It has been a long tough season but as always madjacks has made it fun. I thank a ton of the guys in this forum because they have helped offset some of my damage. I have just played my last three games so I'll post and just lurk around until next year. Good luck to you all for the remaining games and Jack thanks for setting up a great place to exchange information.
The last three games for me are....
GT (-4.5) over Iowa
Stanzie comes back and he has to has some rust and might not be able to shake off his injury. Some blitz formations or Morgan may get him off his game. The GT option is tough to defense but Iowa has a good match up against it. Iowa is a smaller faster D-line with a lot of motor, that will help them in this game but the misdirection will force these smaller guys to react fast and that might open up big gainers for the yellow jackets. I will say this, GT will live and die by Nesbit. I mean here is a guy that when he can toss the ball with even 50% accuracy Gt is almost unstoppable. With this type of offense EVERY defense has to practice to stop it and the secondary coverage honors it a ton so play action off it would be a huge plus... can he pass well enough to take advantage of this huge positive for GT. Georgia Tech ranks second nationally in rushing offense (307.2 ypg). Iowa holds opponents to just 122.0 yards rushing per game. The Yellow Jackets rank 11th nationally in total offense (442.7 ypg). The Hawkeyes rank 11th nationally in total defense (286.7 ypg). Tech ranks 11th nationally in scoring offense (35.3 ppg). Iowa ranks 10th nationally in scoring defense (15.5 ppg). Tech has a +7 turnover margin, while Iowa has a +6 turnover margin. The Yellow Jackets are playing in their 38th bowl game overall (22-15 record). Tech's bowl winning percentage (.595) is the fifth-highest in college football.
C.Mich (-3.5) over Troy
Looking at this game I see a match up problem for the troy defense. The trojans struggle against a decent passing attack. Should be a good game but I think the Chips are the better team here. They have the better offense and system and the players in place that have been running it for a while. CMU's offense that averaged 32.6 points during his tenure and exceeded 45 points five times in 2009. The chips are losing their coach but they still have motivation playing and they still have a guy in place to call the plays and get a solid game plan together. Offensively this is going to be a fun game. The Trojans (9-3) averaged 33.1 points - 41.2 over their last six games. The Chippewas are 1-4 in bowl games. Both teams have solid offense and defense both have veteran leadership but I like the chips because I think they have beaten better teams along the way to this game.
The big game
Bama (-4) over Texas
It has been a safe bet to go against the heisman winner over the past few years, but I am going with the better team I believe. You look at teams like A&M and Okie St in their bowl games and you cannot be very impressed. Bama will run the ball, they average 215.8 yards per game. While Texas will throw the ball, 14th in the nation with 279.7 yards a game. Texas has a very good defense, they ranked first in the country with 62.9 rushing yards allowed per contest and third with 251.8 yards given up per game. But honestly is that the defense being that good against the rush or is it the Big 12 teams going away from the rush and turning more into passing type teams. I think that Bama has a very good defense but again has it seen a team as solid as texas passing the ball. I think both teams will play well but I like the O-line of alabama to really establish itself. Jordan Shipley is a very good WR but Julio Jones is a guy that can make a lot happen. When looking at this I have to like the ability of a rushing team to have more success compared to a passing attack. Javier Arenas and Mark Barron need to play well to keep texas away from the big play. Alabama is after all #1 in the country in scoring defense at 11.0 points per game and second in total defense at 241.8 yards a contest. So I have to go with the team that has more of an oppertunity to control the line of scrimage and I think that is Bama. They have the o-line that can keep Texas from getting to Ingram and get him into the second level, and they have the d-line that can bring a lot of heat like Texas saw in the nebraska game. Two very good defenses and in that case I think the team with the better rushing attack should fair better and be more productive.
See ya next season
GL to all
Cheers
Irish
The last three games for me are....
GT (-4.5) over Iowa
Stanzie comes back and he has to has some rust and might not be able to shake off his injury. Some blitz formations or Morgan may get him off his game. The GT option is tough to defense but Iowa has a good match up against it. Iowa is a smaller faster D-line with a lot of motor, that will help them in this game but the misdirection will force these smaller guys to react fast and that might open up big gainers for the yellow jackets. I will say this, GT will live and die by Nesbit. I mean here is a guy that when he can toss the ball with even 50% accuracy Gt is almost unstoppable. With this type of offense EVERY defense has to practice to stop it and the secondary coverage honors it a ton so play action off it would be a huge plus... can he pass well enough to take advantage of this huge positive for GT. Georgia Tech ranks second nationally in rushing offense (307.2 ypg). Iowa holds opponents to just 122.0 yards rushing per game. The Yellow Jackets rank 11th nationally in total offense (442.7 ypg). The Hawkeyes rank 11th nationally in total defense (286.7 ypg). Tech ranks 11th nationally in scoring offense (35.3 ppg). Iowa ranks 10th nationally in scoring defense (15.5 ppg). Tech has a +7 turnover margin, while Iowa has a +6 turnover margin. The Yellow Jackets are playing in their 38th bowl game overall (22-15 record). Tech's bowl winning percentage (.595) is the fifth-highest in college football.
C.Mich (-3.5) over Troy
Looking at this game I see a match up problem for the troy defense. The trojans struggle against a decent passing attack. Should be a good game but I think the Chips are the better team here. They have the better offense and system and the players in place that have been running it for a while. CMU's offense that averaged 32.6 points during his tenure and exceeded 45 points five times in 2009. The chips are losing their coach but they still have motivation playing and they still have a guy in place to call the plays and get a solid game plan together. Offensively this is going to be a fun game. The Trojans (9-3) averaged 33.1 points - 41.2 over their last six games. The Chippewas are 1-4 in bowl games. Both teams have solid offense and defense both have veteran leadership but I like the chips because I think they have beaten better teams along the way to this game.
The big game
Bama (-4) over Texas
It has been a safe bet to go against the heisman winner over the past few years, but I am going with the better team I believe. You look at teams like A&M and Okie St in their bowl games and you cannot be very impressed. Bama will run the ball, they average 215.8 yards per game. While Texas will throw the ball, 14th in the nation with 279.7 yards a game. Texas has a very good defense, they ranked first in the country with 62.9 rushing yards allowed per contest and third with 251.8 yards given up per game. But honestly is that the defense being that good against the rush or is it the Big 12 teams going away from the rush and turning more into passing type teams. I think that Bama has a very good defense but again has it seen a team as solid as texas passing the ball. I think both teams will play well but I like the O-line of alabama to really establish itself. Jordan Shipley is a very good WR but Julio Jones is a guy that can make a lot happen. When looking at this I have to like the ability of a rushing team to have more success compared to a passing attack. Javier Arenas and Mark Barron need to play well to keep texas away from the big play. Alabama is after all #1 in the country in scoring defense at 11.0 points per game and second in total defense at 241.8 yards a contest. So I have to go with the team that has more of an oppertunity to control the line of scrimage and I think that is Bama. They have the o-line that can keep Texas from getting to Ingram and get him into the second level, and they have the d-line that can bring a lot of heat like Texas saw in the nebraska game. Two very good defenses and in that case I think the team with the better rushing attack should fair better and be more productive.
See ya next season
GL to all
Cheers
Irish
