Wild Card Round Stats Last 10 yrs

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CWood97

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Jan 6, 2003
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Home Teams: 32-8 SU and 26-13-1 ATS

Home Winners: 26-5-1 ATS

7+ Point Favs are 8-7 ATS, but 2-2 SU annd 0-4 ATS Last 4 (GB vs SEA 2003, GB vs ATL 2002, PIT vs CLE 2002, STL @ NO 2000)

If you bet all the home teams in the wild card round the last 10 years, you would have made money in 8, went 2-2 once and went 1-3 once. However, you would have went 4-0 only once.

There has been at least one road winner in every season except 1994 and 2000. The only fav in these winners was Tennessee as one point chalk last year. In no season were there two road winners.

Interesting score: The bolts played as a 6.5 point home fav in the wild card back in 1995 season. They lost to Indi 35-20 :scared

Moral of the story:

???????????????
 
C

CWood97

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2003
2,041
4
38
Michigan
Been thinking (maybe too much).

Here's a way to bet the "no more than one home team will lose" and 80% of the time one home team will lose.

Tease Seattle +2.5 and SD -.5

$110/$100

If either loses (unless seattle loses by one or two) you are out $110, but based on recent history, you "know" that both home teams will win on Sunday. So parlay the Indi/GB money lines to get yourself even, or more if you're willing to risk more based on the history:

$195/$110

If both Seattle and SD win, you "know" that either Minny or Denver will win outright, so you bet $X of your winnings on each money line.

Another scenario, SD wins and Seattle loses by 1 or 2. You then take your winnings OR add more to them and bet Indi/GB money lines.

Assuming you believe history repeats itself, is this a decent way to follow the trends?????
 
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