just an fyi... nobody is colder than i am right now.
as always, bill barnwell's column is a must read for these games. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28403463/barnwell-guide-2019-nfl-playoffs-how-all-12-teams-win-super-bowl
houston 1st H (-.5) 2 units
1st H under (21.5) 2 units
houston (-2.5) 2 units
under (43.5) 2 units. josh allen. first playoff start. on the road. i just hope he doesn't give houston too many short fields to ruin my unders.
the bills beat one playoff team all year. and that was tennessee before they switched to tannehill. AND they needed tennessee to miss 4 fgs in a 14-7 win.
(i just saw that will fuller is out. that definitely hurts the texans significantly, but it helps the under.)
tennessee (+5) 4 units
tennessee (ML) 2 units to win 3.7
under (44.5) 4 units. this is tough, because i'm trusting ryan tannehill. in his first playoff start. on the road. but i'm betting that new england is going to have a very difficult time scoring. logan ryan is a lockdown corner who can cover edelman, assuming edelman is even healthy enough to be a threat. other than that... the pats' main weapons are... james white and rex burkhead. their 80-year old qb isn't capable of stretching the field any more. so unless tannehill throws a couple TAINTs (certainly possible), the pats will struggle to score.
their best hope is to rediscover their run game, but tennessee is 7th in the league, allowing 4.0 yards/rush.
and don't forget that, for the first time in a long time, the pats don't have a super-reliable kicker. nick folk has been good, but do you trust him to make a huge kick in a playoff game? he may have a lot of pressure on him today that he's never experienced before. he's only kicked 4 fgs in the playoffs, and the last was in 2010.
new england was only 3-3 against playoff teams this year. 1-3 against teams that aren't the buffalo bills.
one last thing... these teams played last year, and tennessee crushed the pats, 34-10. brady only completed 21 of 41, and 9 of those were to edelman, who may not be a factor today. i don't think the titans will be intimidated going into this game.
if i had any faith in tannehill, this would be a bigger play for me.
as always, bill barnwell's column is a must read for these games. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28403463/barnwell-guide-2019-nfl-playoffs-how-all-12-teams-win-super-bowl
houston 1st H (-.5) 2 units
1st H under (21.5) 2 units
houston (-2.5) 2 units
under (43.5) 2 units. josh allen. first playoff start. on the road. i just hope he doesn't give houston too many short fields to ruin my unders.
the bills beat one playoff team all year. and that was tennessee before they switched to tannehill. AND they needed tennessee to miss 4 fgs in a 14-7 win.
(i just saw that will fuller is out. that definitely hurts the texans significantly, but it helps the under.)
tennessee (+5) 4 units
tennessee (ML) 2 units to win 3.7
under (44.5) 4 units. this is tough, because i'm trusting ryan tannehill. in his first playoff start. on the road. but i'm betting that new england is going to have a very difficult time scoring. logan ryan is a lockdown corner who can cover edelman, assuming edelman is even healthy enough to be a threat. other than that... the pats' main weapons are... james white and rex burkhead. their 80-year old qb isn't capable of stretching the field any more. so unless tannehill throws a couple TAINTs (certainly possible), the pats will struggle to score.
their best hope is to rediscover their run game, but tennessee is 7th in the league, allowing 4.0 yards/rush.
and don't forget that, for the first time in a long time, the pats don't have a super-reliable kicker. nick folk has been good, but do you trust him to make a huge kick in a playoff game? he may have a lot of pressure on him today that he's never experienced before. he's only kicked 4 fgs in the playoffs, and the last was in 2010.
new england was only 3-3 against playoff teams this year. 1-3 against teams that aren't the buffalo bills.
one last thing... these teams played last year, and tennessee crushed the pats, 34-10. brady only completed 21 of 41, and 9 of those were to edelman, who may not be a factor today. i don't think the titans will be intimidated going into this game.
if i had any faith in tannehill, this would be a bigger play for me.
