Why the Line Move on Minnesota?

[Nolan Dalla]

First off,

Thanks to those who posted kind words here about last night. There are many here who have much more talent in bases than I do, but it's nice to get a big win after struggling early in the season. The important thing to remember is, that's just one day. I continue to educate myself and be amazed at some of the baseball experts here and see how well they are doing.

Speaking of which,

I have coattailed some plays on the board with much success. One play tonight stands out:

MINNESOTA vs. CHISOX
As others have pointed out, MINN looks to be the play in this game and is going off a great price. CHISOX have been in a miserable slump recently and with weak pitching tonight, they could have a hard time. What I don't understand though is that each time I coattail a play, most of the time the line moves $5-15 (on average) against me. So, instead of laying -130 on a game, often by the time I get to make the bet, the price is up to -140. However, on this game, I note the line had DROPPED on Minnesota from -133 to -122. That line movement occured in the lat hour. I fail to see any reason to play the White Six here or see anything that would justify such a line movement, especially when a few of out best baseball cappers here at this site have already touted the Twins.

Any thoughts as to why this line dropped. I bet $200 on Twins at -133 and then when I saw the line a second time (I went to Millenium to try and get a middle off the 8 in the Giants game, but noticed Bonds is out so that is not possible) the line had dropped to just -122, so I put down another bet.

I'm consdiering making yet another bet ont he Twins. Someone please talk me out of it.

Nolan Dalla

 

[Livin' Large]

Nolan,

I'm curious, why do you like Minnesota so much tonight? I'm not trying to talk you out of your play, but I don't understand why you have your heart set on the Twins. Good luck!

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Not that I am all that good at predictions when it comes to my White Sox, but Ritchie looked great in his last start. In the game before that, Manuel taped the game and showed Ritchie that when he was throwing hard and not aiming, he was much more effective. Throwing harder was given much of the credit for his performance against the Mets.

Lohse?s ERA has gone up an entire run in his last 5 games and the Twins have gone deep into their bullpen in the last two games while the Sox have not.

Still haven't decided who/if I am gonna play.

 

[Valuist]

As for the line move, I have no idea. I did hear this morning that the Sox bullpen may be shorthanded. Osuna, who's been the closer the past 2 weeks, is in Mexico since his wife is about ready to deliver. Marte, their best reliever the past month or so, has a dead arm and is likely out tonight. They could definitely use Marte, since the Twins have more problems against LHers.

 

[Valuist]

Ritchie on the road 2000-2002:

w/l: 8-21
ERA: 5.45

 

[Eugene Michaels]

Keith Foulke has looked good in his last 2 outings, so he may have worked out whatever it was that made him so prone to the long ball this season. Don't be surprised if he is reinstated as the team's closer within the next couple of days.

 

[Pujo21]

LINE DROP

LINE DROP

My guess it's a "KNEE JERK" reaction to The Sox 15 runs and 23 hits last nite.

Also , Ritchie is 1-0 in two starts lifetime against The Twins with a 2.08 ERA.
________________________________________

On the other hand Lohse beat the SOX Twice last year with a 3.44 ERA. And The TWINS won all three games over The SOX last year that Lohse started.

Good Luck Nolan..Get 'EM

Brian from The Bronx

 

[Pujo21]

Also i just saw that The White Sox are " Scottie Wine Spreitzer"
K.O. Play tonite

 

[Livin' Large]

Lohse is no better than Ritchie. They both suck! I would not take Minnesota strictly as a fade against Ritchie.
:nono: