Although the home and road teams split the four wildcard games of a year ago, the only home team to lose both SU & ATS was Tampa Bay.
That game of course, was the start of the Giants? four-game road sweep en route to the NFL title.
Here are some noteworthy patterns that have formed in the Wildcard Round in recent years.
- Since a run of 7-1 SU & ATS by the home team in the wildcard playoffs? following the ?00 & ?01 season, road teams have held the upper hand, going 13-10 ATS (56.5%). The hosts are 13-10 SU.
- Only two road underdogs of 7-points or more have won outright in the Wildcard Round since ?95. In fact, the heavy Home Favorites in that line range are 15-2 SU & 13-4 ATS (76.5%).
- Wildcard home teams that were 9-7 in the regular season are just 3-5 SU & 1-5-2 (16.7%) in their first playoff game.
- Wildcard road teams that won 11 games or more in the regular season are just 5-6 SU & 4-6-1 ATS (40%) in their first playoff game.
- Home Underdogs in the Wildcard Round are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS since ?95. Only ?06 Cincinnati, a 3-point dog to Pittsburgh in the famous Carson Palmer injury game, lost outright & ATS.
- The NFC has seen more frequent upsets than the AFC. In fact, in the AFC, only eight road teams have won in the last 16 seasons, and three of those were favored or in pick em? spreads. In the NFC, 12 road teams have won, all as underdogs, and three other home dogs pulled upset wins.
- The NFC underdog owns a 15-17 SU & 18-11-3 ATS record since ?92.
- The secret to the NFC road underdog upset has been defense. In fact, in the last seven NFC Wildcard Playoff games where road teams pulled upsets, the total result has been UNDER, and the home team has averaged just 10.7 PPG.
- In terms of scoring, 20 points is the magic number for road team success in the wildcard playoffs. In games where they score 20 or more, they are 19-15 SU & 23-8-3 ATS (74.2%). In games where road teams don?t reach 20 points, they are a horrendous 1-29 SU & 1-28-1 ATS (3.4%)!
- UNDER the total plays have converted in 26 of the last 40 wildcard games for 65%.
- The home team essentially dictates the total result. In past wildcard games where the hosts scored 27 or more points, the OVER is 24-4. In games where they fail to reach 27 points, the UNDER is 30-6.
:yup
That game of course, was the start of the Giants? four-game road sweep en route to the NFL title.
Here are some noteworthy patterns that have formed in the Wildcard Round in recent years.
- Since a run of 7-1 SU & ATS by the home team in the wildcard playoffs? following the ?00 & ?01 season, road teams have held the upper hand, going 13-10 ATS (56.5%). The hosts are 13-10 SU.
- Only two road underdogs of 7-points or more have won outright in the Wildcard Round since ?95. In fact, the heavy Home Favorites in that line range are 15-2 SU & 13-4 ATS (76.5%).
- Wildcard home teams that were 9-7 in the regular season are just 3-5 SU & 1-5-2 (16.7%) in their first playoff game.
- Wildcard road teams that won 11 games or more in the regular season are just 5-6 SU & 4-6-1 ATS (40%) in their first playoff game.
- Home Underdogs in the Wildcard Round are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS since ?95. Only ?06 Cincinnati, a 3-point dog to Pittsburgh in the famous Carson Palmer injury game, lost outright & ATS.
- The NFC has seen more frequent upsets than the AFC. In fact, in the AFC, only eight road teams have won in the last 16 seasons, and three of those were favored or in pick em? spreads. In the NFC, 12 road teams have won, all as underdogs, and three other home dogs pulled upset wins.
- The NFC underdog owns a 15-17 SU & 18-11-3 ATS record since ?92.
- The secret to the NFC road underdog upset has been defense. In fact, in the last seven NFC Wildcard Playoff games where road teams pulled upsets, the total result has been UNDER, and the home team has averaged just 10.7 PPG.
- In terms of scoring, 20 points is the magic number for road team success in the wildcard playoffs. In games where they score 20 or more, they are 19-15 SU & 23-8-3 ATS (74.2%). In games where road teams don?t reach 20 points, they are a horrendous 1-29 SU & 1-28-1 ATS (3.4%)!
- UNDER the total plays have converted in 26 of the last 40 wildcard games for 65%.
- The home team essentially dictates the total result. In past wildcard games where the hosts scored 27 or more points, the OVER is 24-4. In games where they fail to reach 27 points, the UNDER is 30-6.
:yup
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