Where will the line be on Sunday?
- Thread starter patlives
- Start date
help this guy out
help this guy out
does anyone see Ariz getting any higher than 7? Do i hear a7andahalf? (didnt mean to get all barret-jackson on you there-though they do have some unreal rides on ther--dont they).
The book i'm following had Pitt -7 @ -105, now at -7 +100/Even. Myself-wholeheartedly a Pitt backer(for this game anyways) figured for sure the line was definitely gonnna climb throughout, only to see it go the other way. I'm must say, i'm a bit surprised by the amount of Ariz backers i see here. It doesnt scare me into thinking maybe i have the wrong side, cuz i dont--i'm sure, though has me questioning if pitt players are waiting for it to dip down again to under 7? With all the red action, i dont see this going over 7--and no reason why they would drop it below either. Thats my take. If there were to be a BIG push--at all, i imagine it'd be favorite backers at the bell. Though, you prolly think your fellow card players will show up in droves late too.
help this guy out
does anyone see Ariz getting any higher than 7? Do i hear a7andahalf? (didnt mean to get all barret-jackson on you there-though they do have some unreal rides on ther--dont they).
The book i'm following had Pitt -7 @ -105, now at -7 +100/Even. Myself-wholeheartedly a Pitt backer(for this game anyways) figured for sure the line was definitely gonnna climb throughout, only to see it go the other way. I'm must say, i'm a bit surprised by the amount of Ariz backers i see here. It doesnt scare me into thinking maybe i have the wrong side, cuz i dont--i'm sure, though has me questioning if pitt players are waiting for it to dip down again to under 7? With all the red action, i dont see this going over 7--and no reason why they would drop it below either. Thats my take. If there were to be a BIG push--at all, i imagine it'd be favorite backers at the bell. Though, you prolly think your fellow card players will show up in droves late too.
and i know...
and i know...
i contradicted myself there, what with majority ariz action--and seeing the line go up, then down. apparently the play is ariz at near a 2-1 clip from where i'm looking---which makes sense for line to creep lower. if i were a card backer i'd be happy at 7 now--and only hope a yellow wave hits shores before kickoff. --i actually hope not though, so not to be pulled in to undertow and forced to buy back to pushable 7.
when was the last time spread came into play in the SB's winning side?
and i know...
i contradicted myself there, what with majority ariz action--and seeing the line go up, then down. apparently the play is ariz at near a 2-1 clip from where i'm looking---which makes sense for line to creep lower. if i were a card backer i'd be happy at 7 now--and only hope a yellow wave hits shores before kickoff. --i actually hope not though, so not to be pulled in to undertow and forced to buy back to pushable 7.
when was the last time spread came into play in the SB's winning side?
Huge ding ding ding!!!! Pitt covers; look at K Warner's problems when he doesnt have all day protection... CHOKE CHOKE CHOKE.... And PItt will not give up the run too much either.... Pitt isnt gonna give up 24-3 lead at half either like Philly.... Even with that lead, AZ almost choked.... Now, IMAGINE AZ behind at half.... OUCH.... Everyone (public) wants the cinderella.... why else jack the line to 7 but only charge -250 for Pitt ML????? Begging for suckers at +7.... And now the juice rises.... :142smilie
I think you will be able to find some 7.5's on Sunday.
One book I played was posting AZ 7 -125 on Thursday and today it is -105. There are also some 6.5's out there but, I think the long pre game day momentum on the fav may get you that extra half point.
One book I played was posting AZ 7 -125 on Thursday and today it is -105. There are also some 6.5's out there but, I think the long pre game day momentum on the fav may get you that extra half point.
I would think Pitt -7 would be the public bet since the public loves to play the favorite in the Superbowl
I would think Pitt -7 would be the public bet since the public loves to play the favorite in the Superbowl
I have a local that has 80+ bets AZ ML and some AZ +7 -120 and 2 bets on Pitt -7 even so far... I know he is being honest since I hung out all day at his house and watched and listened closely to see where the public really is... IF the line goes to +7.5 with money seeming on AZ, huge wrong way move telling me one thing.... PITT PITT PITT.... (WHICH I TOTALLY BELIEVE ANYWAY....) How many people are betting on Pitt??? Anyone have the money stats yet for Vegas, offshore, and any other places???
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waste of time to even think about.
who cares where the money is
you seem to be on the right side
forget about it tonto
WE, You and I, do not agree often.... Not sure if this is good.... :scared
Good luck Scott, and I do respect you as a capper.... :SIB
But, I do care with money is.... To me, the reason it matters, is that I continue to make money going against the money.... I really dont know chit about stats on NFL or care really... Baseball is to me, the last sport that streaks and stats matter...
- Nov 7, 2004
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Interesting....
Every online account I have has this thing at 6.5 19 hours before kickoff. According to the numbers I've found , 60-40 in favor of the Cardinals. Hard to tell what Vegas wants here. My guess is that Steeler backers will love this and might sway this thing back to 50-50 by kickoff. OR, Those who have waited to bet the BIG GAME ( as MOST OF THE MONEY comes in on the day of the game from joe pub) will see this and assume the Cardinals must really have a good chance and back them! Either way, ya'll better be carefull...
I'm just gonna sit back with my $100 square and pray for AFC 7 NFC 3 ! Never had numbers this good in my life!
Enjoy the game boys!
Every online account I have has this thing at 6.5 19 hours before kickoff. According to the numbers I've found , 60-40 in favor of the Cardinals. Hard to tell what Vegas wants here. My guess is that Steeler backers will love this and might sway this thing back to 50-50 by kickoff. OR, Those who have waited to bet the BIG GAME ( as MOST OF THE MONEY comes in on the day of the game from joe pub) will see this and assume the Cardinals must really have a good chance and back them! Either way, ya'll better be carefull...
I'm just gonna sit back with my $100 square and pray for AFC 7 NFC 3 ! Never had numbers this good in my life!
Enjoy the game boys!
- Nov 7, 2004
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