Week 8, 10/17 - 10/21
Tues, 10/17
7 pt: Jax St +14 1/2, Middle Tenn +21 1/2, Over 44 USM/USA, Under 67 1/2 WK/JAX St. (1 unit) to win 2.25 units) WINNER
TOTAL OF THE YEAR coming this Saturday!!
Wednesday 10/18/23
7 pt: UTEP +10 & Over 35 SH/FIU (1 unit)
LOSER
Live: Over 39 1/2 SH/Fiu (5 units) WINNER
Thursday 10/19/23
7 pt: Marshall +11 & Over 51 Rice/Tulsa (5 units) JMU not as potent on the road for an undefeated team and Marshall live home dog, Rice/Tulsa love to pass, Tulsa gives up points!! PUSH
Live Over 37 1/2 JM/Marsh (5 units) LOSER
Friday 10/20/23
Saturday 10/21/23
Over 48 Mississippi State @ (396) Arkansas (5 units) - Hogs get their QB back, but is he healthy and they have 5 losses already, so a bowl shot is slim to almost none, Miss St can still score points, I don't trust either "D" so Over is the play here
Over 45 (325) Penn State @ (326) Ohio State - high profile game featuring a solid QB for Nittany Lions and a "D" in the Buckeyes who shut ND down offensively to just 14 points on the road, Opening total in advance was 60 1/2 so someone's trying to middle this one, with the line dropping 15 1/2 points, this is a 31-20 type game!
Over 53 (381) Utah @ (382) USC - USC off humiliating loss at ND now face Utah team which has had trouble scoring, likely they'll redshirt their 2022 starting QB Rising, Caleb Williams' air game will come back to wear Utes "D" down the 2nd half and it's a revenge spot as Trojans lost both games facing Utes last year, once on the road in SLC and in the PAC12 Championship! USC 38 Utah 20!!
Over 61 (393) Texas @ (394) Houston (5 units) - Houston off big last second win over WV and Texas still smarting a bit after Oklahoma loss, this one is considered a road game for the Horns and Cougars can score with a decent HC in Halverson (spelling), this seems like a 42-24 type effort!!
Over 58 (347) UTSA @ (348) Florida Atlantic (5 units) - 2 teams basically at 3-3, evenly matched, both played tough non-conference schedules so far and both can score, should be an exciting game in Boca Raton, Roadrunners are a 3 pt road fav, and they've underperformed all year!!
Over 50 (371) Texas Tech @ (372) BYU (5 units) - BYU smarting after only racking up 11 points at TCU last week, TT can score, their "D" is a big question mark, this is on the road in Provo and BYU is a hostile mood with their older/more mature team set out for a home win, this could go OT as well, BYU 38 TT 34!!
TOTAL OF THE YEAR: Over 40 (407) Northwestern @ (408) Nebraska (10 units) - Big Red holdovers from '22, there are a very few of them, have revenge on their mind and want a Bowl game this year, as Nebraska got embarassed overseas last year vs NW and want this game badly, clear weather conditions with a slight wind near 70 degrees, NW has been able to score some points and narrowly escaped a BDC vs Howard last week and they put up points vs Minnesota a game which Nebraska was up on the road in week 1 and lost by 3 at Minnesota, Huskers racked up 28 pts vs LaTech and 35 vs Illini, They can score 42 by themselves vs NW and they'll probably give up at least 14, so looking at 56 points here!! BIG10 network game! I'll be watching!! GLE!!!
Sweetheart teaser 13 pt (1 unit to win 4.25 units)
- Mississippi State +19 1/2 (395) Mississippi State @ (396) Arkansas
- Utah (#11)+20 (381) Utah @ (382) USC
- Over 24 (357) Akron @ (358) Bowling Green
- Over 30 1/2(359) Buffalo @ (360) Kent State
- Over 30 (367) Eastern Michigan @ (368) Northern Illinois
- Houston+36 1/2 (393) Texas @ (394) Houston
- Virginia +36 1/2 (329) Virginia @ (330) North Carolina
- BYU +16 (371) Texas Tech @ (372) BYU
- Michigan State +36 1/2 (337) Michigan @ (338) Michigan State
- Arizona State +40 (383) Arizona State @ (384) Washington
- UCLA (#18) -4 (379) UCLA @ (380) Stanford
Miss St +6 1/2 - for me this is a pick'em game, one possession type.
Utah +7 - USC still gives up tons of points, Utah better of the 2 defensively, only worry would be how Utes played the Beavers
Over 37 Akron/BG (5 units) - Falcons can score, Akron not shy about giving up points
Over 43 1/2 Buffalo/Kent (5 units) - Another scenario where Kent is not shy about giving up points, Buffalo has been scoring some lately and getting better
Over 43 EMU/NIU (5 units) - another no brainer for me, Huskies can score, they run the ball well and EMU
Houston +23 1/2 - Horns off a bye week, still smartin as mentioned and feel Houston can keep this within 3 TDs, with that said, that's 21 points, I'll take the extra 2 1/2
Virginia +23 1/2 - UNC off huge home win over Miami and love having their top WR playing now, just feel Cavs will try and throw a monkey wrench into those plans
BYU +3 - Cougars as a home dog in their first year in BIG12? I'll take the points vs eratic Red Raiders
Michigan St +23 1/2 - Sparty intra state rivalry, yeah off the field distractions, but let's remember this is a football game and Sparty trying to gain some sort of identity before they hire a new HC for 2024!!
Arizona State +27 (5 units) - Sun Devils had last week off, they typically play Huskies tough, Huskies off Ducks and just feel this one comes down to 2 scores!!
UCLA -16 1/2 (5 units) - Stanford got their BDC & win vs Colorado however, UCLA won't let that happen and Bruins pissed off the loss vs Beavers, Bruins will not put any brakes on and let it roll!!
Utah St +4 1/2 (5 units) - Aggies can score and SJ can give up some points, edge will be who can take advantage of turnovers and USU does and this series always decided by the team with the least turnovers, hence the play on USU!!
Over 66 USU/SJ (5 units) - upgraded play from 1 unit to 5 units!! See above statement, analysis, SJ does have +6 turnover margin!!
Over 46 Toledo/M-Oh
31-32-1,-4.2, 1 unit sides play
20-18, +.2, -1.2, 1 unit totals play
12-11, -.5, 5 unit sides play
14-15-2, -13.0, 5 unit totals play
0-1, -1.1, 1 unit 7 pt teaser play
3-4, -11.5, 5 unit 7 pt teaser play
6-3, +13.5, 5 unit LIVE plays
2-1, +.90, 1 unit LIVE Plays
10-0, +50.0, 5 unit 2H Plays
3-5, -2.5, 1 unit 2H Plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit Live
0-1, -5.0, MONEYLINE
0-2, -2.0, Sweetheart Teaser
............Total of the Year
0-1, LOSS, Colorado +21 1/2, 9/23/23, ORE 45 COL 6, -11.0...Game of the Year
WON.....102.....LOSS.....94.....PUSH.....3....., +18.8 units, as of 8/26/23 (units won corrected as of 9/24/23 from 9/16/23)