gm,
when i have more time, will try to post reasons. trends home/away for both these sides convinced me, but lots more to it. will try to copy and paste if i can.
can't seem to find a dog i like even with so many small home dogs, but will keep loking. have played the following in addition to the packers.
skins/cards under 44 - one unit
steelers/pats over 37.5 - one unit
cowboys - 8 over texans - one unit
some info on my playing. typically always one unit, occasionally two units. no teasers ever and occasionnally a parlay for half to one unit. have capped pro football for 12 years, nba for 8 years. don't do much in college in either sport, and have enjoyed following the masses here in baseball, but don't cap it. my starting bankroll for football is 5,000. one unit =100. have already chipped away 1.2 units in exhibition football, but will start the season with 5,000. will probably have one to three more plays before the weekend.
good luck.