YTD: 59-41, +39.8 Units
Recovering from a rough week, but Sunday was kind. Following up with the same theory as last week that bit me in the ass.
Michigan -39 over Rutgers (7 Units) - This is not a play where I think Harbaugh is going to try to impress the committee...this is one where I am not sure he can help it. So Vegas has placed the Rutgers team total at 3.5 and while I am sure we have seen that before, I sure as hell can't pinpoint the last time it happened...especially in a conference game. Therefore we are only expected to need Michigan to score in the low 40's to cover this? There would be a better shot at calling off the dogs at home than on the road due to the limited travel roster. Two years ago they hung 78...part of which was due to the fact that the worst RB on Michigan's travel squad was Karan Higdon and you could make the argument that Michigan is even deeper now. Furthermore, they already rotate about 20 guys on defense with no drop off, so there will not be an easy path for late scores either. After specialists, Michigan will suit up about 68-70 guys...they are leaving guys in Ann Arbor that could start at Rutgers. This screams of long runs, even late in the game, and about 55 Michigan points.
Michigan/Rutgers over 47.5 (7 Units) - See Above
Michigan over 43.5 (7 Units) - See Way Above
Alabama -23.5 over Mississippi State (6 Units) - So let me get this one straight...Bama shuts out LSU on the road by 29 in a game that should have been about 45-0 based on the yardage. Now they play at home against a team that can only score by accident and they are only laying this? Even boredom can't keep this close.
Recovering from a rough week, but Sunday was kind. Following up with the same theory as last week that bit me in the ass.
Michigan -39 over Rutgers (7 Units) - This is not a play where I think Harbaugh is going to try to impress the committee...this is one where I am not sure he can help it. So Vegas has placed the Rutgers team total at 3.5 and while I am sure we have seen that before, I sure as hell can't pinpoint the last time it happened...especially in a conference game. Therefore we are only expected to need Michigan to score in the low 40's to cover this? There would be a better shot at calling off the dogs at home than on the road due to the limited travel roster. Two years ago they hung 78...part of which was due to the fact that the worst RB on Michigan's travel squad was Karan Higdon and you could make the argument that Michigan is even deeper now. Furthermore, they already rotate about 20 guys on defense with no drop off, so there will not be an easy path for late scores either. After specialists, Michigan will suit up about 68-70 guys...they are leaving guys in Ann Arbor that could start at Rutgers. This screams of long runs, even late in the game, and about 55 Michigan points.
Michigan/Rutgers over 47.5 (7 Units) - See Above
Michigan over 43.5 (7 Units) - See Way Above
Alabama -23.5 over Mississippi State (6 Units) - So let me get this one straight...Bama shuts out LSU on the road by 29 in a game that should have been about 45-0 based on the yardage. Now they play at home against a team that can only score by accident and they are only laying this? Even boredom can't keep this close.
