Week Two, 9-10 picks

JCDunkDogs

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This week's card is a mess. Major pass.

One pick only: UCLA -25

IMHO...
Rice has a huge problem on Saturday...they are smaller and slower than UCLA, and have no playmakers. Their defense returns 7 players from a squad that gave up 34 ppg, and over 4 yds per rush. They don't usually step up in class, but last time they did they gave up 339 rushing to Texas last year, til Mack Brown called off the dogs. If Rice were in the Pac Ten, they would finish 14th. They haven't been to a bowl game since Kennedy was President.

Rule #1 in college football wagering: Don't bet bad teams.

Rule #5 in war: Maximize your efficiency. For UCLA, who needs wide receivers when you have TE Marcedes Lewis to catch the ball? And why throw when you can hand it to RBs Maurice Drew and Chris Markey?

Post mortem of last week's UCLA/SDSU contest: true, the Aztecs were stout, but SDSU was no where near covering that game. SDSU appeared to out stat the Bruins, but FD and yardage comparisons frequently favor the losing team. Scoreboard and emotion are determinative, and Dorrell didn't use his bench until it was 38-14 in the 3d QTR, when the cover was in the bag.

The Bruins haven't seen Rice in years, except on film, and won't hesitate to pad the scoreboard and put this one away early. Plus, Bruinland is a bit pizzed-off after two .500 seasons, and are eager to play the role of the bully, and have the talent to do it.

Rice has never been to the Rose Bowl, and will be playing past their dinner time. Owls will give their all for a while, but I see them pointing towards Texas, where they do their recruiting.
 

Scott4USC

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You brought up excellent pts to take UCLA. There is just one problem. UCLA is not a team who blows out inferior opponents. In fact, UCLA often plays down to their opponents level. The team cross town you can argue will a blow a team out but UCLA simply doesn't. Take away the big plays against SDSU and UCLA doesn't cover the spread IMO. You might have to rely again on big plays. I'll take my chances with Rice and them not giving up big plays. I also think UCLA comes out FLAT in this game. Dorell is your best coach to motivate his players. Not a rah rah type of guy.

I look forward to reading your plays in futures. I just hope this one is a LOSER! :)
 

johnnyb.

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ADDED INFO: Rice, the smallest Division I-A university, will start only three seniors, the fewest of any opening-game lineup in the nation this season. All three start on defense, including defensive end John Syptak, who may be the Owls' best player ... Rice was winless in six road games last season and is making its first trip to UCLA since 1952. from press-enterprise.
 
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