Goal is to profit. Starting with 100 units not including units played on 2016 Prop odds for Wins in a season.
Several Win totals have been taken off the boards at 5Dimes and these are what I was left to play as of today.
All plays are 1 unit each on Props this year.
BOL on whatever you play!!
Alabama total wins under 9?* +130 - Lots of holes to fill and I still don't like Kiffin!
Florida total wins over 8* -125 - Mac is a solid coach and he has QBs with year 2 in his system now and one of best "D's" in country coming back. Gators had 10 wins last year and should get min of 9.
Georgia total wins over 8?* -135 - Kirby Smart inherits a decent team with departure of Mark Richt. This is Kirby's first opp to be a HC at this level and he's got talent back, Dawgs had 9 wins last year even with Chubb being out for a majority of the season and he's back and they have depth at RB. QB is not that bad and "D" will be the key to wins this year, I have Georgia getting at least 9 wins and possible SEC Championship game. LOSER
Houston U total wins under 9* +140 - Cougars had a great first season for their new HC and return a quality QB and some speed on "O", Cougs got 11 wins before Bowl game LY, their schedule is not easier this year either, this line opened at 10 wins and dropped to 9? Something is up!
LSU total wins under 9?* +130 - What a fiasco to end of the year last yr when all published reports stated the Mad Hatter would be canned. This team has underformed vs Bama and in KEY SEC games the past 4 years and this year is a make or break season. I don't see Miles coming back after this season no matter how good of a year the Bayou Tigers perform, they had 8 wins last yr and have a very good NFL caliber RB back in Fournette, but I don't believe in this staff and their schedule is never easy, even at home they have a couple toughies, I have LSU winning 9 games max in reg season.
Michigan State total wins over 8* -125 - As long as Draymond Green stays away from the Spartan's favorite bars/night clubs and frat parties, I see Sparty winning at least 9 games, albeit with a new QB and some new "D" players, Coach D' has good recruiting classes each year and added some depth from last year giving many players chances to showcase the opp to start this year. I have State winning at least 9 games, toughest two are Ohio St and Michigan, Wisky could give them problems, but edge would go to Sparty in that H2H matchup. LOSER
Notre Dame total wins over 9* -145 -Two headed monster at QB plus the depth returning for the Irish and one of the most respected, hard ass coaches in CFB and playing some cup cakes, Irish won 10 LY before their bowl game and they should get to 10-1 again this year before their last reg season game, 11 wins is not improbable. LOSER
Ohio State total wins over 9* -175 - I hate to lay this much chalk, but I'm a big believer in Urban the Legend and the recruits he and his staff bring in annually. Buckeyes had 11 wins in reg season LY before Bowl game and they appear on paper to get at least 10 wins this year, barring any other unforeseen injury to a key player. Barrett if healthy could be in the Heisman talk and I like him more than DeShaun Watson of Clemson.
Oklahoma total wins under 10* -125 - so Sue me, I am not a Bobby Stoops believer and Mayfield? Blah!! This team over-achieved last year and fell on their ass once again in the Bowl playoff to Clemson. They play a soft schedule and Big 12 is not like it used to be. OU got 11 wins last year, return 7 starters including Mayfield and have 6 returning on "D", but their schedule is not easy and they did lose to Texas LY in a fluke, and bounced the Cowboys in the battle at Bedlam, I think Okie State gives them problems this year, but my gut just tells me 10 wins is way too many for Oklahoma in the regular season, with opener at Houston vs Houston NRG stadium, @ TCU, Texas is at Cotton Bowl, Ohio State in week 3 at home will be a toughie, Baylor will not be a pushover on 11/12 either and last game vs Okie State. 10-2 reg season max.
Oklahoma State total wins over 8?* -105 -Pokes got 10 wins LY and lost their last 3 SU including bowl loss to Ole Piss. Rudolph is back with his red nose so bright and Gundy has a way of racking up points at home, first 3 home games are winnable, SE La, C Michigan and Pitt, play @ Baylor in wk 4 which is winnable, then have Texas and Iowa St at home in weeks 5 & 6, so a 6-0 start or 5-1 start should get them to 10-1 before last game @ Oklahoma, TCU week before on 11/19 could be a very tough one, so 9-3, 10-2 or 11-1 on the year? All possible!
Oregon total wins under 8?* -140 - Another move in QB for Ducks? Duck program has come to earth with departure of Chip Dip Kelly and Ducks aren't getting the big name recruits anymore, so asking this team with several new starters to win 9 games is a big task after winning 9 in reg season last yr, so I'm counting on them going under the hook and win just 8 games, first 2 home games are winnable but UVA won't be a slouch in Wk 2, @ Nebraska could be tricky, I have Nebraska winning that game on paper by 2 w/Armstrong back for Huskers, @ Wazoo St in Week 5 and home vs Washington looks like 0-2 or 1-1, Wazoo QB is very good and Ducks vs Passing game allowing 306 yrds LY is not a good thing. Cal, USC, Stanford and Utah will not be easy games as well and I have the Ducks going 8-4 overall at best, 9-3 with a fluke win would really suck! WINNER
Stanford total wins under 8* +130 - Tree will miss Hogan at QB but they do have a very versatile player in McCaffrey, the depth however on OL and DL isn't what it's been in years' past and but Tree does have 71 returning letterman, LY Stanford won 10 games, I have them winning only 7 this year, first 2 home games vs Snyder and the K State Wildcats, USC, then go to UCLA, so first 3 weeks could be a 1-2 or 2-1 record, go to U Wash in wk 4 and home to Wazoo in wk 5. Talk about 5 tough opening games. You still have ND who will be pissed at that loss to the Tree LY which for me was the best college football game on TV all year. Arizona will be improved under Rich Rod, Cal will not be a slouch even with loss of #1 NFL pick.
TCU total wins over 8?* -125 -Horny Toads with one of best Head Football Coaches in the land and transfers coming in to take over for the departed, TCU with only 5 returnees on "O" and 7 on "D", key backups at RB and WR and QB and transfer QB, will have to be pitch perfect in TCU's schedule early in the year, Frogs won 10 LY and their schedule this year has a minimum of 9-3 record written on it. LOSER
Tennessee U total wins under 10* -160 - I really like Butch Jones as a football coach but this team and the chemistry just doesn't jive for me. Vols got 8 wins LY and their schedule is not easy this year either, so I don't see 2 extra reg season wins, 9 max, I have 9-3 or 8-4 record w/Dobbs at QB. WINNER
UCLA total wins over 9* +115 - I'm a Mora fan and he has 2nd year QB back who started as a true Frosh as well as 9 returnees on "D" even losing Clark in first round of NFL draft. Depth is on "D" and offense is talented and has some skill receivers who could really be something so long as O-Line protects their QB. UCLA had 8 winns last year and I have them getting to 9-3 at worse and 10-2 forecasted. LOSER
USC total wins over 7?* -150 - Helton gets his chance and Trojans return some depth and always have decent recruiting classes, USC did manager 8 wins LY and should duplicate that this year. Max Browne @ QB has a big shoe to fill and accolades in the past need to go buh bye and he should produce in an offensive friendly scheme. USC has 9 returnees in key areas, especially the O-Line. On "D" Trojans return just 5 but all DBs do return and Cameron Smith is a beast at LB. I have USC winning vs Utah St, Utah, Arizona St, Colorado, Arizona, Cal, Oregon, Washington and Stanford. 9-3 or 8-4 at worse!
