Week 9 plays and predicted scores (GO COLTS!)

[Agent 0659]

Predicted Scores record vs spread: 127-75-17 (63%) :00hour
My bets record: 88-82-8 (52%) +$124 (4.2 units) (BR=$1,124) 1 Unit = $30


Sides: 33-28-7
Totals: 36-27
2nd half: 4-5
1st half: 0-2
ML Dogs: 9-6
Parlays: 0-3
Teasers: 6-11-1

 

[Agent 0659]

:00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour

 

[Agent 0659]

COLTS WIN!!!

 

[Agent 0659]

Brady: "Congrats Peyton, you guys are the best!"

:fit01: :fit01: :fit01:

 

[Agent 0659]

"Hey Tom, You suck!"

 

[Agent 0659]

"My God Manning is awesome!"

 

[Agent 0659]

:firing:

 

[Agent 0659]

 

[Agent 0659]

 

[Niederton]

Nice posters. Where's your pick?

I say the model beats the salamander. Handily.

 

[Agent 0659]

Nice posters. Where's your pick?

I say the model beats the salamander. Handily.

Picks will be up sooner or later:grins: :grins:

 

[Agent 0659]

Washington at New York Jets:

WAS -3.5 (89%)
36

How does a team that loses 52-7 one week manage to be a road favorite the next? Easy, when you are on the road facing the New York Jets and that's what the lucky Redskins get in Week 9. Washington has won the past three meetings with the Jets and opened as road chalk.

Oddsmakers currently have the Redskins listed as 3-point favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total is sitting at 37.

The Redskins lost to New England 52-7 as a 14.5-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46.5).

Jason Campbell completed 21-of-36 passes for 197 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Washington, while Chris Cooley caught three passes for 23 yards and a touchdown.

The Jets lost to Buffalo 13-3 as a 3-point favorite in Week 8. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38.5).

Chad Pennington completed 13-of-20 passes for 106 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions for the Jets, while Thomas Jones rushed for 70 yards on 16 carries.

Current streak:
New York has lost 5 straight games.

Team records:
Washington: 4-3 SU, 2-3-2 ATS
New York: 1-7 SU, 1-6-1 ATS

Washington most recently:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Washington is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the NY Jets last 17 games at home
NY Jets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Jets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home

Until Sunday's 52-7 loss to New England, the Redskins had not allowed 50 or more points since 1961 (to the Giants, 53-0). "We got utterly embarrassed in every facet of the football game," LB London Fletcher told the Washington Post. It's official: Chad Pennington is out, and Kellen Clemens is in as the starting QB. The Jets had to make the move, not because it will save the season (too late for that), but to see if they need to draft another QB.


Teaser $55/50
WAS +3
OVER 29.5

WAS 20
JETS 17

 

[Agent 0659]

Green Bay at Kansas City:

KC -2 (79% GB)
37.5

Green Bay and Kansas City figured to be in the bottom third of the league but are scratching their way to the top. In addition to featuring a battle of surprising teams, this is a clash of ATS trends ? Green Bay is 5-0 ATS on the road, but are 0-5 ATS against KC. Both teams have been moneymakers so far in 2007.

Oddsmakers currently have the Packers listed as 1-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total is sitting at 38?.

Brett Favre threw an 82-yard pass to Greg Jennings for the game-winning touchdown in overtime, as the Packers defeated the Denver Broncos 19-13 last week. The Packers won the game as slight 3-point underdog, while the combined 32 points were UNDER the posted total of (44).

Favre completed 21-of-27 passes for 331 yards and James Jones caught three passes for 107 yards with a touchdown.

The Chiefs edged Oakland 12-10 as a 1.5-point underdog in Week 7. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (48.5).

Larry Johnson rushed for 112 yards and a touchdown on 24 carries for Kansas City, while Damon Huard completed 16-of-31 passes for 177 yards with an interception.

Current streak:
Green Bay has won 2 straight games.
Kansas City has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Green Bay: 6-1 SU, 5-1-1 ATS
Kansas City: 4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS

Green Bay most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Green Bay is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Kansas City is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

The first time Brett Favre's Packers started a season 6-1, they won the Super Bowl. The second time, they lost in the first round of the playoffs. Somewhere in between this season? Defensive end Jared Allen has eight sacks, just one behind NFL leader Trent Cole of the Eagles. Only two Chiefs have ever led the league in sacks -- Derrick Thomas in 1990 (20 sacks) and Neil Smith in 1993 (15 sacks).

GB +2 $55/50
UNDER 37.5 $55/50

GB 16
KC 13

 

[Axle]

Aaaah Agent, are you like a Colts fan? :142smilie LOL.

 

[Agent 0659]

Aaaah Agent, are you like a Colts fan? :142smilie LOL.

You noticed?

:mj07: :mj07: :00hour

 

[Agent 0659]

Arizona at Tampa Bay:

TB -3.5
41

After consecutive losses, Tampa Bay need a win to stay in the thick of their division. They host an Arizona team that has lost three of four and which looks nothing like the team that won impressively in Weeks 4 and 5.

Oddsmakers currently have the Buccaneers listed as 3?-point favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game's total is sitting at 36.

The Cardinals lost to Washington 21-19 as an 8-point underdog in Week 7. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (36).

Kurt Warner completed 27-of-41 passes for 282 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for Arizona, while Anquan Boldin caught a pair of touchdown passes.

The Buccaneers lost to Jacksonville 24-23 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 8. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (32.5).

Jeff Garcia completed 19-of-41 passes for 267 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions for Tampa Bay, while Joey Galloway caught six passes for 115 yards and a touchdown.

Current streak:
Arizona has lost 2 straight games.
Tampa Bay has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Arizona: 3-4 SU, 4-2-1 ATS
Tampa Bay: 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS

Arizona most recently:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

Veteran WR Ike Hilliard took the blame for the 24-23 loss to the Jags after failing to latch onto a pass that was intercepted in the final minute. "It's nobody's fault but mine," Hilliard told the Tampa Tribune. The Cardinals have played 105 minutes of first-quarter football this season ... and have exactly two field goals to show for it. Penalties and turnovers are partly to blame; five of the Cards' 16 turnovers have come in the first quarter.

ARI +3.5 $55/50
ARI ML $50/85
OVER 38.5 $55/50

ARI 23
TB 20

 

[Agent 0659]

Carolina at Tennessee:

TEN -4 (70%)
35.5

The Panthers were humiliated at home by Indy and will be looking take out their frustrations at Tennessee this week. It's a battle of cover machines as the Cats are 5-0 ATS on the road, while the Titans are on a money-making 14-5 ATS run in their past 19 games.

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 5-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total is sitting at 37.

The Panthers lost to Indianapolis 31-7 as a 7-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44).

Vinny Testaverde completed 12-of-20 passes for 82 yards with an interception before leaving with an ankle injury for Carolina, while DeShaun Foster rushed for 62 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries.

The Titans defeated Oakland 13-9 as a 7-point favorite in Week 8. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).

LenDale White rushed for 133 yards on 25 carries for Tennessee, while Chris Henry rushed for 48 yards and a touchdown on four carries.

Current streak:
Tennessee has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Carolina: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS
Tennessee: 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS

Carolina most recently:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

The Titans are winning the close, low-scoring games. That's good for building character but bad for an offense that can't seem to produce many points. "As an offense, we have to get it together," Vince Young told The Tennessean. All four Panthers wins this season have been on the road; all three losses have come at home. In fact, Carolina has lost five straight at home dating back to last season, and is now 49-50 at home since joining the league in 1995.

TEN -4 $55/50
UNDER 36 $55/50


TEN 16
CAR 9

 

[Agent 0659]

San Fransisco at Atlanta:

ATL -3.5
37

We expected these losing ways of the Michael Vick-less Falcons, but it was supposed to be different for the emerging 49ers. Two teams on losing streaks meet up in Georgia with the 49ers, winners of just six of 25 road games, road underdogs to lowly Atlanta.

Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 3-point favorites versus the 49ers, while the game's total is sitting at 37.

The 49ers lost to New Orleans 31-10 as a 1.5-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40).

Alex Smith completed 22-of-43 passes for 190 yards with a touchdown for San Francisco, while Vernon Davis caught six passes for 71 yards and a touchdown.

The Falcons lost to New Orleans 22-16 as a 7.5-point favorite in Week 7. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (42.5).

Byron Leftwich completed 15-of-23 passes for 145 yards and a touchdown before leaving the game with an ankle injury, while Roddy White caught eight passes for 110 yards and a touchdown.

Current streak:
San Francisco has lost 5 straight games.
Atlanta has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
San Francisco: 2-5 SU, 2-4-1 ATS
Atlanta: 1-6 SU, 4-3 ATS

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
San Francisco is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 16 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home a gainst San Francisco
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing San Francisco

The 49ers have lost five straight and now play four of their next five on the road, making it difficult to keep a positive outlook. The 49ers could be officially eliminated before their three-game homestand to end the season. DeAngelo Hall, who has been fined $100K this season for being critical of rookie coach Bobby Petrino, said the only time he'll talk to the media the rest of this season is after games. Bad for us; good for Hall's bank account.

ATL -3.5 $55/50
UNDER 37 $55/50

ATL 20
SF 12

 

[Agent 0659]

Jacksonville at New Orleans:

NO -3.5
40

The Saints are on a roll although not against the spread where they are 2-8 in their past 10. But they catch the Jaguars at a good time, with third-stringer Quinn Gray at pivot and the Jags struggling to retain their snarl until David Garrard returns.

Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 4-point favorites versus the Jaguars, while the game's total is sitting at 40.

The Jaguars defeated Tampa Bay 24-23 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (32.5).

Quinn Gray completed 7-of-16 passes for 100 yards with a touchdown for Jacksonville, while Fred Taylor rushed for 68 yards on 24 carries.

The Saints defeated San Francisco 31-10 as a 1.5-point favorite in Week 8. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40).

Drew Bree passed for 336 yards with four touchdowns for New Orleans, while Marques Colston caught eight passes for 85 yards with three touchdowns.

Current streak:
New Orleans has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Jacksonville: 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS
New Orleans: 3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 game s at home
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

After their 0-4 start, the Saints have won three straight and are now just one game behind the division-leading Panthers. "You know, we're on a little bit of a roll here," Reggie Bush told the Times-Picayune. Who figured that the first backup quarterback ever to beat Bucs defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin would be the Jags' Quinn Gray? Of course, the Jags didn't ask Gray to do much; they opened with 14 consecutive running plays.

NO -3 $55/50

NO 26
JAX 17

 

[Agent 0659]

Denver at Detroit:

DET -3
45.5

At least the Broncos didn't have to play a long overtime. Green Bay got them on the first play of the Monday Nighter and Denver now travels to Detroit as a road dog to face the surprising Detroit Lions. The Broncos are just 1-8 ATS in their past nine games overall.

Oddsmakers currently have the Lions listed as 3?-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total is sitting at 45?.

The Broncos lost 19-13 to the Green Bay Packers last time out, as 3-point underdogs. The Broncos were 3-point favorites in the contest, while the combined 32 points were UNDER the posted total of (44).

Jay Cutler completed 21-of-34 passes for 264 yards with one touchdown in the loss.

The Lions defeated Chicago 16-7 as a 6-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45.5).

Jon Kitna completed 24-of-35 passes for 268 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions for Detroit, while Kevin Jones rushed for 105 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries in the win.

Current streak:
Detroit has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Denver: 3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS
Detroit: 5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS

Denver most recently:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Detroit most recently:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Denver
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Detroit is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games at home

Champ Bailey and Dre' Bly have nine Pro Bowl appearances between them and are supposed to give the Broncos the best pair of corners in the AFC, if not the entire league. Could've fooled us on Monday. Who wants Matt Millen fired now? For the first time in his tenure, the Lions have started out 5-2. They've swept the Bears and are 3-0 in the division. But they still must face the Packers twice in the final six weeks.

DET -3 $55/50

TEASER $55/50
DET +3.5
OVER 39

DET 29
DEN 20