Hey guys,
Looking for your valuable input on this one. I have some free play money that I am going to be wagering on an NFL Super Bowl winner future. Please give me your take on what you feel is the best strategy and who is your pick to win it all. I can make multiple plays with my free play balance, so I could say wager on Pitt and Seattle and heck even three, four, five teams. I most likely want to put majority of the balance on one team, maybe divide it equally into 2.
Here are odds for the top 8 favorites, most likely i'll put it all on one or two of these teams:
Indy 5.5 to 1
New england 8 to 1
Carolina 9 to 1
Pitt 11 to 1
Seattle 11 to 1
Denver 12 to 1
Dallas 14 to 1
Chicago 18 to 1
There is some value in other teams like Baltimore, Jacksonville or Tampa Bay each at 33 to 1 - as they should have decent defenses and possibly one of them could surprise, but most likely i want to throw it on one of the main favorites.
I figure Seattle could be a safe play, getting 11 to 1, and have to figure they will be looking at another NFC Championship game with another soft schedule. Pitt at 11 to 1 isn't that bad as they should be strong as well. I can always hedge some later. Please give me your thoughts. Any other team listed here is at least 20 to 1 on up to 100 to 1 odds.
Good luck with the upcoming season, I am looking forward to another successful season. I most likely will be making one, two or three plays a week max, and around 50 plays on the season. I find the best way to play the NFL is to be very selective and make only the strongest plays. It will be interesting to see if the favorites cover as much as they have over the last two years. I say we see a correction, and those who bet the dogs will once again be cashing often.
I have to say thought I am very tempted to grab Chicago and the -3 in Week 1. I am a very frustrated Packer season ticket holder, and I believe they are in for a very bad season. This team will be making a ton of mistakes all year long. No way that offensive line holds up, meaning lots of pressure on Favre - which will equal a disaster. Never seen so many people leave during the mid-3rd quarter yesterday even thought it was only a preseason game.
Following the NFC North very closely, I'd also endorse a play on Seattle -3 at Detroit. Don't worry about both Chicago and Seattle being small road faves - worst case here is a split, but Lions will be brutal as well, they have lots of issues and won't be able to keep up on the scoreboard with Seattle in that one. My top 2 plays of the week will be those two plays Seattle -3, Chicago -3. If they both go down, so be it - i'm not second guessing myself on these two. Home field doesn't mean much to either team, both will be totally mismatched come Sunday.
Will post my weekly plays througout the year. Give me feedback as to your best future strategy with free play money. Thanks and best of luck to you all.
--SAVE IT
Looking for your valuable input on this one. I have some free play money that I am going to be wagering on an NFL Super Bowl winner future. Please give me your take on what you feel is the best strategy and who is your pick to win it all. I can make multiple plays with my free play balance, so I could say wager on Pitt and Seattle and heck even three, four, five teams. I most likely want to put majority of the balance on one team, maybe divide it equally into 2.
Here are odds for the top 8 favorites, most likely i'll put it all on one or two of these teams:
Indy 5.5 to 1
New england 8 to 1
Carolina 9 to 1
Pitt 11 to 1
Seattle 11 to 1
Denver 12 to 1
Dallas 14 to 1
Chicago 18 to 1
There is some value in other teams like Baltimore, Jacksonville or Tampa Bay each at 33 to 1 - as they should have decent defenses and possibly one of them could surprise, but most likely i want to throw it on one of the main favorites.
I figure Seattle could be a safe play, getting 11 to 1, and have to figure they will be looking at another NFC Championship game with another soft schedule. Pitt at 11 to 1 isn't that bad as they should be strong as well. I can always hedge some later. Please give me your thoughts. Any other team listed here is at least 20 to 1 on up to 100 to 1 odds.
Good luck with the upcoming season, I am looking forward to another successful season. I most likely will be making one, two or three plays a week max, and around 50 plays on the season. I find the best way to play the NFL is to be very selective and make only the strongest plays. It will be interesting to see if the favorites cover as much as they have over the last two years. I say we see a correction, and those who bet the dogs will once again be cashing often.
I have to say thought I am very tempted to grab Chicago and the -3 in Week 1. I am a very frustrated Packer season ticket holder, and I believe they are in for a very bad season. This team will be making a ton of mistakes all year long. No way that offensive line holds up, meaning lots of pressure on Favre - which will equal a disaster. Never seen so many people leave during the mid-3rd quarter yesterday even thought it was only a preseason game.
Following the NFC North very closely, I'd also endorse a play on Seattle -3 at Detroit. Don't worry about both Chicago and Seattle being small road faves - worst case here is a split, but Lions will be brutal as well, they have lots of issues and won't be able to keep up on the scoreboard with Seattle in that one. My top 2 plays of the week will be those two plays Seattle -3, Chicago -3. If they both go down, so be it - i'm not second guessing myself on these two. Home field doesn't mean much to either team, both will be totally mismatched come Sunday.
Will post my weekly plays througout the year. Give me feedback as to your best future strategy with free play money. Thanks and best of luck to you all.
--SAVE IT
