SOME STATISTICAL REASONING on the above..and there are obviously numbers pointing to the other way.....
1.) EXPOS: ohka..is 6-1 when team coming off a win...7-0 vs. teams with losing records...5-1 vs. nl teams scoring 4.3 runs or less per game...5-1 vs. poor power teams avg. 0.9 home runs or less per game...5-1 after giving up less than 2 earned runs in last two outings...5-2 night games this year..2.92 era at night...3.08 era on road...but is 0-2 on road at night...and montreal is 1-5 when fav of 100-150 on road this year..
BENSON: 1-3 vs. teams with winning record...14-22 since 1997 vs. teams with winning record..6-14 vs teams with winning records last 3 seasons...he is 0-3 as a home dog of +100 or more...he is 0-3 when team is off 2 or more losses ...he is 3-10 when team is off 2 or more losses in last 3 years...he is 1-5 in night games ... and 12-18 in night games last 3 years..
pitt as a team is 0-5 after 2 or more home games as a favorite..and is 14-27 in that same situation in last 3 years...
2.) mets/braves over: plenty of stats to go other way but some in my favor:
LOPEZ is 5-1 over in june games last 3 seasons
TRASChael is 7-1 over after giving up less than 2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 97
LOPEZ on the road: 4.50 era ..at night 6.75 era...divisional games 6.75 era... he is 0-2 vs the mets with an era of 5.02..team is 0-3...over is 2-1 ( in his last 2 starts vs. mets he is 0-2 ..with losses of 10-0 and 9-3)
TRASCHAEL: home era is 3.75...at night 4.34...divisional games 4.03...he is 4-4 vs the braves with an era of 4.29...team is 5-6..the over is 7-3...
be back..cooz
umpire Hollowell is 10-3 to the over...avg's 13.06 runs per game