WHERE'S THE BEEF?
NO ONE will play the Toronto Raptors in Wednesday night's game against Detroit. Toronto looked pathetic offensively and was beaten by the Detroit defense in every phase of the game. Only a fool would think that the Raptors could bounce back and play competitively against what appeared to be a far superior team. THAT'S WHY THEY CAN BUILD BILLION DOLLAR HOTELS IN THE MIDDLE OF A DESERT!
Since 1990, there have been 80 playoff games played in which the loser of the previous game was held to 77 points or less. In 52 of those games (65.8%) the offensively challenged team covered the spread. Forget about the look of the previous game. The numbers tell the story much better.
Starting with that simple premise - PLAY ON any team who lost their previous game to tonight's opponent and scored less than 78 points (playoff loss only) - I'll add a few twists to that 65.8% angle:
If our team is off exactly one loss: 35-16 for 68.6%
If the opponent has a WL% of .720 or less: 38-15 for 71.7%
If our team scored 90 or more in the game before the low scoring loss: 31-11 for 73.8%
If the opponent has a WL% of .720 or less AND this is a division game: 27-8 for 77.1%
If our team scored 90 or more in the game before the low scoring loss AND this is a division game: 19-5 for 79.1%
The numbers say TORONTO plus the points over Detroit on Wednesday is a winner.
NO ONE will play the Toronto Raptors in Wednesday night's game against Detroit. Toronto looked pathetic offensively and was beaten by the Detroit defense in every phase of the game. Only a fool would think that the Raptors could bounce back and play competitively against what appeared to be a far superior team. THAT'S WHY THEY CAN BUILD BILLION DOLLAR HOTELS IN THE MIDDLE OF A DESERT!
Since 1990, there have been 80 playoff games played in which the loser of the previous game was held to 77 points or less. In 52 of those games (65.8%) the offensively challenged team covered the spread. Forget about the look of the previous game. The numbers tell the story much better.
Starting with that simple premise - PLAY ON any team who lost their previous game to tonight's opponent and scored less than 78 points (playoff loss only) - I'll add a few twists to that 65.8% angle:
If our team is off exactly one loss: 35-16 for 68.6%
If the opponent has a WL% of .720 or less: 38-15 for 71.7%
If our team scored 90 or more in the game before the low scoring loss: 31-11 for 73.8%
If the opponent has a WL% of .720 or less AND this is a division game: 27-8 for 77.1%
If our team scored 90 or more in the game before the low scoring loss AND this is a division game: 19-5 for 79.1%
The numbers say TORONTO plus the points over Detroit on Wednesday is a winner.
