Week 9 NCAA FOOTBALL

[Master Capper]

2010 Season (includes halftimes)

Last Week 9-4 +3.3 units

1 unit plays 23-12-1
2 unit plays 9-2-1
3 unit plays 2-1
SunBelt Dart Tosses 1-4 (not counted in record pure fun)

Total 34-15-2 +24.2 units

2009 Season Tally (includes halftime plays)

147-121 units +26.8 units (plays rated 1-3 stars)
9-6 Bowl Record +1.6





Ended up a week in the black, but it could of been much better. The Northwestern loss was one of the worst beats that I have taken ever and I still cannot believe they lost and didnt cover. Lines are listed below and will be back in a few to get out my early plays:


10/26 8:00 PM
101 Louisiana Tech
102 Boise State -35


10/28 7:45 PM
103 Florida St -4
104 NC State
FSU- (QB) PONDER PROBABLE



10/29 8:00 PM
105 West Virginia -6
106 Connecticut


10/30 12:00 PM
107 Syracuse
108 Cincinnati
GAME OFF BOARD CINC- (QB) COLLAROS QUESTIONABLE



10/30 12:00 PM
109 UAB
110 So. Miss. -13.5




10/30 12:00 PM
111 Purdue
112 Illinois -14



10/30 12:00 PM
113 Miami (FL) -14
114 Virginia



10/30 12:00 PM
115 Louisville
116 Pittsburgh -10



10/30 3:30 PM
117 Michigan St
118 Iowa -4.5



10/30 12:00 PM
119 Northwestern -3
120 Indiana



10/30 12:00 PM
121 Clemson -7
122 Boston College



10/30 3:30 PM
123 Wake Forest
124 Maryland -7.5


10/30 12:00 PM
125 No. Illinois -8.5
126 W. Michigan



10/30 12:20 PM
127 Tennessee
128 South Carolina -17



10/30 7:00 PM
129 Vanderbilt
130 Arkansas -21.5
ARK- (QB) MALLETT PROBABLE



10/30 7:00 PM
131 Kentucky
132 Miss. State -7



10/30 6:00 PM
133 Auburn -7.5
134 Mississippi



10/30 7:00 PM
135 Baylor
136 Texas -9



10/30 2:00 PM
137 Kansas
138 Iowa State -14
GAME OFF BOARD KU - (QB) WEBB QUESTIONABLE ( BACKUP QB) PIKE QUESTIONABLE


10/30 1:00 PM
139 Akron
140 Temple -27



10/30 3:30 PM
141 Ball State
142 Kent -11.5



10/30 2:00 PM
143 San Diego State -10
144 Wyoming



10/30 2:30 PM
145 Tulsa
146 Notre Dame -10



10/30 3:00 PM
147 Texas-El Paso
148 Marshall -4



10/30 3:30 PM
149 SMU -8.5
150 Tulane



10/30 3:30 PM
151 Bowling Green
152 C.Michigan -13



10/30 7:00 PM
153 Stanford -7
154 Washington



10/30 3:30 PM
155 Georgia
156 Florida -1.5
Jacksonville, FL



10/30 3:30 PM
157 East Carolina
158 Central Florida -7



10/30 3:30 PM
159 Arizona -8.5
160 UCLA
ARIZ- (QB) FOLES OUT



10/30 12:00 PM
161 Oklahoma St -4
162 Kansas State



10/30 3:30 PM
163 Missouri
164 Nebraska -6



10/30 9:15 PM
165 Colorado
166 Oklahoma -24



10/30 3:30 PM
167 Miami (OH) -4
168 Buffalo



10/30 3:30 PM
169 Texas Tech
170 Texas A&M -6



10/30 3:30 PM
171 Duke
172 Navy -14.5



10/30 4:00 PM
173 Toledo -14
174 E.Michigan



10/30 10:30 PM
175 Utah State
176 Nevada -24



10/30 4:00 PM
177 San Jose St
178 New Mexico St -1.5



10/30 6:00 PM
179 New Mexico
180 Colorado State -15



10/30 3:30 PM
181 California
182 Oregon St -3



10/30 7:00 PM
183 Washington St
184 Arizona State -21



10/30 7:00 PM
185 Houston -14
186 Memphis



10/30 7:30 PM
187 Utah -5
188 Air Force



10/30 8:00 PM
189 Ohio State -26
190 Minnesota



10/30 8:00 PM
191 Michigan -3
192 Penn St



10/30 8:00 PM
193 Oregon -7
194 So. Cal



10/30 11:00 PM
195 TCU -35
196 UNLV
GAME CIRCLED PST- (QB) BOLDEN QUESTIONABLE



10/30 11:30 PM
197 Idaho
198 Hawaii -13



10/30 2:00 PM
199 La Lafayette
200 Ohio -18
ADDED GAMES



10/30 3:00 PM
201 North Texas
202 Western Kentucky -6



10/30 3:30 PM
203 Troy -14
204 La Monroe



10/30 4:00 PM
205 Florida Intl -6
206 FAU

 

[Master Capper]

Early Plays

ORGST-3 *

ND-8.5**

Purdue +16*

 

[Master Capper]

Utah- **

 

[baby johnson]

early looks look solid

 

[Master Capper]

Michigan-2 **

 

[Master Capper]

Many gamblers have a very short memory often basing their wagers on what happened the week before and not taking the whole body of work into consideration. For example, last week Iowa State was catching 22 against Texas. ISU was coming off a beatdown from OKIE and Texas was coming off a huge win over Nebraska. In this case the publics perception of ISU was weak, but they believed that Texas had turned the corner and was once again a juggernaut. Below are teams that I think our over valued and under valued going into this week:

Under Valued

UCLA,
CINC
ND
CONN
IOWA
PURDUE
WVU
TEXAS
OKL
ASU
KENTUCKY
MIAMI OF OHIO

Over Valued

MIAFL
NAVY
LOU
MICHST
ILL
IWST
MIZZOU
CUSE
UTAH
GEORGIA
Tulane

 

[blaster]

MC,
NICE SEASON YOU HAVE GOING. KEEP UP WITH THE GREAT WORK. I TOTALLY AGREE WITH YOU VALUE SENERIO. THIS IS ONE AREA IN CAPPING THAT I LOOK FOR EACH WEEK. YOU COULD NOT BE MORE ON POINT. GOOD LUCK GOING FORWARD.

BLASTER

 

[Master Capper]

5-0 ATS
Utah

5-1 ATS
Boise St.
Hawaii
N. Illinois
N. Carolina
OK St.
OR St.
V Tech.

5-2 ATS
Ark. St.
KY
OH St.

4-1 ATS
UCF
IA
SDSU

1-5 ATS
Marshall
NM
NM St.
WI

1-4 ATS
BC
Buff
Kent St.
MTSU
NW
PSU
Rutg
USF
TAMU


6-0 O/U
OR St.
KY

6-1 O/U
Army
BG

5-1 O/U
Marshall
NM
OK St.
UNLV

5-2 O/U
OH St.
USC
E. MI

4-1 O/U
KS
NE
OR
S. CAR.
TN
TxT
VT

0-7 O/U
BYU

0-5 O/U
MTSU


1-5 O/U
AF
WYO

2-5 O/U
AL
Miami (OH)
N.TX

1-4 O/U
ND
BC
Clem
FAU
MO
PUR
Rice
SDSU
USF
UT St.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

0-5 O/U
MTSU
ND

ND went over last week FWIW

 

[Betone]

:mj07:

ND went over last week FWIW

 

[Master Capper]

Air Force ? Have dropped 5 in a row ATS
Arkansas ? Are 6-2 ATS and won last 3 in a row
Boise St ? Are 5-0-1 ATS and won last 3 in a row
BYU ? Are 1-7 under and played in their first over on week 8
Central Michigan ? Lost first 4 games ATS and have won last 4 ATS
Eastern Michigan ? Are 6-2 Over for the season, scored 20+ five times
F.A.U. - Has lost last 4 ATS
Georgia ? Are on 3 game ATS run after losing 4 in a row ATS
Hawaii ? Are 7-1 ATS for the season
Houston ? Are 5-1 Over for the season
Kentucky ? Started the season with an under and are 6 in a row over since that game
Marshall ? Have dropped 5 in a row ATS
Michigan St ? Have won 5 in a row ATS
Missouri ? Have won 4 in a row ATS and are 3-0 ATS in conference
N. Illinois ? Have won 6 in a row ATS
N.W. - Have lost 4 in a row ATS
Ohio ? Have won 5 in a row ATS
Oklahoma St ? Are 6-1 Over for the season
Oregon St ? Are 6-0 Over for the season
Rutgers ? Are 1-6 ATS for the season
S.D. State ? Are 1-5 Under for the season
S. Jose St ? Are 1-7 Under for the season
SMU ? Have lost 4 in a row ATS
Tennessee ? Are 5-1 Over for the season
Texas ? Are 2-5 ATS for the season with 2 Overs and 4 Unders (1 tie)
Tulsa ? After loser first 3 games ATS have since won 4 in a row ATS
U.C.F. - Have won 5 in a row ATS
Utah ? Are 6-0-1 ATS for the season and 5 were Overs
Utah State ? Are 1-6 Under for the season
Virginia Tech ? Lost first 2 games ATS and have won 6 in a row ATS since that time
Washington St ? Have won 4 in a row ATS and the only team to hold them to single digits
was Arizona


Money Line Dogs ? on week 8 there were 19 ML Dogs +6.5 or less and 7 won SU (37%)
ML dogs of +7 or more ? 4 teams won SU (13%) - Iowa St +26 won outright by 7


The following teams had week 8 off coming into week 9 with an extra week of preparation:
Army, Boise St, FIU, Florida, Florida St, La Tech, Memphis, Michigan, NC ST, Nevada,
N. Texas, Oregon St, So. Miss, Troy, Tulsa, UNLV, USC, Wake Forest

 

[Master Capper]

There are 52 lined games on week 9. 16 teams qualify as ML dogs of +6.5 or less. This category has hit at 41% for almost 4 years now. Last week it hit 37%. The teams that qualify are:

N.C. State, Connecticut, Air Force, Buffalo, California, FAU, Georgia, Indiana, Mich State, Penn St, Mizzou, Texas Tech,New Mexico St, N. Texas, Kansas St, Utep

 

[Master Capper]

How top coaches fare after a SU Loss or a Revenge game:

Tressel 13-5....Revenge 13-4 (Covered against Purdue last week after a SU loss plus revenge!)
Paul Johnson 5-0 & 6-1
Edsall 31-16 & 15-9 (plays WV tomorrow night coming off a SU loss & revenge!)
Sumln 6-3 & 5-0 (beat SMU last week off a SU loss to Rice)
Snyder 41-19 & 51-25 (covered a couple weeks ago against Kansas off a SU loss. Plays OSU this week off a SU loss)
Ferentz 30-17 & 23-21 (plays Michigan St this week off a SU loss)
Anderson (Utah St) 5-2 & 6-1 (Plays Nevada this week off a SU loss plus revenge)
Mack Brown 15-8 ATS after SU loss (plays Baylor)
Nutt 5-1 & 7-4 (plays Auburn this week off a SU loss plus revenge!)
Meyer 7-2 & 7-3 (plays Georgia this week off a SU loss. Make that 3 SU losses..Ouch!)
Briles 8-4 & 9-5 (already covered 2 games this year off a SU loss)
O'Brien 10-6 & 10-6 (plays FSU off a SU loss & revenge!)
Beamer 41-32 & 43-19
Schiano 28-20 & 26-21
Golden 13-13 & 14-7
Mike Stoops 19-13 & 25-12
Bob Stoops 15-7 & 8-7 (OU coming off SU loss plus revenge for 2007 loss to CU)
Grobe 25-22 & 25-17 (plays Maryland off a SU loss)

 

[Master Capper]

I am thinking of buying back Purdue, if Henry is out then they have no shot.


Add

Kentucky Wildcats +7 **

 

[Cie]

How top coaches fare after a SU Loss or a Revenge game:

Tressel 13-5....Revenge 13-4 (Covered against Purdue last week after a SU loss plus revenge!)
Paul Johnson 5-0 & 6-1
Edsall 31-16 & 15-9 (plays WV tomorrow night coming off a SU loss & revenge!)
Sumln 6-3 & 5-0 (beat SMU last week off a SU loss to Rice)
Snyder 41-19 & 51-25 (covered a couple weeks ago against Kansas off a SU loss. Plays OSU this week off a SU loss)
Ferentz 30-17 & 23-21 (plays Michigan St this week off a SU loss)
Anderson (Utah St) 5-2 & 6-1 (Plays Nevada this week off a SU loss plus revenge)
Mack Brown 15-8 ATS after SU loss (plays Baylor)
Nutt 5-1 & 7-4 (plays Auburn this week off a SU loss plus revenge!)
Meyer 7-2 & 7-3 (plays Georgia this week off a SU loss. Make that 3 SU losses..Ouch!)
Briles 8-4 & 9-5 (already covered 2 games this year off a SU loss)
O'Brien 10-6 & 10-6 (plays FSU off a SU loss & revenge!)
Beamer 41-32 & 43-19
Schiano 28-20 & 26-21
Golden 13-13 & 14-7
Mike Stoops 19-13 & 25-12
Bob Stoops 15-7 & 8-7 (OU coming off SU loss plus revenge for 2007 loss to CU)
Grobe 25-22 & 25-17 (plays Maryland off a SU loss)

I just read this elsewhere and also thought about pasting over here. Thanks and GL:weed:

 

[Cie]

I am thinking of buying back Purdue, if Henry is out then they have no shot.


Add

Kentucky Wildcats +7 **

Good loooking play. Kentucky failed to cover LW, but outplayed UGA on both sides.....

 

[the addict]

Early Plays

ORGST-3 *

ND-8.5**

Purdue +16*

on purdue and nd...looked and orst and still lookin....like the plays thus far congrats on a great year so far and continued success.

 

[Destructor D]

Looking at Notre Dame... are they healthy this week? Obviously they aren't very good when they're hurting like last week. Tulsa's defense is beyond terrible, but they can put some points on the scoreboard.

I like Oregon State... Cal continues to be a jekyll & hyde team with regards to home and road games. Beavers also tough ATS under Riley and tough in October.

 

[Cie]

Looking at Notre Dame... are they healthy this week? Obviously they aren't very good when they're hurting like last week. Tulsa's defense is beyond terrible, but they can put some points on the scoreboard.

I like Oregon State... Cal continues to be a jekyll & hyde team with regards to home and road games. Beavers also tough ATS under Riley and tough in October.

ND has multiple defensive health concerns. BBC started a thread about the injuries.

 

[Cie]

ND has multiple defensive health concerns. BBC started a thread about the injuries.

from college injury report:


10/25 4:27am Carlo Calabrese LB Questionable Hamstring Calabrese pulled a hamstring in week eight and is questionable to be ready to play in week nine against Tulsa. He's scheduled to undergo a precautionary MRI, at which time more will be known about his status going forward.

10/25 4:26am Ian Williams NT Questionable Leg Williams suffered a leg injury in week eight and is questionable to be ready to play in week nine against Tulsa. The starting nose tackle will be held out of practice until more tests can be performed to determine his status.

10/25 4:24am TJ Jones WR Probable Ankle Jones suffered an ankle injury in week eight but is probable to play in week nine against Tulsa. The typically reserve WR earned the start last weekend with Theo Riddick on the shelf and will most likely start again as the Irish's slot receiver, barring any setbacks with his ankle.

10/24 8:06am Theo Riddick WR Out Ankle Riddick rolled his ankle in week seven and was not ready to play in week eight against Navy. Tests performed prior to week eight show a severe sprain, so Riddick could be out for more than one week. Consider him questionable for week nine against Tulsa. When healthy, he's the slot reciever for the Fighting Irish.

10/24 8:05am Michael Floyd WR Questionable Hamstring Floyd played through a hamstring injury in week seven and showed no signs of being injured, grabbing three TDs, but the star WR remained tight and limited in practice, and ultimately was held out in week eight. The injury still isn't believed to be serious, but Floyd should be considered questionable for week nine against Tulsa. The senior is perhaps the best WR in the nation when healthy.