Weekend Trends

[soul train]

Friday, October 7th

Syracuse at Connecticut, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Syracuse - 1-11 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992
Connecticut - 14-1 ATS after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers

Saturday, October 8th

Illinois at Indiana, 12:00 EST
Illinois - 0-8 ATS away off a conference loss
Indiana - 9-2 ATS as home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

West Virginia at Rutgers, 12:00 EST
West Virginia - 16-30 ATS after forcing 1 or less turnovers in their previous game
Rutgers - 13-4 ATS as an underdog

Wisconsin at Northwestern, 12:00 EST
Wisconsin - 1-5 ATS vs. Northwestern
Northwestern - 8-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

(TC) Virginia at Boston College, 1:00 EST
Virginia - 8-2 ATS off an Over
Boston College - 1-8 ATS after allowing 175 total yards or less in previous game

Wake Forest at Florida State, 12:00 EST
Wake Forest - 3-7 ATS off an ATS win
Florida State - 21-7 ATS at home off 4+ wins

(TC) Duke at Miami (Florida), 3:30 EST
Duke - 7-0 ATS as an underdog of 31+ points
Miami (Florida) - 3-10 ATS off BB unders

(TC) Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 2:00 EST
Cincinnati - 19-5 Under on artificial turf
Pittsburgh - 6-22 ATS off an Over

(TC) Missouri at Oklahoma State, 2:00 EST
Missouri - 8-0 Under in road games
Oklahoma State - 13-2 ATS at home off a loss by 21+ points

Kansas at Kansas State, 12:00 EST
Kansas - 11-3 ATS first half of the season
Kansas State - 6-15 ATS as a favorite

(TC) Kentucky at South Carolina, 1:00 EST
Kentucky - 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
South Carolina - 2-10 ATS off an Over

(TC) LSU at Vanderbilt, 7:00 EST ESPN2
LSU - 6-1 ATS as a road favorite
Vanderbilt - 8-4 Under as a home underdog

Central Michigan at Army, 1:00 EST
Central Michigan - 0-7 ATS off a road win since 1992
Army - 5-1 Over after 2+ straight up losses

Oklahoma at Texas, 1:00 EST ABC
Oklahoma - 18-33 ATS off a win by 21+ points
Texas - 21-9 ATS off a road conference win

Maryland at Temple, 1:00 EST
Maryland - 6-1 Under in October
Temple - 15-31 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Minnesota at Michigan, 1:00 EST ABC
Minnesota - 8-2 Over off BB conference games
Michigan - 0-8 ATS off a SU win as a road underdog

Akron at Buffalo U, 1:30 EST
Akron - 2-10 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Buffalo U - 4-1 Under as an underdog

Air Force at Navy, 1:30 EST
Air Force - 2-17 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival
Navy - 17-5 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons

Baylor at Iowa State, 2:00 EST
Baylor - 8-1 ATS on a grass field over the last 2 seasons
Iowa State - 0-8 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in BB games

TCU at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
TCU - 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers
Wyoming - 7-0 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons

San Diego State at UNLV, 3:00 EST
San Diego State - 8-0 Under in road games after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers
UNLV - 2-11 ATS in home games off a road loss against a conference rival

Arizona at USC, 3:30 EST
Arizona - 3-8 ATS as a road underdog
USC - 10-1 ATS off BB conference wins

Georgia at Tennessee, 3:30 EST CBS
Georgia - 18-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
Tennessee - 2-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons

(TC) Ohio at Bowling Green, 6:00 EST
Ohio - 3-11 ATS in road games
Bowling Green - 9-1 ATS in home games after a win by 21 or more points

(TC) Texas A&M at Colorado, 7:00 EST
Texas A&M - 4-17 ATS as a road underdog since 1992
Colorado - 11-1 Over in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game

Idaho at Nevada Reno, 4:00 EST
Idaho - 1-9 ATS off a home win against a conference rival
Nevada Reno - 4-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

Iowa at Purdue, 4:30 EST ESPN
Iowa - 6-0 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons
Purdue - 17-5 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Memphis at Central Florida, 6:00 EST
Memphis - 6-0 Under as a favorite
Central Florida - 2-8 ATS off a road win

Rice at East Carolina, 6:00 EST
Rice - 16-3 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
East Carolina - 0-9 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

(TC) Stanford at Washington State, 5:00 EST
Stanford - 14-4 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game
Washington State - 0-6 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons

(TC) Texas Tech at Nebraska, 4:00 EST TBS
Texas Tech - 6-0 Over after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
Nebraska - 6-0 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

(TC) Marshall at Virginia Tech, 12:00 EST
Marshall - 0-7 ATS a home win against a conference rival
Virginia Tech - 6-0 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons

SMU at Ala Birmingham, 7:00 EST
SMU - 1-13 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog
Ala Birmingham - 8-1 ATS in October over the last 3 seasons

(TC) Utah at Colorado State, 6:30 EST
Utah - 13-3 Under in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
Colorado State - 11-2 ATS after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points

Hawaii at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
Hawaii - 7-0 Over after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games
Louisiana Tech - 0-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival

Ball St. at Western Michigan, 7:00 EST
Ball St. - 0-6 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Western Michigan - 5-1 Over after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Eastern Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 EST
Eastern Michigan - 1-5 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game
Toledo - 6-0 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

(TC) Mississippi State at Florida, 12:00 EST
Mississippi State - 1-8 ATS as a road underdog
Florida - 31-18 Under after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

(TC) Houston at Tulane, 6:00 EST
Houston - 5-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Tulane - 4-0 Over after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game

(TC) North Carolina at Louisville, 4:30 EST
North Carolina - 4-13 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games
Louisville - 7-0 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons

Ohio State at Penn St., 7:45 EST ESPN
Ohio State - 9-2 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Penn St. - 0-6 ATS after a win by 21 or more points

BYU at New Mexico, 8:00 EST
BYU - 13-4 Under after a loss by 17 or more points
New Mexico - 16-6 ATS in home games off a loss against a conference rival

Tulsa at Southern Mississippi, 8:00 EST
Tulsa - 6-1 Under after playing a game at home
Southern Mississippi - 12-3 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons

(TC) San Jose State at Utah St., 3:00 EST
San Jose State - 14-5 ATS off a home loss
Utah St. - 1-8 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

(TC) Fresno State at New Mexico St, 10:00 EST ESPNU
Fresno State - 3-20 ATS in road games in October
New Mexico St - 12-3 ATS as a home underdog

Oregon at Arizona State, 10:15 EST FSN
Oregon - 8-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Arizona State - 8-1 Over as a favorite over the last 2 seasons

(TC) California at UCLA, 7:30 EST TBS
California - 53-33 ATS as an underdog since 1992
UCLA - 0-7 ATS in home games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Louisiana Monroe at Arkansas, 7:00 EST
Louisiana Monroe - 0-7 ATS after a win by 6 or less points
Arkansas - 16-3 Under after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

 

[soul train]

Coaching Trends:

College Football

TCU: Patterson is 0-6 ATS after scoring 14 or less points.

Virginia: Groh is 8-1 ATS away after a non-conference game

West Virginia: Rodriguez is 0-8 ATS versus non-conference opponents

Maryland: 10-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

SMU: Bennett is 3-13 ATS as a road underdog

Toledo: Amstutz is 8-0 ATS after a home win by 28 or more points.

Temple: Wallace is 1-9 ATS vs. MAC teams

Wake Forest: Grobe is 3-13 ATS as a favorite

Boston College: O'Brien is 10-2 ATS at home after allowing 14 or less points

Michigan State: Smith 2-9 ATS in non-conference games.

Alabama: Shula is 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 or -3.

Virginia Tech: Beamer is 14-5 ATS after BB games with one or less turnovers

California: Tedford is 13-5 ATS off a road game.

South Florida: Leavitt is 0-6 ATS at home after forcing 1 or less turnovers

Connecticut: Edsall is 14-0 ATS after forcing 3 or more turnovers.

Rice: Hatfield is 13-5 ATS after a road game with a turnover ratio of -2 or more.

Fresno State: Hill is 9-2 ATS vs. Pac 10 teams

LA Tech: Bicknell 6-16 ATS away in the first half of the year.

Wyoming: Glenn is 11-3 ATS off an ATS win.

Miami (FL): Coker is 0-8 ATS after allowing 75 or less passing yards.

Florida: Meyer is 13-2 ATS in September

New Mexico State: Mumme is 2-11 ATS after going under the total in their previous game.

Purdue: Tiller is 3-12 ATS away after scoring 24 points in the first half of their previous game.

Arizona State: Kotter is 9-1 ATS after scoring 31 or more points in BB games

Northwestern: Walker is 5-14 ATS off a SU home win

USC: Carroll is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points.

 

[soul train]

ILLINOIS (2 - 3) at INDIANA (3 - 1) - 10/8/2005, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


WAKE FOREST (2 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 0) - 10/8/2005, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.



KANSAS (3 - 1) at KANSAS ST (3 - 1) - 10/8/2005, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
KANSAS is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 32-67 ATS (-41.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.




AIR FORCE (2 - 3) at NAVY (1 - 2) - 10/8/2005, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NAVY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.


TCU (4 - 1) at WYOMING (4 - 1) - 10/8/2005, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.



ARIZONA (1 - 3) at USC (4 - 0) - 10/8/2005, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 38-64 ATS (-32.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
USC is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

 

[soul train]

OHIO U (2 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (2 - 2) - 10/8/2005, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS A&M (3 - 1) at COLORADO (3 - 1) - 10/8/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons




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IDAHO (1 - 4) at NEVADA (2 - 2) - 10/8/2005, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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IOWA (3 - 2) at PURDUE (2 - 2) - 10/8/2005, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MEMPHIS (2 - 2) at C FLORIDA (2 - 2) - 10/8/2005, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C FLORIDA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
C FLORIDA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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RICE (0 - 3) at E CAROLINA (1 - 3) - 10/8/2005, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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STANFORD (1 - 2) at WASHINGTON ST (3 - 1) - 10/8/2005, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS TECH (4 - 0) at NEBRASKA (4 - 0) - 10/8/2005, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 80-53 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) in October games since 1992.

 

[bej0101]

thanks for the info

 

[DeadPrez]

WOW!
information overload
My attention span isn't long enough to read all that, let alone research it. props to you :clap: :clap: :clap:

I'm glad you posted tho because some of your trends support my leans for the weekend. Then again, some of them don't :cursin:

GL soul
you sure always do your homework
did you frequent the dean's list??
did you do as much research in school as you do for football? I know i didn't! :mj07:

 

[soul train]

Saturday's Games
Televised Games
Wisconsin is 5-0 this season, with four wins by 9+ points; they are 17-10 vs spread in last 27 Big 11 road games. Home side has covered 11 of their last 14 games vs Northwestern, as Wildcats won twice in last three meetings, both as double digit dogs. The Wildcats allowed 40.8 ppg and 252 rushing yards the last three games; they're 9-5 in last fourteen tries as a home underdog.

Boston College coach O'Brien was OC at Virginia before coming to Chestnut Hill; he was at UVa for fifteen years. His Eagles are 16-9 as home favorite, 2-0 in '05, winning those two games by a combined score of 82-7. Cavs are 2-6 in last eight tries as road dog; they had defensive meltdown in 45-33 loss at Maryland last week, and Hagans was sacked seven times. Home favorites in ACC games are 2-4 vs spread so far this season.

What sadistic human put Duke-Miami on TV? Blue Devils have losses this season by 45-0 to Virginia Tech, 38-7 to Virginia; and also lost to East Carolina, Navy. Duke has yet to cover this year and used three QB's last week, in the first quarter, before going with a true freshman. Miami is 3-7 vs spread in its last ten home games in conference play.

Vandy's magic carpet ride ended at 4-0 last week, when they lost at home to Middle Tennessee, 17-15; now LSU comes to town; Bayou Bengals are 7-1 vs spread in last eight tries as favorite on foreign soil. Commodores are 7-3-1 vs spread as a home dog; it'll be interesting to see how they respond to last week's loss. LSU ran ball down Miss State's throat last week, throwing 11 passes in easy 37-7 win. Tigers beat Vanderbilt last year, 24-7 at home.

Central Michigan failed to cover its last five tries as favorite, but Army is 0-4 this season, and 1-20 in its last 21 home games. The Chippewas have clever QB in shifty Smith; they've already won two road games this year, including one as 20-point dog. Army has been outscored 74-30 in first half, 65-21 in second; they led Iowa State at the half, but have trouble finishing games, and are banged up in key spots.

Tons of pressure on Mack Brown and Longhorns to end their five-year drought vs Sooner club that is 2-2, has freshman QB, banged-up Peterson, but has beaten Texas by average score of 37-11 in five games since turn of century. Texas was 8-23 thru air in this game last year, but since then, Young has won at Ohio St beaten Michigan in Rose Bowl. Longhorns ran ball for 708 yards in last two games; they already have three wins by 31+ points.

Minnesota had its heart torn out by Michigan last couple years, losing both times by FG; Wolverines won last 12 series games (8-4 vs spread), with road team covering 13 of last 18 series tilts. Gophers covered just four of last 15 as road dog; Penn State ran ball for 364 yards against them last week. Michgian is 3-5-1 in its last nine tries as home favorite. Minnesota is dog for first time in '05; usually good trend for the dog, in situations like this.

Navy beat Air Force last two years, both by FG, as they claimed Commander-in-Chief trophy, which is these teams' Super Bowl-- this is very big game. Middies have young team; they have two losses by FG each, and last week's 28-21 win at Duke. Flyboys lost last three games, allowing 36 ppg- they're 9-7 as a road dog. Navy is 5-2 in last seven tries as home fave, 20-6 vs spread in the last 26 lined gamesd, overall.

USC has Notre Dame on deck, is probably already preparing for them; they've fallen behind 13-0, 21-3 in last two games, so staff will stress fast start vs Arizona club they've beaten last two by a combined margin of 94-9. Wildcats have improved, but they're not in Trojans' class; they lost 28-0 to Cal last week. USC is 13-2 vs spread in last fifteen tries as double digit home dog. Again, I am not sure who decided this game should be on TV.

Georgia covered four of last five games vs Tennessee, winning last two visits to Knoxville, 26-24/41-14; they covered seven of their last ten post-bye games and are 16-2 SU in last 18 games on foreign soil. having senior QB in Shockley also helps. Vols are 0-2 as home favorite this season, beating UAB 17-10, and Ole Miss 27-10. Dawgs failed to cover last three tries as a road dog, after covering previous five. SEC home favorites are 4-5.

Road team covered four of last five Colorado-Texas A&M tilts; Aggies beat Colorado in OT last year, both teams gaining 500+ yards. Buffs are 10-5 vs spread in Big 12 home games; they have scored 31+ points in three of four games, but are just 4-7 in last 11 tries as favorite. A&M is 2-14 vs spread in last 16 games as a road dog, amazingly bad number; they struggled to beat Baylor at home last week. Are they worse, or is Baylor better?

Home team covered eight of last 11 Purdue-Iowa games, as Iowa lost last two visits to Ross-Ade by 23-14/27-14 scores. Iowa is 0-2 on road this season, losing by combined score of 54-9- they are 11-6 in last 17 tries as road dog, and blocked two FG tries in last year's 23-21 home win over Boilers. Faves are 11-6 vs spread in last 17 series games. Purdue 0-2 as home favorite this season.

Texas Tech beat Nebraska 70-10 last year, lowest point in very proud history of Nebraska football. Tech QB Hodges, said to be struggling with sore thumb, making his first road start here, after Tech played very easy pre-Big 12 foes. Huskers are 4-0, but with two nail-biters, over Pitt, Iowa State. Tech covered two of seven as road favorite, huskers are 2-2 as home dog. Nebraska rushed for just 36 yards last week in OT win; they outscored foes 33-6 in first half of games this season.

Virginia Tech is 5-0 vs spread this season, covered 12 of last 13 games overall; they outscored last four opponents by combined margin of 175-24. Hokies beat Marshall 47-12 three years ago, as 11-point favorite. herd outscored last three foes 45-12 in second half; their comeback win over SMU last week made up a little for meltdown vs K-State, but Herd is not in same boat as Hokies are talent-wise. Virginia Tech needs solid wins to move up in polls.

Home team covered last seven Buckeye-Penn State games, with Ohio State losing last three visits to this site by 45-6/13-7/21-10 scores. Lions are 5-3 as home dog; they ran ball for 573 yards in last two games, but red flag is, they completed less than 50% of their passes. Will QB draws work vs sturdy Buckeye LB's? Odd stat is that Ohio State is 2-9 in last 11 tries ads road favorite. 1st road game for Buckeyes; they've outscored foes 67-19 in first half of games this season.

Road team covered all five Tulsa games this season; Tulsa lost but covered at Oklahoma, then hammered North Texas. So. Miss won last two games by 28,26 points, thanks to plus-5 turnover ratio. WAC road dogs are 5-11-2 vs spread in non-league games Conference USA teams are 11-5 vs spread out of league; this is first team a C-USA team will be home favorite in non-league tilt this season. Hard to gauge Southern Miss team that has been displaced by Hurricane Katrina, but is now back home.

New Mexico State does not have players to run Hal Mumme's offense, and they're getting killed, going 0-5, getting outscored 128-17 in first half of games, and allowing 37.2 ppg. Fresno State lost its only road game 37-34 at Oregon (they led 17-0); Bulldogs covered just one of last eight after a bye and nine of last 27 road games in conference play. Aggies covered their last five league home games, but that was in Sun Belt, not WAC.

Arizona State covered eight of last ten vs Oregon, but this is the first time in last eight meetings they've been favored; Sun Devils scored 114 points in last two home games vs Oregon, and split the pair. Ducks covered eight of last 12 as road dog. Both sides lost to USC after having double digit lead. Oregon allowed 52.8 ppg in last four visits to Tempe. ASU is 16-10 in last 26 tries as a home favorite; they won last three vs Ducks by 3,45,15 points.

 

[soul train]

Other games of interest
-- Illinois won four of last five games vs Indiana, losing last visit to this site, 17-14; Illini are 13-6-2 vs spread in last 21 series games.
-- West Virginia won last five games vs Rutgers by average score of 44-15; Mountaineers have had 100+-yard rusher in last nine series games.
-- Wake Forest lost last two visits to Florida State by identical 48-24 scores; they lost 20-17 at home to Seminoles last year, despite +2 turnover ratio and 17-39 FSU passing.
-- Cincinnati covered 11 of its last 13 games after a bye.
-- Oklahoma State ran for 278 yards in 20-17 win at Missouri last year, second series game in row visitor won by a FG.
-- Kansas lost last two visits to Manhattan by 40-6/42-6 scores; Jayhawks upset K-State 31-28 at home last year. State is 21-11 vs spread at home in last 32 Big 12 home games.
-- South Carolina won last five games vs Kentucky, winning last two at this site by 42-6/27-21 scores. Gamecocks covered just four of last 12 before a bye.
-- Maryland is 8-14 vs spread in last 22 pre-bye games. Temple has been outscored 259-56 (52-11) in its five games this season. -- Akron won its last five games vs Buffalo by average score of 39-16. Bulls have been outscored 117-24 in their four losses this season.
-- Iowa State won last three games vs Baylor, by average score of 33-14; they edged Bears 26-25 in Waco last year, as 7-point favorites.
-- Wyoming is 5-0 vs spread this season, 2-0 as favorite (38-0/42-17). They're playing TCU for first time since '98. Frogs are 4-1 vs spread this year, 3-0 as a dog.
-- Favorite covered five of last six San Diego St-UNLV games; Aztecs covered seven of their last 11 games on carpet.
-- Bowling Green covered 10 of its last 13 games vs Ohio U; they won last two series games by combined score of 113-37.
-- Idaho got its first win last week, after four losses; they're 3-1 as dog this season, although three of their four losses are by 12+ points.
-- Central Florida won its last two games, after losing previous 17 games. Memphis lost its only road game in OT at Tulsa, 37-31.
-- - Rice is 0-3 this season, losing by combined score of 159-57 (53-19); because of Hurricane Rita, Owls have yet to play at home.
-- Home team lost last five Stanford-Washington State games, with Cardinal winning last two visits to this site, 24-10/23-17; Stanford covered 11 of last 13 series games.
-- SMU covered just five of last 20 road games, and blew 10-0 lead late in game at Marshall last week, losing OT game they should have won.
-- Utah crushed Colorado State last year, 63-31, just their second series win in last five tries. Visitor is 9-4 vs spread in series. Utes are 0-5 vs spread this season.
-- Hawai'i won last three games vs Louisiana Tech by average score of 35-25, even winning in last visit to Ruston, 44-41. Tech had 275 yards rushing in last year's 34-23 loss on the islands.
-- Home side won last three Ball St-Western Michigan games by average score of 29-16; Western covered seven of its last nine pre-bye games.
-- Eastern Michigan covered six of last eight MAC road games; visitor is 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten Eastern-Toledo games.
-- Mississippi State sealed Ron Zook's doom with 38-31 upset win over Florida last year, when RB Norwood had 174 rushing yards. Gators are 3-9 in last dozen tries as SEC home favorite.
-- Average total in last six Houston-Tulane games is 60. Cougars held Tulane down in 24-3 win last year, after Wave had scored 116 points in winning two of previous three meetings.
-- North Carolina covered 14 of its last 21 games. Louisville covered its last eight home games.
-- New Mexico won two of last three vs BYU, after winning two of previous 30 meetings; Lobos had seven sacks in last year's 21-14 win at Provo.
--
-- Tedford is 11-3-1 as dog at Cal; he lost one of his starting OT's to injury last week. Home side won last five series games, with Cal losing last two at this site, 56-17/23-20(ot). Bears are 13-4-1 vs spread in series, x-x as the favorite.
-- UL-Monroe lost to Wyoming, Georgia by combined score of 82-7, bad news vs smarting Arkansas team preparing to host Auburn next week.

 

[soul train]

WISCONSIN (5 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 2) - 10/8/2005, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons