Week 7 Plays

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capping-guru

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YTD 70-54 +42.70 Units

WSU +17 for 4 Units - Friday
Stanford is off two tough games on the road, at UW and ND. They havent done a single offensively in those two games and were lucky to even be in the Irish game as they got one of their 2 TD's off a Golson fumble on their own 10 yard line, the other TD was off a turnover that gave them a short field. I truly feel that Hogan has regressed at QB plus with all the losses the Cardinal have had on both sides of the ball that it has finally caught up to them. The only way they can stay in games this year is make it super ugly.....run the ball....play some D and hope like hell whoever they are playing turns the ball over. WSU on the other hand will wear out the Cardinal corners with their passing game. Love this play.
 
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ND -16.5........going to hold off on playing it.
Everything points to an easy cover, UNC is jus terrible but you know they are going to bring their best game of the year visiting ND. ND is off a very tough physical game against Stanford and have No. 1 FSU on deck. This is the ultimate sandwich game......I get a feeling that ND starts out slow and needs a big 2nd half to pull away from UNC. This game has backdoor cover written all over it too......ND pulling their starters to make sure they are rested and ready for FSU. For now, I am going to watch the line movement on this game. But man, I want to hammer this game and make it a 10 Unit play.
 
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Arky +8.5 for 3 Units
Razorbacks off their bye week and they get to host Bama after a very physical road game against Ole Miss, they get to go back on the road to face a team that is going to have success running the ball on a suspect Bama D. Lets face it, this isnt one of those BCS Bama teams, they have holes in spots and Bielema needs a signature win, you know homefield will be big in this game too. Just too many intangibles for me not to play Arky here in this spot. FG game in my eyes.
 
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UL-Monroe +20 for 3 Units
Solid team in all 3 phases of the game in ULM. UK off one of their biggest wins in years and it wouldnt surprise me if they come out flat. They have much bigger fish to fry in the coming weeks. Next 4 weeks,
@LSU, Miss. St., @Missouri and UGA. Horrible spot for a very young team. Give me 3 TD's any day of the week in this situation.
 
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Tulane -3.5 for 3 Units
UConn is a dreadful team and both teams in this game are off a bye, but I will take the Green Wave and by far the better QB in Tanner Lee.
 
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capping-guru said:
UL-Monroe +20 for 3 Units
Solid team in all 3 phases of the game in ULM. UK off one of their biggest wins in years and it wouldnt surprise me if they come out flat. They have much bigger fish to fry in the coming weeks. Next 4 weeks,
@LSU, Miss. St., @Missouri and UGA. Horrible spot for a very young team. Give me 3 TD's any day of the week in this situation.
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Your dead-on on this one CG; they could be real flat here, and they head to Baton Rouge (I think) next. As a fan I'd take a 3 point victory right now. Hadn't had a chance to look at your others but WSU sounds interesting just off the top. GL...I'm finding it hard to find plays this week, or at least ones I like, I hope the man is not screwing things down too much.
 
BobbyBlueChip

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capping-guru said:
ND -16.5........going to hold off on playing it.
Everything points to an easy cover, UNC is jus terrible but you know they are going to bring their best game of the year visiting ND. ND is off a very tough physical game against Stanford and have No. 1 FSU on deck. This is the ultimate sandwich game......I get a feeling that ND starts out slow and needs a big 2nd half to pull away from UNC. This game has backdoor cover written all over it too......ND pulling their starters to make sure they are rested and ready for FSU. For now, I am going to watch the line movement on this game. But man, I want to hammer this game and make it a 10 Unit play.
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You've had a good read on the Irish, but i don't think that this is a game to hammer on either side. Good luck whatever you do.
 
sds222

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Cap i like arky in this spot too, i'm seeing 9.5 but i want to see where this one moves.
That Oregon line is asking for ucla money isn't it?
 
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sds222 said:
That Oregon line is asking for ucla money isn't it?
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I meant this the other way, line is low and asking for Oregon money, only -3. both have line issues, perhaps there is more to Mariota not being 100%. UCLA has not impressed.
 
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#cruncher said:
Your dead-on on this one CG; they could be real flat here, and they head to Baton Rouge (I think) next. As a fan I'd take a 3 point victory right now. Hadn't had a chance to look at your others but WSU sounds interesting just off the top. GL...I'm finding it hard to find plays this week, or at least ones I like, I hope the man is not screwing things down too much.
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Thanks buddy! Ya, not a big card either this week, lots of teams with a bye. Going to have to look deeper this week on finding games, lots of work ahead for the week. GL!
 
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BobbyBlueChip said:
You've had a good read on the Irish, but i don't think that this is a game to hammer on either side. Good luck whatever you do.
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Thanks my friend. I hope my read on this team continues lol! But seriously, like you mentioned, there is probably better games on the board this week. If I play ND it will be small, rather than forcing it. I just think they are going to be looking WAY ahead to FSU! GL to you too.
 
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sds222 said:
I meant this the other way, line is low and asking for Oregon money, only -3. both have line issues, perhaps there is more to Mariota not being 100%. UCLA has not impressed.
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Agreed! I watched both games in full......UCLA D is atrocious and if they face any team that can stop the run and force Hundley to throw all day long, they are done! Oregon OL is a problem, they are brutal and I think that is the reason for Mariotta being so banged up. Its home team or bust for me on this one.
 
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Ole Miss +2.5 for 3 Units
Its always hard playing a team off such a big win, but I think the Rebels get the W in College Station. A&M will be facing the toughest defense they have all faced all year in Ole Miss and for me, that is worth the play here.
 
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Florida +1.5 for 3 Units
LSU has regressed a ton. Very young and their depth for the first time in a few years has caught up to them. All the talent they have lost to the NFL truly has got LSU on the verge of a very average season. Florida D is stout and I was impressed with the Freshman QB that came in for the Gators. Homefield and D get the job done for the Gators.
 
sds222

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Well maybe this will shake up Driskel, LSU has QB issues as well. I wonder if the line will move.
 
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TLankford said:
driskell is absolute garbage and they won't win with him in there
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You are correct, Driskell hit his ceiling awhile ago.......I have no faith in him. Hoping they dont suspend the freshman at this point, otherwise its a buy back!
 
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sds222 said:
Well maybe this will shake up Driskel, LSU has QB issues as well. I wonder if the line will move.
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I go no faith in him, sorry man. As for the line moving, guess we will see if they suspend the freshman kid.
 
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