Why 210 in Sea/Den tonight?

eztds

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2001
1,650
10
0
OKC,OK USA
First, I feel like apologizing for my poor record and contributions this season.....maybe simply putting my capp'n notes out here will prove more useful than posting plays:

OK....having said that.....what about this total???

-I recognize that Sea has like the 30th ranked D in the league giving up 105 pts/gm

-But, doesn't this total at 210 strike you as strange when you consider:

-Den has lost Camby and his 16 pts/gm

-K-Mart (ave. 12 pts/gm) is listed as ques.

-Ridnour may come to Den after missing Mon. @ the T-Wolves....listed as doubtful tonight

-If Ridnour doesn't make it....that places point duties in Ronald Murry's hands.....and Ron has 2 dislocated fingers on his shooting hand.....likely the reason for his 3 pt game in 24 minutes of play in Minn on Monday.

-Even if Ridnour shows up able to go.....he's only averaging 10 pts/gm

Yeah....there are others who can score:

Mello 25 per, Miller 14 per, Boykins 12 per for Den

Allen 24 per, Lewis 21 per, (already talked about Murry and Ridnour), Radmanovic only 9 per

Point being.....Doesn't 210 seem high considering the injuries on both sides?

I have never like playing the under on the highest total on the board.........but considering that Den has been allowing on ave. 98 per and Sea 105 per that is only an average of 203!

Why 210 tonight with all the injuries??

Futhermore....both team's only ave. scoring a combined 200.6 per game!

Again, why 210 tonight with all the injuries??

This line looks fishy given the above facts and figures.

I am not going to give a play (yet) but allow this thread to garner some discussion.....guys it's not about who's the "best on the board"....it's about handicapp'n and helping each other make the best possible decisions on plays.

Win or lose....you can live with it either if you tooks some time and capped the game as best you can with the best info available.

Chime in if you have other facts, figures or opinion concerning this total at 210 or Den laying the 6 tonight. Thanks.....ez
 

MonsterNco

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 25, 2000
654
3
0
Las Vegas
My Opinoin is the Sonics have gone over pretty much every time this season, so the books have adjusted the number a little higher than it would normally be. I played the Under 211 this morning.

I think for the next several weeks Sonics totals will be slightly inflated.
 

eztds

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2001
1,650
10
0
OKC,OK USA
Thanks for a reply Monster......

Thanks for a reply Monster......

I can't believe this line at 213 :scared

The fundamentals in play here sure don't point to a total line that high.

Vegas perceptions and line movement dearly wants folks on this under and it looks to be an ambush by a flock of vultures!

They may peck my eyes out tonight.....but I am going to hold my breath and play the under 213.

GL to us MonsterNco

Ytd 24-22
 

IntenseOperator

DeweyOxburger
Forum Member
Sep 16, 2003
17,897
63
0
Chicago
The lack of big men in this game will speed the tempo up big time. If this one doesn't go Over, it won't be because of lack of attempts. They will be running and launching all night. Seattle is never in the mood to play D, and they won't be tonight a mile high.

GL on your action
 

eztds

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2001
1,650
10
0
OKC,OK USA
Nice counter point IO.......

Nice counter point IO.......

if they decide to play at that frantic of a pace, then hopefully the altitude gets to them for a tired jump shooting legs 2H.

GL on your plays tonight! ez
 

eztds

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2001
1,650
10
0
OKC,OK USA
67 point 2nd period......

67 point 2nd period......

pretty much fries the under for the game......will follow up on my thought that the thin air slows this 2H.

Under 106' 2H

Gl....ez
 

eztds

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2001
1,650
10
0
OKC,OK USA
This isn't chasing.....

This isn't chasing.....

just feel the under has a solid chance for the above reasoning. Later folks!
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top