BG (-22.5) over Ohio
Falcons are a stronger team at home, they love to run it up passing the ball all day. Ohio is a much improved team but they are not very good on the road. They were shut out 45-0 to VT and @ N?western they lost by 24. Mind you they has a 24 point lead at half time. Ohio will try to run the ball because they love to run and had over 300 yards on the ground against Kent. However the BG defense is small and fast enough to break up the Ohio running game. Also in that Kent St game the bobcats only won by 3, considering they had 6 INT?s on defense. Everson is a gritty player, but he makes some poor decisions that lead to turnovers (1TD & 6INT), something the Cats cannot afford at BG. Ohio allowed Pitt to return the ball with ease in the kicking game, look for Nate Fry and Corey Partridge to take advantage of that on Saturday. Sanders and Sharon should be able to go deep on the Ohio secondary, they clearly have a speed and hands advantage. Even if the Falcons allow Ohio to score a few points they should still dominate this game offensively. The Falcons should also use this game to get their defense ready just as they did against Temple. Kent St is flat out bad and even after throwing 6 picks they still hung 32 points on the Ohio defense. At home with that offense the Falcons should open up the offense, no look ahead game means they focus solely on the bobcats and that spells danger for a running team. Once BG gets a commanding lead the Bobcats will be forced to throw, which kills the Ohio game plan.
Cheers
Irish