Season Record 15-14 +3.80 units
Under 9.5 -120 1 unit
Non - White Sox play
St. Louis (Simontachi - Both Listed Pitchers) -150 2 units
The Sox will send their stopper to the mound to try and turn their streak around. The lack of Sox hitting is more than a slump right now as it's been going on for about 15 games and they have been getting all you could ask from their pitching during this streak. Buerhle can carry this team himself and will go deep into the game and the Expos won't able to score more than 2-3 runs. The White Sox won't be able to score the 7-8 runs that they will need for this game to go over for two reasons
First,
The White Sox always seem sluggish on Sunday day games at home. I thought it was my imagination until the Tribune last Monday stated their record was 1-7 (Home and Away) on Sundays during the year. So far in 2002 on Sundays at home:
Baltimore 4-9 Loss
Detroit 11-8 Win
Oakland 2-3 Loss
Anaheim 1-6 Loss
Detroit 2-9 Loss
and in the first half of 2001 (before the Sox played w/ intensity in the 2nd half of the season)
Detroit 3-5 Loss
Minny 2-4 Loss
Seattle 2-1 Win
Texas 6-3 Win
Detroit 9-6 Win
Cubs 3-1 Win - Obviously intensity was there in this game.
Baltimore 3-11 Loss
Pittsburgh 2-4 Win
So throwing out the Cubs game because they play they are up for the games with the Northsiders, the Sox offense has 20 runs in 5 games in 2001 and 27 runs in 7 games in 2001 for Sunday home games before the All Star break.
Second,
The Expos' Pavano hasn't been more than an average starter this season, but expect the Sox to play a lot of small ball today as they did yesterday to get the lead for Buerhle early. While it should be effective to get the Sox the first run, it will take the bat out of their hands for a good part of the game and keep them away from big innings.
Word of Caution, just because there are more words in this analysis than previous analyses does not mean it is a stronger play (Note 1 unit play compared to 2 units yesterday), it is merely a reflection of the fact that I want to put off the work I need to do for my job as long as possible by over-handicapping.
For the St. Louis game, I saw the Royals' Ascensio pitch against the Sox last week and the guy looks awful mechanically. He got behind in the count all game and has comfort with his fastball and change up and that's it. He continually shook off the catcher when he called for a breaking ball and threw the change on hitter's counts with no fear. The Sox clubbed him hard but right at the Royal's defense. I would expect that LaRussa would pass this insight onto his players and the Cardinal won't be swinging for the fences like the Sox were and this guy should get shelled. Simontachi has yielded just 5 runs in his last three starts, pitching 20.2 innings and yielding 19 hits and 6 walks. It's a good price today because Ascensio has good numbers as a starter, but the numbers do lie in this case.
Thanks again Dugan for the support and especially for the :toast:
Under 9.5 -120 1 unit
Non - White Sox play
St. Louis (Simontachi - Both Listed Pitchers) -150 2 units
The Sox will send their stopper to the mound to try and turn their streak around. The lack of Sox hitting is more than a slump right now as it's been going on for about 15 games and they have been getting all you could ask from their pitching during this streak. Buerhle can carry this team himself and will go deep into the game and the Expos won't able to score more than 2-3 runs. The White Sox won't be able to score the 7-8 runs that they will need for this game to go over for two reasons
First,
The White Sox always seem sluggish on Sunday day games at home. I thought it was my imagination until the Tribune last Monday stated their record was 1-7 (Home and Away) on Sundays during the year. So far in 2002 on Sundays at home:
Baltimore 4-9 Loss
Detroit 11-8 Win
Oakland 2-3 Loss
Anaheim 1-6 Loss
Detroit 2-9 Loss
and in the first half of 2001 (before the Sox played w/ intensity in the 2nd half of the season)
Detroit 3-5 Loss
Minny 2-4 Loss
Seattle 2-1 Win
Texas 6-3 Win
Detroit 9-6 Win
Cubs 3-1 Win - Obviously intensity was there in this game.
Baltimore 3-11 Loss
Pittsburgh 2-4 Win
So throwing out the Cubs game because they play they are up for the games with the Northsiders, the Sox offense has 20 runs in 5 games in 2001 and 27 runs in 7 games in 2001 for Sunday home games before the All Star break.
Second,
The Expos' Pavano hasn't been more than an average starter this season, but expect the Sox to play a lot of small ball today as they did yesterday to get the lead for Buerhle early. While it should be effective to get the Sox the first run, it will take the bat out of their hands for a good part of the game and keep them away from big innings.
Word of Caution, just because there are more words in this analysis than previous analyses does not mean it is a stronger play (Note 1 unit play compared to 2 units yesterday), it is merely a reflection of the fact that I want to put off the work I need to do for my job as long as possible by over-handicapping.
For the St. Louis game, I saw the Royals' Ascensio pitch against the Sox last week and the guy looks awful mechanically. He got behind in the count all game and has comfort with his fastball and change up and that's it. He continually shook off the catcher when he called for a breaking ball and threw the change on hitter's counts with no fear. The Sox clubbed him hard but right at the Royal's defense. I would expect that LaRussa would pass this insight onto his players and the Cardinal won't be swinging for the fences like the Sox were and this guy should get shelled. Simontachi has yielded just 5 runs in his last three starts, pitching 20.2 innings and yielding 19 hits and 6 walks. It's a good price today because Ascensio has good numbers as a starter, but the numbers do lie in this case.
Thanks again Dugan for the support and especially for the :toast:
