Why are the Yanks still -255 at Pinnacle?

Nick Douglas

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Oct 31, 2000
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I see three possibilities

1) Pinnacle is not receiving any action on the Yanks but all other books are so every other book is up at -270 or higher

2) Someone at Pinnacle is asleep at the switch and they are getting tons of action but forgetting to move the line.

3) Pinnacle *is* getting a lot of action on the Yanks but they are not moving the line because they want bettors to load up on the Yanks tonight (i.e., they think Tampa is the "right side").

I don't buy number (1) because Pinnacle is a fairly sizable offshore book so if people are pounding the Yanks, Pinnacle would get hit, too.

I don't buy number (2) because you don't become a top offshore book by sitting on your duff and falling asleep at the switch if you don't have a good reason for it.

Therefore, the good folks at Pinnacle definitely think the Yanks are a huge sucker bet tonight. They want all your money if you are betting the Yanks and they want you to take your business elsewhere if you are on Tampa.

I handicapped the game and I see basically no reason to bet Tampa. New York has their ace on the hill, Tampa has a young minor leaguer (though he has yet to submit a run in the bigs) on the hill, three of Tampa's normally reliable bullpen guys were overused yesterday and they corps of Mendoza, Stanton, Rivera, etc. should all be ready to go for New York.

Should you let a sportsbook influence what you bet on? I dunno. Sportsbooks like Pinnacle certainly make more money on gambling than I do so perhaps I should pay attention. On the other hand, my handicapping has proven successful to me in the past so why would I let other people influence my plays?

In this case, I am just gonna pass and post this writeup as a word of warning to the large number of you out there who will be on the Yanks tonight. Just know that one of the top (maybe THE top) offshore books is dead set against you right now. Good luck.
 

Stag

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Jan 22, 2001
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Nick...........
I play my baseball wagers at Horizon (they are great because they offer true dime lines and give great value on underdogs).
Anyway, Horizon is doing the same thing that Pinnacle is doing. Yankees have been -260 all day without budging.
Is there a chance the Yanks can lose this game? ABSOLUTLEY. After all, it's baseball, and we know how that story goes. But do I think the Yanks will win this game 3 out of every 4 times played in this current spot? ABSOLUTLEY.
Even though I am a dog player, I would NOT waste my money on a TB play. I'm not saying GO AHEAD and bet the Yanks either.
BUT, I have to disagree with you and say that these books do NOT think the Yanks are a sucker bet. I imagine that tons of money is pouring in on a HOME DOG of +245. That is very attractive in baseball.
Stag
 
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