BIG PLAY
Org St (-14) over Washington
Home field advantage will not be enough. The beavers have it rolling and after beating USC they played Utah extremely tough and that showed me they have character. Then they get to play Washington and they hang 66 points on them. My biggest problem with this play is Org st is 0-3 on the road losing to Stanford, PSU and Utah. Washington is winless and just about to fold up shop considering they do not have their best player on the field under center. The huskies have all but given Willingham his walking papers and the team knows this season has alreay ended. The entire Husky defense needs work as the unit is allowing 495.4 yards per game. Washington has no answer for stopping the run or pass and that is very good news for the org st offense. I would think Org st has similar success against Washington because UW is allowing 7.2 yards per play, almost a yard more than any other conference team (WSU is next at 6.3). UW has now used a school-record 12 true freshmen this season after taking the redshirts off of RB Terrance Dailey and WR Cody Bruns against Arizona. This is a younbg team that has zero confidence and a lack of leadership. This game should get ugle because Org st will look to get way ahead of Wash and let the dfense pin their ears back in a passing shoot out. Org St will use Quizz and Stroughter to really make it hard for UW to play defense and I think the spped for Org st will just be way too much on both sides of the field.
Wake (-1) over Maryland
This is a good spot for Maryland, they have the home field, off a bye and aginst a team that just played an emotional game. Still Maryland has had a week off after the beating UVA handed them. This was a very hot team before that loss. They had beaten Cal and won three straight. But remember this team was also the team that lost to Mid Tenn St and struggled with Deleware. Which Maryland team will show up. Either team they have a glaring weakness and that is on defense. Terps' defense ranks 11th in the ACC and 90th nationally, allowing 394 yards per game. Now the one thing I like about Wake is they are consistant and they have the ability to move the ball down field. Where the deacons have issues is around the goalline. Sam Swank will be a game time decision but I think the back up will be fine if he cannot go. The deacons are going on the road for two weeks in a row and this is a huge game in the ACC. The deacons know how imporant this game is and even though they should have a bit of a let down they still should win this game and considering this line is at one a win is good. Skinner is a verteran QB, he now has started to scramble more which is great because in that offense it will be very tough for Maryland to account for him. I like the Wake defense, that held Davis Spiller and Clemson to only 20 plus yards to get involved in stopping the Maryland rushing plan. I think that even though Clemson will take a little steam out of Wake it will give them confidence and they can take that into this game. The terps are a little less confident and after the shutout Wakes offense should look to start on them early and get them reeling early.
VT (+2.5) over BC
Time off from a great performance for Chris Crane might not be what the doctor ordered. The way Crane ran the fakes out against NC St made me think of a nimble Drew Bledsoe running for the first down. I do not think the speed of NC states defense spent a lot of time working on agility or tackling. Bud Foster will not allow Crane to move out of the pocket. Remember he is still only throwing about 57% and has throw 6 picks on the season. And don't forget this is the big rematch for VT... this game was the issue for the hokies last season when they bobled an onside kick, and Matt Ryan threw to the RB out of the back field after scrambling around for the game winning 30+ yard TD pass. I am sure some of these hkies would like to turn up the pressure on this QB to avoid any chance of those plays. Now I am really not sold on VT they have not looked great offensively and considering the western Kent game who knows where this team is mentally. What I really like is the NC St QB was able to rush for 2 TD's. Now granted he only had 15 total yards but that says the hokies and get into the endzone using Taylor and thats a good thing. BC won the game but considering the best rushers of the day were Crane and Toal they are going to be hard pressed to establish the rush against VT. VT kind of limped into the top 25 and I am sure they were talking about making a statement in this game to show they belong and move up considering the poor play in some games. Taylor is the Hokies' second-leading rusher (338 yards, two touchdowns). HE is the guy for VT, Glennon is a joke and cannot move around enough to buy time to throw. Considering the VT line is just terrible they need a QB that can just tuck it and run and thats Taylor. Glennon got snaps last game which hurt the offense and I expect against a better team Glennons role is cut back so Taylor can lead this team. VT plays a lot better when Taylor is in the game and Beamer knows this, so he should get almost all the snaps. VT has two fantastic CB's and considering BC has trouble running the ball I can see Crane having some picks that could result in TD's, but at least great field posission. The Hokies haven't played a complete game yet, but they're still winning and if they pull it together (I think having one QB all game might help) they could make some big waves toward the end of the season. VT rides their defense and rushing QB into another close game. I think VT should win this game but if BC keeps it close I like the hokies to be in it and win it.
Vandy (+15) over Georgia
points, just points in this game. I watched Georgia and they almost seem happy to keep teams around and win by 10 points. The had every oppertunity to get up on Tennesse and they just did not finish the drink. Vandy off a tough loss might fold up shop but I do not see it. Vandy has a lot of leadership and they should look to rebound. These players are too smart to just get a loss and thing the season is over. And the Vandy defense, which had set the offense up constantly this season with turnovers, failed to force a single miscue from an error-prone, inconsistent offense that ran the ball almost at will most of the day. A weak offense forced Vandy's D to stay on the field for more than 36 minutes. That is a VERY tired defense and the reason they had issues stopping the run in the later parts of the game. I would think that if Vandy wants to be involved in this game they do not allow the Georgia offense to be on the field the entire game. I am not going to think Vandy has no offense, Nickson lead them to nothing through 3 quarters and Adams came in and looked good enough but they just could not get it done. A bit of a look ahead for Vandy ended up costing them in the focus department. Georgia in a tough spot here, they just battle Tenn and next week they go to LSU so they might suffer the same fate the commadores did last week. I am not saying Vandy wins but I will think that georgia eases off the gas if they get ahead and I will take the two TD's in it. Remember they beat S.Car by 7,Ariz St by 17, and Tenn by 12. Personally I think Vandy is a better team.
Penn St (-23.4) over Mich
Back in Happy Valley where the lions are a very tough team to play against. They have Ohio St on the door step but Mich is just a bad team. Wisky should have killed them and instead they allowed Mich to beat them in the fourth. I am sure you will not see the lions make the same mistakes and take it to Mich in every aspect because they do not have the players to play in Rods set up. Mich has had only one road game so far and that was an 18 point loss to ND. Even though the lions should be looking ahead it is still Michigan and I am sure they would like nothing more than to hang a very big number on them. PSU should be all over Threat who throws about 50% and will not have enough time to complete that percentage. This Mich team has 2 wins and the Wisky game was a joke and then there is Miami (OH), both were very hard for Mich to be in and that means this game will not be wolverine friendly. As much of a look ahead game as it is for PSU you also have to remember the Wolverines has Mich St next weekend and I am sure they have a few players in state thinking a win there will help make some of this pain go away. I also think a lot of these kids saw PSU hammer Wisky and will come in dejected and ready to be taken behind the woodshed. Speed, better offense, better defense, better special teams and advantage in overal effectiveness should have PSU only battling PSU in this game.
Cheers
Irish
Org St (-14) over Washington
Home field advantage will not be enough. The beavers have it rolling and after beating USC they played Utah extremely tough and that showed me they have character. Then they get to play Washington and they hang 66 points on them. My biggest problem with this play is Org st is 0-3 on the road losing to Stanford, PSU and Utah. Washington is winless and just about to fold up shop considering they do not have their best player on the field under center. The huskies have all but given Willingham his walking papers and the team knows this season has alreay ended. The entire Husky defense needs work as the unit is allowing 495.4 yards per game. Washington has no answer for stopping the run or pass and that is very good news for the org st offense. I would think Org st has similar success against Washington because UW is allowing 7.2 yards per play, almost a yard more than any other conference team (WSU is next at 6.3). UW has now used a school-record 12 true freshmen this season after taking the redshirts off of RB Terrance Dailey and WR Cody Bruns against Arizona. This is a younbg team that has zero confidence and a lack of leadership. This game should get ugle because Org st will look to get way ahead of Wash and let the dfense pin their ears back in a passing shoot out. Org St will use Quizz and Stroughter to really make it hard for UW to play defense and I think the spped for Org st will just be way too much on both sides of the field.
Wake (-1) over Maryland
This is a good spot for Maryland, they have the home field, off a bye and aginst a team that just played an emotional game. Still Maryland has had a week off after the beating UVA handed them. This was a very hot team before that loss. They had beaten Cal and won three straight. But remember this team was also the team that lost to Mid Tenn St and struggled with Deleware. Which Maryland team will show up. Either team they have a glaring weakness and that is on defense. Terps' defense ranks 11th in the ACC and 90th nationally, allowing 394 yards per game. Now the one thing I like about Wake is they are consistant and they have the ability to move the ball down field. Where the deacons have issues is around the goalline. Sam Swank will be a game time decision but I think the back up will be fine if he cannot go. The deacons are going on the road for two weeks in a row and this is a huge game in the ACC. The deacons know how imporant this game is and even though they should have a bit of a let down they still should win this game and considering this line is at one a win is good. Skinner is a verteran QB, he now has started to scramble more which is great because in that offense it will be very tough for Maryland to account for him. I like the Wake defense, that held Davis Spiller and Clemson to only 20 plus yards to get involved in stopping the Maryland rushing plan. I think that even though Clemson will take a little steam out of Wake it will give them confidence and they can take that into this game. The terps are a little less confident and after the shutout Wakes offense should look to start on them early and get them reeling early.
VT (+2.5) over BC
Time off from a great performance for Chris Crane might not be what the doctor ordered. The way Crane ran the fakes out against NC St made me think of a nimble Drew Bledsoe running for the first down. I do not think the speed of NC states defense spent a lot of time working on agility or tackling. Bud Foster will not allow Crane to move out of the pocket. Remember he is still only throwing about 57% and has throw 6 picks on the season. And don't forget this is the big rematch for VT... this game was the issue for the hokies last season when they bobled an onside kick, and Matt Ryan threw to the RB out of the back field after scrambling around for the game winning 30+ yard TD pass. I am sure some of these hkies would like to turn up the pressure on this QB to avoid any chance of those plays. Now I am really not sold on VT they have not looked great offensively and considering the western Kent game who knows where this team is mentally. What I really like is the NC St QB was able to rush for 2 TD's. Now granted he only had 15 total yards but that says the hokies and get into the endzone using Taylor and thats a good thing. BC won the game but considering the best rushers of the day were Crane and Toal they are going to be hard pressed to establish the rush against VT. VT kind of limped into the top 25 and I am sure they were talking about making a statement in this game to show they belong and move up considering the poor play in some games. Taylor is the Hokies' second-leading rusher (338 yards, two touchdowns). HE is the guy for VT, Glennon is a joke and cannot move around enough to buy time to throw. Considering the VT line is just terrible they need a QB that can just tuck it and run and thats Taylor. Glennon got snaps last game which hurt the offense and I expect against a better team Glennons role is cut back so Taylor can lead this team. VT plays a lot better when Taylor is in the game and Beamer knows this, so he should get almost all the snaps. VT has two fantastic CB's and considering BC has trouble running the ball I can see Crane having some picks that could result in TD's, but at least great field posission. The Hokies haven't played a complete game yet, but they're still winning and if they pull it together (I think having one QB all game might help) they could make some big waves toward the end of the season. VT rides their defense and rushing QB into another close game. I think VT should win this game but if BC keeps it close I like the hokies to be in it and win it.
Vandy (+15) over Georgia
points, just points in this game. I watched Georgia and they almost seem happy to keep teams around and win by 10 points. The had every oppertunity to get up on Tennesse and they just did not finish the drink. Vandy off a tough loss might fold up shop but I do not see it. Vandy has a lot of leadership and they should look to rebound. These players are too smart to just get a loss and thing the season is over. And the Vandy defense, which had set the offense up constantly this season with turnovers, failed to force a single miscue from an error-prone, inconsistent offense that ran the ball almost at will most of the day. A weak offense forced Vandy's D to stay on the field for more than 36 minutes. That is a VERY tired defense and the reason they had issues stopping the run in the later parts of the game. I would think that if Vandy wants to be involved in this game they do not allow the Georgia offense to be on the field the entire game. I am not going to think Vandy has no offense, Nickson lead them to nothing through 3 quarters and Adams came in and looked good enough but they just could not get it done. A bit of a look ahead for Vandy ended up costing them in the focus department. Georgia in a tough spot here, they just battle Tenn and next week they go to LSU so they might suffer the same fate the commadores did last week. I am not saying Vandy wins but I will think that georgia eases off the gas if they get ahead and I will take the two TD's in it. Remember they beat S.Car by 7,Ariz St by 17, and Tenn by 12. Personally I think Vandy is a better team.
Penn St (-23.4) over Mich
Back in Happy Valley where the lions are a very tough team to play against. They have Ohio St on the door step but Mich is just a bad team. Wisky should have killed them and instead they allowed Mich to beat them in the fourth. I am sure you will not see the lions make the same mistakes and take it to Mich in every aspect because they do not have the players to play in Rods set up. Mich has had only one road game so far and that was an 18 point loss to ND. Even though the lions should be looking ahead it is still Michigan and I am sure they would like nothing more than to hang a very big number on them. PSU should be all over Threat who throws about 50% and will not have enough time to complete that percentage. This Mich team has 2 wins and the Wisky game was a joke and then there is Miami (OH), both were very hard for Mich to be in and that means this game will not be wolverine friendly. As much of a look ahead game as it is for PSU you also have to remember the Wolverines has Mich St next weekend and I am sure they have a few players in state thinking a win there will help make some of this pain go away. I also think a lot of these kids saw PSU hammer Wisky and will come in dejected and ready to be taken behind the woodshed. Speed, better offense, better defense, better special teams and advantage in overal effectiveness should have PSU only battling PSU in this game.
Cheers
Irish

