I think that Wisky lives and dies by the run and if they cannot get it going they really struggle to be consistant and not turn the ball over. Looking at npth teams if they both come to play I have to give the edge to Iowa as they have gone into PSU and limitted their running attack and got turnovers when the lions went to the air. I see a similar type game this week, that is if both teams bring their A game.

Still steaming over Boise and USF, I do not mind losing the play but I hate getting outdown by bad coaching and I know coaching!

ECU (-20) at Rice
Small play
I think this line is a bit high but I'll take a chance because navy just dropped a big whoopin on Rice in Rice. ECU needs a win and they should enjoy playing this rice team. Any week it is worth a shot against Rice under 3 TD's. ECU off an embarassing loss to SMU should look to kick the dog while it is down.

Navy (-8) over SMU
Navy is playing very good offensive football. They run a defense that is very confusing to QB and makes it hard to just beat them with the pass. Kids I don't want to be mean but SMU lost to WASHINGTON STATE?!?!?! The mustangs give up a ton of points and just look to outscore. They allow an average of over 30 points per game and this game should be no exception as the option and new found passing threats for Navy meet with no resistance all game. Seeing Navy drop 63 on Rice last week means they can score and want to score I see this game coming down to the offense of ?Nay being very productive running the ball all day taking time off the clock and keeping SMU offense off the field and out of sync. Doing that means they will get behind the eight ball and the Navy defense can make a few stops. I would have liked this under a TD but I see great value at 8 because the SMU defense is just that bad. Navy really does not look ahead in any game and I am sure they are ready to play the spread attack of SMU. Now the mustangs might be peeking ahead to Houston coming in next week but in all likely hood a bad team wouldn't discount Navy. I think Bo Levi will throw some picks in this game, he is not the answer for this type of offense and his lack of ability to read defensive coverage well will hurt him and then Navy runs through the SMU defense for points off the mistakes.

WVU(-19.5) over Marshall
Small play
Friends of coal has not been kind to Marshall of late and it should continue. At WVU with no threats the running game should be stopped and WVU should be all over them. VT hammered Marshall and WVU is not as good defensively but offensively they should average about 2 TD's for every one and go ahead by 28 plus late in the game or they might route them early.

USC (-10) over ND
I mean this is a small amount to play against an ND team that has yet to play a good defense with speed. They should have lost by 6 to Purdue and 3 to Washington yet USC after the Washington loss has been out right hammering teams. The USC offense is without Johnson and possibly Gamble but lucky for they they have another 3 RB thats great players. Thats the best thing about USC they reload every position every year with great talent. ND is just not as good as advertised and USC will dominate them because they look at this game as a way to gain votes in the poll. The ND defense is just not good, they bend then break almost every game and hope the offense can come in and help them out. Clausen has the turf toe and will be under a ton of pressure all game and he will not be able to escape. The USC offensive line will control this game and make it very easy for the speed of USC to make plays. They have a young QB that is starting to get more comfortable in their system and up to big game speed. USC has played big guys and been in emotional games where ND has not been playing really solid talent and been in dog fights. If the USC defense cal shut down the cal rushing attack they should be all over the Irish rushing game and with the top reciever just coming back from injury the time will be off so Golden is the best deep option for ND and Mays can be over top of him all day. USC is more talented, faster and ready to gain votes in the polls with a convincing win. Because I think USC scores a lot they might let ND score a few and thats why I also am on....
USC/ND OVER (50)

living in plus Chalkville
S.Car (+17) over Bama
small play
this is a stretch because Bama is that good but I will risk a small play as SC has started to play better of late and have that much chalk. The road team has had success in this series, Bama should roll them but I am sure SC will throw everything they have at staying in this game.

Ark (+24.5) over Fla
small play
Again the points are worth the play. Florida can be beaten with the pass and Ark can do that. The razorbacks have seen Bama so they can know what to expect and I think with that many points and the ability to throw the ball Ark can get a few points. I do not think they make this a game but the emotion game last week against LSU might have the gator just beating the razorbacks not hammering them.

Texas Tech (+11) over Neb
Small play
I like the points and the passing attack of texas tech. I mean nebraska looked down right poor against the pass in a few games. Even VT had success going through the air and they were a bad passing team at the time. Remember the raiders have played in Texas so they know how to play in big games and they should be able to play for the win in this game as Neb has handled weaker teams they have not looked good against stronger teams. The raiders pass very well and they have a decent o-line to give the QB time. Too many points here in my opinion to give a Texas Tech team that can be very dangerous when they want to play.

Two real small plays
Houston (-17) over tulane
the green wave are bad and Houston screwed up against UTEP so I don't see them doing that again

Okie (-7) over Mizzou
Shootout but I think the home field advanatage gives the cowboys the win and the offense gives them the cover against a very overrated Mizzou team that against Nebraska spotted them three quarters and then got blown out by more than 10 with 10 mins to play.

Cheers
Irish

 

[boilermaker]

Irish, with the way my week is going it's a good thing for you we are on opposites tonight. I do feel sorry for you though as I like alot of your saturday plays. kurby BOL

 

[bej0101]

thanks for the writeups..gl