for whatever reason, i inexplicably enjoyed a very nice nfl season last year and had a very mediocre ncaa season. not sure how or why that was. i know i invest more time in college than pros. go figure. gl this season boys. as usual, dogs and unders are the only way i go in the pros.
cleveland/baltimore under 37
* if browns are w/o suggs, that hurts their running game significantly. green is definitely a capable backup, but suggs was killin guys toward the end of last year and all this preseason. browns passing game was awfully ineffective this preseason. doesnt look like garcia has his timing down with morgan/winslow/davis yet. only guy he seems comfortable with is northcutt. on defense, all browns linebacks and d-line have talked about is stopping lewis and atoning for last seasons dual embarrassments, and having to listen to it all summer. almost makes me think browns are willing to load the box and make boller beat them in the air -- more or less to save face and not get the ball run down their throat again. browns secondary is suspect, so it could happen but i dont think the ravens have the weapons to go that route. lewis will get his and i think this one goes down to the wire (like every browns season opener has for the last 4 years) and ends somewhere around 16-14. browns due to finally win one of these season openers, have lost L4 season openers by a combined 10 points -- but tough to think theyre gonna suddenly get over the hump at home, where theyve been amazingly weak.
arizona (+10.5) over st.louis
* cards are a weird team. some weeks, they flat out lay down and dont even give an effort. other weeks, they are one of the livest dogs in professional football. i just dont think anyone is worth double digits in week one. everyone starts 0-0, and this could be texans/dolphins all over again. then again, maybe rams win 34-10. but i think st.louis lacks that killer instinct they had during they super bowl runs. theyre certainly the most explosive team in the nfl when everything is clicking, but i just cant trust martz laying these points so early in the year. hopefully cards dont try to get into a shootout. that wont work. trying to control clock and run the ball could be the way to go for them.
giants (+8.5) over philly
giants 2nd half (+1/2) (+110)
* this line is a head scratcher. i dont think the giants are gonna be that bad. maybe some resident yorkers can tell me otherwise. but i like coughlin as a coach. at very worst, i think you can normally count on his teams to be well-prepared. lots of pressure on philly this year. maybe owens is the savior for the birds. but im not sure mcnabb can consistently get him the ball. total seems kinda high in this game too. id be inclined to look at the under, but points seem a little more tempting.
cleveland/baltimore under 37
* if browns are w/o suggs, that hurts their running game significantly. green is definitely a capable backup, but suggs was killin guys toward the end of last year and all this preseason. browns passing game was awfully ineffective this preseason. doesnt look like garcia has his timing down with morgan/winslow/davis yet. only guy he seems comfortable with is northcutt. on defense, all browns linebacks and d-line have talked about is stopping lewis and atoning for last seasons dual embarrassments, and having to listen to it all summer. almost makes me think browns are willing to load the box and make boller beat them in the air -- more or less to save face and not get the ball run down their throat again. browns secondary is suspect, so it could happen but i dont think the ravens have the weapons to go that route. lewis will get his and i think this one goes down to the wire (like every browns season opener has for the last 4 years) and ends somewhere around 16-14. browns due to finally win one of these season openers, have lost L4 season openers by a combined 10 points -- but tough to think theyre gonna suddenly get over the hump at home, where theyve been amazingly weak.
arizona (+10.5) over st.louis
* cards are a weird team. some weeks, they flat out lay down and dont even give an effort. other weeks, they are one of the livest dogs in professional football. i just dont think anyone is worth double digits in week one. everyone starts 0-0, and this could be texans/dolphins all over again. then again, maybe rams win 34-10. but i think st.louis lacks that killer instinct they had during they super bowl runs. theyre certainly the most explosive team in the nfl when everything is clicking, but i just cant trust martz laying these points so early in the year. hopefully cards dont try to get into a shootout. that wont work. trying to control clock and run the ball could be the way to go for them.
giants (+8.5) over philly
giants 2nd half (+1/2) (+110)
* this line is a head scratcher. i dont think the giants are gonna be that bad. maybe some resident yorkers can tell me otherwise. but i like coughlin as a coach. at very worst, i think you can normally count on his teams to be well-prepared. lots of pressure on philly this year. maybe owens is the savior for the birds. but im not sure mcnabb can consistently get him the ball. total seems kinda high in this game too. id be inclined to look at the under, but points seem a little more tempting.
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