Last Week: 5-3, +1.9 units
Overall: 34-27, +6.15 units
All Plays are for 1 unit unless stated otherwise.
Two plays so far:
Houston +9: Ok, on the surface, playing Houston on the road is a little scary. But what on earth are the Cleveland Browns doing being 9-point favorites against anyone? Were it not for Holcomb's injury, Tim Couch would be benched by now. Browns return home for the first game since Couch cried in the locker room over his treatment by the Cleveland fans. And those same Cleveland fans are going to be all over him in an instant if the Browns don't completely dominate this expansion team. One little slip-up, first score by Houston, whatever, and the fans are going to get REALLY surly and impatient. From a Houston point of view, Dom Capers will use whatever positives he can to encourage his young team. They stayed close with Buffalo for the whole game last week, winning most of it. That was a confidence-building performance, even in defeat. Houston has had trouble protecting David Carr (sacked 31 times in 5 games), but Cleveland has done an abysmal job of getting to the QB (no sacks in the last 3 games...and 30th ranked defence against the rush). Houston has played some pretty decent opposition in recent weeks, and Cleveland is a step down.
Minnesota / NY Jets Over 48: I am sure this will be a large public play, but I'm not going to let that deter me. This total will climb. Both teams have brutal defences, similar to the Det/Minn matchup last week. Jets have been shut down numerous times this year, but only by good defences (NE, Mia, Jax). Against weaker D's like Buff and KC the Jets have put up 37 (OT) and 25 points respectively. Jets have yet to allow fewer than 28 points in any game, Minny has not allowed fewer than 21. I don't see any reason why the defence should kick in here...neither team is going to go into this game trying to win it with defence.
Good luck everyone.
More later....
Overall: 34-27, +6.15 units
All Plays are for 1 unit unless stated otherwise.
Two plays so far:
Houston +9: Ok, on the surface, playing Houston on the road is a little scary. But what on earth are the Cleveland Browns doing being 9-point favorites against anyone? Were it not for Holcomb's injury, Tim Couch would be benched by now. Browns return home for the first game since Couch cried in the locker room over his treatment by the Cleveland fans. And those same Cleveland fans are going to be all over him in an instant if the Browns don't completely dominate this expansion team. One little slip-up, first score by Houston, whatever, and the fans are going to get REALLY surly and impatient. From a Houston point of view, Dom Capers will use whatever positives he can to encourage his young team. They stayed close with Buffalo for the whole game last week, winning most of it. That was a confidence-building performance, even in defeat. Houston has had trouble protecting David Carr (sacked 31 times in 5 games), but Cleveland has done an abysmal job of getting to the QB (no sacks in the last 3 games...and 30th ranked defence against the rush). Houston has played some pretty decent opposition in recent weeks, and Cleveland is a step down.
Minnesota / NY Jets Over 48: I am sure this will be a large public play, but I'm not going to let that deter me. This total will climb. Both teams have brutal defences, similar to the Det/Minn matchup last week. Jets have been shut down numerous times this year, but only by good defences (NE, Mia, Jax). Against weaker D's like Buff and KC the Jets have put up 37 (OT) and 25 points respectively. Jets have yet to allow fewer than 28 points in any game, Minny has not allowed fewer than 21. I don't see any reason why the defence should kick in here...neither team is going to go into this game trying to win it with defence.
Good luck everyone.
More later....
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