Guy is pretty hot in NFL this year, thought id pass it along for those interested........
NFL KEY RELEASES
2* TAMPA BAY over Dallas
3* NEW ORLEANS over Carolina
4* CLEVELAND over New England
4* TENNESSEE over Jacksonville
5* CINCINNATI over Seattle
Detailed Analysis of NFL Key Releases
TAMPA BAY 30 - Dallas 13 - (1:00) -- The Cowboys are possibly this season's #1 NFL story. Parcells' genius has guided them to 5 wins thus far, which matches their total wins in each of the previous 3 years (5-11, 5-11, & 5-11). Check RY edges of 51, 54, 136, 65, & 51 in 5 of Dallas' 6 games. Check also, the 'Boys 25-9 FD edge over the Lions. They do seem to get better with each game. However, this week presents a huge roadblock. Catching the Bucs off a loss has been pure murder for their foes. After Tampa's first 2 setbacks, it won 31-10 (14? pt cover), & 35-13 (19-pt cover). Bucs ceded 458 yds at SanFran, & had a 212-68 RY deficit. This showcase contest again presents them with a golden opportunity. Bucs are amazing 19-1 ATS after being upset. Too much, even for Parcells, who almost took Buc job LY.
NEW ORLEANS 26 - Carolina 13 - (4:15) -- Season's first revenge setup, as the Panthers recorded 19-13 win over the Saints, just 3 wks ago. Carolina had its perfect record snapped in style with 37-17 home loss to the Titans (21-pt ATS loss), with Davis managing only 20 RYs. Must try to regroup vs a Saint squad, which may have finally found itself in thrashing of Atlanta. In that one, McAllister reached 100 RYs for the 4th straight wk, complementing Brooks' 352 PYs. Carolina has squeaked by in its last 3 RGs, winning by 4, 3, & 3 pts (last 2 in OT), but it ends here. Saints are no 1-wk wonders.
THE GOLD SHEET
The Gold Sheet EXTRA!!! Technical Play of the Week
HAWAII over Utep...Warriors have owned series, especially at Aloha Stadium, where they?ve covered last five vs. Miners. UTEP only 5-15 vs. line away since 2000.
NFL KEY RELEASES
DENVER by 10 over Baltimore
DALLAS by 3 over Tampa Bay
OVER 42 total points in the Houston-Indianapolis game
Detailed Analysis
Denver 23 - BALTIMORE 13 ?Even if it?s Danny Kanell at QB this week (Beuerlein 3 ints. and a finger injury last week), prefer more sophisticated offense of Denver vs. the limited package being run by the stilllearning Kyle Boller (3 TDP last week, but two of them in the 4th Q after Balt. was down 34-10). Improved Bronco defense (15 ppg prior to last week at Minn.) will enjoy not facing the dynamic Culpepper/Moss threat. Denver?s two losses have come by one point at K.C. on a 4th-Q PR TD, and vs. perfect Vikes.
Dallas 20 - TAMPA BAY 17 ?Have great respect for T.B.?s nasty mood after its bad-looking 24-7 loss (allowed 458 yds.) in S.F. But the only major knock against Dallas these days (Cowboys have won & covered 5 straight) is that they?ve played some weak opponents. But Bucs hardly looking strong, with RB Altstott, WR Jurevicius & CB Kelly out. Mobile QB Q. Carter (3 TDP in 1st H last week) making more good plays each game. And Dallas WRs & DBs appearing to be all Bill Parcells had hoped, with insiders reporting Cowboys secondary speed is allowing the Tuna to be very aggressive with his defense.
OVER THE TOTAL INDIANAPOLIS 30 - Houston 22 ?With Houston defense down a couple of notches with NT Payne & CB Glenn out and top LB Posey gone in free agency, can?t expect Titans to stop Peyton Manning & elusive, durable little WR Harrison (6 TDC already). But Houston offense has more punch with quick LSU RB Domanick Davis (129 YR vs. Jets in first start) joining speedy Miami WR A. Johnson as rookies in Titan lineup. Indy coach Dungy resorted to some live, heavy-hitting drills in bye week in effort to improve Colts often-shoddy tackling (26th vs. rush).
THE SPORTS REPORTER
SUMMARY OF NFL PLAYS:
BEST BETS
*CINCINNATI over SEATTLE by 11
SAN FRANCISCO* over ARIZONA by 21
RECOMMENDED PLAYS
*BALTIMORE over DENVER by 10
*MINNESOTA over N.Y GIANTS by 16
CAROLINA over *NEW ORLEANS by 10
N.Y. JETS over *PHILADELPHIA by 6
SUMMARY OF NFL KEY SELECTIONS:
4?? Carolina over NEW ORLEANS
3?? INDIANAPOLIS over Houston
2?? St Louis over PITTSBURGH
2?? San Francisco over ARIZONA
NFL TOTALS:
3?? Panthers/Saints Over 39'
3?? Lions/Bears Under 38'*
3?? Texans/Colts Over 42
2?? Seahawks/Bengals Under 42
2?? Cowboys/Bucs Under 37
NORTHCOAST SYSTEM SELECTION
Play against the home team off a bye hosting an inter-conference game. 1999-2003 - 11-5 69%
PLAY AGAINST PITTSBURGH PLAY ON ST LOUIS
PITTSBURGH 30 - St Louis 20 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Pick-em, and is now Pittsburgh minus 1?. To say that the Steelers have been a disappointment, in the NFL's early going, would be a hugeunderstatement. A year ago, Pitt was a single play from making it to the AFC title game, & was figured to be there again. But, since its opening week blowout of Baltimore, Pittsburgh has impressed only in its narrow loss at Denver. Not only that, but check near identical 30-13 & 33-13 home losses in its last hoster. However, Steelers had last week off, & are 14-5 ATS at home off a pair of losses. Rams have been great at home, but this marks 1st road trip in more than a month, & they've been less than special on natural turf.
RATING: PITTSBURGH STEELERS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Purdue, Tulsa, Stanford, Mississippi -- NFL: Tampa, New Orleans, San Diego
NFL KEY RELEASES
2* TAMPA BAY over Dallas
3* NEW ORLEANS over Carolina
4* CLEVELAND over New England
4* TENNESSEE over Jacksonville
5* CINCINNATI over Seattle
Detailed Analysis of NFL Key Releases
TAMPA BAY 30 - Dallas 13 - (1:00) -- The Cowboys are possibly this season's #1 NFL story. Parcells' genius has guided them to 5 wins thus far, which matches their total wins in each of the previous 3 years (5-11, 5-11, & 5-11). Check RY edges of 51, 54, 136, 65, & 51 in 5 of Dallas' 6 games. Check also, the 'Boys 25-9 FD edge over the Lions. They do seem to get better with each game. However, this week presents a huge roadblock. Catching the Bucs off a loss has been pure murder for their foes. After Tampa's first 2 setbacks, it won 31-10 (14? pt cover), & 35-13 (19-pt cover). Bucs ceded 458 yds at SanFran, & had a 212-68 RY deficit. This showcase contest again presents them with a golden opportunity. Bucs are amazing 19-1 ATS after being upset. Too much, even for Parcells, who almost took Buc job LY.
NEW ORLEANS 26 - Carolina 13 - (4:15) -- Season's first revenge setup, as the Panthers recorded 19-13 win over the Saints, just 3 wks ago. Carolina had its perfect record snapped in style with 37-17 home loss to the Titans (21-pt ATS loss), with Davis managing only 20 RYs. Must try to regroup vs a Saint squad, which may have finally found itself in thrashing of Atlanta. In that one, McAllister reached 100 RYs for the 4th straight wk, complementing Brooks' 352 PYs. Carolina has squeaked by in its last 3 RGs, winning by 4, 3, & 3 pts (last 2 in OT), but it ends here. Saints are no 1-wk wonders.
THE GOLD SHEET
The Gold Sheet EXTRA!!! Technical Play of the Week
HAWAII over Utep...Warriors have owned series, especially at Aloha Stadium, where they?ve covered last five vs. Miners. UTEP only 5-15 vs. line away since 2000.
NFL KEY RELEASES
DENVER by 10 over Baltimore
DALLAS by 3 over Tampa Bay
OVER 42 total points in the Houston-Indianapolis game
Detailed Analysis
Denver 23 - BALTIMORE 13 ?Even if it?s Danny Kanell at QB this week (Beuerlein 3 ints. and a finger injury last week), prefer more sophisticated offense of Denver vs. the limited package being run by the stilllearning Kyle Boller (3 TDP last week, but two of them in the 4th Q after Balt. was down 34-10). Improved Bronco defense (15 ppg prior to last week at Minn.) will enjoy not facing the dynamic Culpepper/Moss threat. Denver?s two losses have come by one point at K.C. on a 4th-Q PR TD, and vs. perfect Vikes.
Dallas 20 - TAMPA BAY 17 ?Have great respect for T.B.?s nasty mood after its bad-looking 24-7 loss (allowed 458 yds.) in S.F. But the only major knock against Dallas these days (Cowboys have won & covered 5 straight) is that they?ve played some weak opponents. But Bucs hardly looking strong, with RB Altstott, WR Jurevicius & CB Kelly out. Mobile QB Q. Carter (3 TDP in 1st H last week) making more good plays each game. And Dallas WRs & DBs appearing to be all Bill Parcells had hoped, with insiders reporting Cowboys secondary speed is allowing the Tuna to be very aggressive with his defense.
OVER THE TOTAL INDIANAPOLIS 30 - Houston 22 ?With Houston defense down a couple of notches with NT Payne & CB Glenn out and top LB Posey gone in free agency, can?t expect Titans to stop Peyton Manning & elusive, durable little WR Harrison (6 TDC already). But Houston offense has more punch with quick LSU RB Domanick Davis (129 YR vs. Jets in first start) joining speedy Miami WR A. Johnson as rookies in Titan lineup. Indy coach Dungy resorted to some live, heavy-hitting drills in bye week in effort to improve Colts often-shoddy tackling (26th vs. rush).
THE SPORTS REPORTER
SUMMARY OF NFL PLAYS:
BEST BETS
*CINCINNATI over SEATTLE by 11
SAN FRANCISCO* over ARIZONA by 21
RECOMMENDED PLAYS
*BALTIMORE over DENVER by 10
*MINNESOTA over N.Y GIANTS by 16
CAROLINA over *NEW ORLEANS by 10
N.Y. JETS over *PHILADELPHIA by 6
SUMMARY OF NFL KEY SELECTIONS:
4?? Carolina over NEW ORLEANS
3?? INDIANAPOLIS over Houston
2?? St Louis over PITTSBURGH
2?? San Francisco over ARIZONA
NFL TOTALS:
3?? Panthers/Saints Over 39'
3?? Lions/Bears Under 38'*
3?? Texans/Colts Over 42
2?? Seahawks/Bengals Under 42
2?? Cowboys/Bucs Under 37
NORTHCOAST SYSTEM SELECTION
Play against the home team off a bye hosting an inter-conference game. 1999-2003 - 11-5 69%
PLAY AGAINST PITTSBURGH PLAY ON ST LOUIS
PITTSBURGH 30 - St Louis 20 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Pick-em, and is now Pittsburgh minus 1?. To say that the Steelers have been a disappointment, in the NFL's early going, would be a hugeunderstatement. A year ago, Pitt was a single play from making it to the AFC title game, & was figured to be there again. But, since its opening week blowout of Baltimore, Pittsburgh has impressed only in its narrow loss at Denver. Not only that, but check near identical 30-13 & 33-13 home losses in its last hoster. However, Steelers had last week off, & are 14-5 ATS at home off a pair of losses. Rams have been great at home, but this marks 1st road trip in more than a month, & they've been less than special on natural turf.
RATING: PITTSBURGH STEELERS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Purdue, Tulsa, Stanford, Mississippi -- NFL: Tampa, New Orleans, San Diego
