Week 7 NCAA

[Master Capper]

Season 60-27-4 +56.8 units
last week 11-4-1
Favorites 15-7-1
Dogs 25-12-1
Overs 14-3-1
Unders 6-5

Will post my plays in this thread as they are played throughout the week:


Badgers +5.5 **

 

[Master Capper]

I would of played OKIE STATE, as I anticipate a shoot out, but holding off until the status of Pettigrew for State.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Great job this year MC. You're absolutely killing it. Good luck with the Badgers, I like them a lot this week too.

 

[AR182]

Season 60-27-4 +56.8 units
last week 11-4-1
Favorites 15-7-1
Dogs 25-12-1
Overs 14-3-1
Unders 6-5

Will post my plays in this thread as they are played throughout the week:


Badgers +5.5 **

mc...

leaning towards wisc. also but will wait to see if the line continues to rise....

great job so far this year...good luck this week...

 

[arrow]

absolutely badgers at home is the only play in that game. good luck.ARROW:toast:

 

[HUDSON]

Amazing..amazing season so far my friend!! Keep it up...very impressive!!

 

[parlayinn]

great job so far, MC :00hour

 

[THE KOD]

nice record Master

I like the Badgers being just pissed off enough not to lose 2 in a row in that beast they call a stadium

 

[Irish]

MC,
C'mon..... you are at 60-27-4 +56.8 units and I see your play is against a very strong lean I have on PSU. Change you mind now! hahaha, good luck chief... keep it hot.

Cheers
Irish

 

[BadAngel]

Great job so far Master. Keep it going

 

[tulah]

Nice season MC.

Keep up the good work.

 

[Master Capper]

thanks guys fr the kind words, but you know how the saying goes "even a blind squirrel finds an acorn once in awhile".

Some trends I pilfered from a matchup site:

UTST
SJST Under is 11-0 in SJST last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

UCLA
ORE Under is 9-0 in UCLA last 9 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

CLEM
WFRST WFRST are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

RUTG
CIN Under is 8-0-1 in CIN last 9 games in October.

NMXST
NEV Under is 8-0 in NEV last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

 

[AR182]

thanks guys fr the kind words, but you know how the saying goes "even a blind squirrel finds an acorn once in awhile".

Some trends I pilfered from a matchup site:

UTST
SJST Under is 11-0 in SJST last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

UCLA
ORE Under is 9-0 in UCLA last 9 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

CLEM
WFRST WFRST are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

RUTG
CIN Under is 8-0-1 in CIN last 9 games in October.

NMXST
NEV Under is 8-0 in NEV last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

mc..

i have a lean towards the san jose under...any thoughts on that ?

 

[Master Capper]

Still capping sides, but will look at that under soon and give you me thoughts.

 

[Master Capper]

a couple of small plays to add, still trying to talk myself into playing LSU this week as they are the ultimate "Rushing Dog" for the week.


South Carolina-1*

TCU under 48.5 *

 

[AR182]

mc...

to answer your question about the so. miss / boise game...

i don't know if you read morris thread about how teams are doing off of ot games, especially losers in ot....

morris has kept a record this year that teams off ot losses are 1-5 ats the very next game. also i just read in one of the newsletters that i get that home teams off an ot loss are 50-75-3 ats (40%) in their next game...

the above alone would keep me off so. miss & i may just play boise based on the above.

i had so. miss. last week & actually thought that it was a good play..but they lost to utep in double ot. just today i read that so. miss out gained utep by about 200 yards on the game, so i find it strange that they lost.but the so. miss. players & coaches must be asking themselves...how did we lose that game ? i wonder hoiw long did it take to get it out of their mind & start thinking about this week's game....or will it last all week ? while so. miss was in that tough game last week, boise has been off for roughly 12 days...which sets up pretty good situationally for boise.

you mentioned in my thread that you think boise hasn't faced a spread offense this year...but they did. doesn't oregon run a spread offense ?

so to answer your question...i would play boise (good possibilty) or not play the game at all...

good luck

 

[AR182]

mc...

to answer your question about the so. miss / boise game...

i don't know if you read morris thread about how teams are doing off of ot games, especially losers in ot....

morris has kept a record this year that teams off ot losses are 1-5 ats the very next game. also i just read in one of the newsletters that i get that home teams off an ot loss are 50-75-3 ats (40%) in their next game...

the above alone would keep me off so. miss & i may just play boise based on the above.

i had so. miss. last week & actually thought that it was a good play..but they lost to utep in double ot. just today i read that so. miss out gained utep by about 200 yards on the game, so i find it strange that they lost.but the so. miss. players & coaches must be asking themselves...how did we lose that game ? i wonder hoiw long did it take to get it out of their mind & start thinking about this week's game....or will it last all week ? while so. miss was in that tough game last week, boise has been off for roughly 12 days...which sets up pretty good situationally for boise.

you mentioned in my thread that you think boise hasn't faced a spread offense this year...but they did. doesn't oregon run a spread offense ?

so to answer your question...i would play boise (good possibilty) or not play the game at all...

good luck

mc...

a site that i use that lists line movement shows that 67% of close to 10,000 bets are on boise....but the line has gone down from 12.5 to 10.5....so maybe so. miss. is the side...unless late action comes in on boise....

 

[Master Capper]

Okay, going against the wisdom of my buddy AR, but hitting Southern Miss.


Southern Miss +11.5 ***

This total jumped right off the page to me and screamed "Play Me" is NMXST vs Reno. We have one of the worst defensive teams against the run in NMXST going up against the worst pass defense in the country. What is Renos strength? Running the ball, as they average 308 yards per game, and what is NMXST strength? tossing the football threw the air whey they average 322 yards per game. Barring bad weather this should be a classic scoring festival.

Reno over 67 **

 

[AR182]

mc...

it seems that you are on the right side of the so. miss game...i have no play in the game...

good luck

 

[Theboundbook]

Okay, going against the wisdom of my buddy AR, but hitting Southern Miss.


Southern Miss +11.5 ***

This total jumped right off the page to me and screamed "Play Me" is NMXST vs Reno. We have one of the worst defensive teams against the run in NMXST going up against the worst pass defense in the country. What is Renos strength? Running the ball, as they average 308 yards per game, and what is NMXST strength? tossing the football threw the air whey they average 322 yards per game. Barring bad weather this should be a classic scoring festival.

Reno over 67 **

You are taking over on Reno? But you have a stat that is 8-0 that is UNDER posted in this same thread.... :shrug: :shrug: :shrug:

I was gonna parlay all of those trends together but I think I am going to leave the Nev game out. I posted the trend about WF tonight and boy was that dead on! Keep up the great work and I wish you the best as usual....