Thurs - Friday, March 27-28
Florida -3 (3 units)
Florida -210 (3 units)
OVER 136 1/2 Baylor/Wisconsin (1 unit)
San Diego State +8 (1 unit)
Over 146 Connecticut/Iowa State (1 unit)
Iowa State -1? (1 unit)
Michigan State -2 (3 units)
OVER 127 Michigan State/Virginia (5 units)
OVER 134 Tennessee/Michigan (5 units)
New Management System format, 3/18/2014
1 unit.....12-10-1, +1.0
3 unit.....4-4-1, -1.2
5 unit.....3-0, +15.0
10 unit...
WON...19...LOSS..14...PUSH....2..+14.8, since 3/18/2014.
Ok, my 2 cents worth on my picks for Thursday.
First, Florida. Why Florida? Hmmm.. SEC undefeated season? Does that have any weight here? SEC schedule strength higher than PAC12? Yeah. UCLA beat how many teams in top 25 this year? How many teams has Alford taken to the Sweet 16 or Elite 8? How many teams has Billy Donovan taken to the Sweet 16 and Elite 8? How many seniors have played for the Gators in their run the last 4 years? UCLA's bench has how many experienced players in the Sweet 16? Guard matchups and Defense matchups favor Florida. Florida on the year
17-2 on the road, averaging 67 and allow 58 UCLA on the road is
12-6, average 77 and while allow 71, no wins on the road vs Top 25 teams UCLA on the road/neutral site games average 36% hitting 3 pt fga, allow 37.1% 3 pt fga, UCLA 74 FT%, opp 69% FT, UCLA rebounds 33/8, opp 34/8, Florida hitting 36.5% 3pt, allow 33% 3 pt, FLA 64.9% FT, opp 68% FT, Florida rebounds 35/10, opp 31/9. Line opened at -5, line should have been lower at opening, Public money bet line down to -4 1/2 to as low as -4, line has since steamed back to -4 1/2 to -5 Florida at most Vegas Casinos. Opponents in NCAA tourney, UCLA beat Tulsa & SFA, FLA handled Albany a play in team and dangerous DD Dog and handled Pitt handily. Neutral site games UCLA is 7-1 on the year and Florida 7-0.
San Diego ST +8, why do I like the Aztecs? Simply this. Arizona beat SDST away when they had Ashley by 9 on the road, Aztecs return most of lineup from that game and are gelling at the right time, in the series they've played, SDSU has covered 7 of L8. Average margin in these games is less than 6 pts, line opened at -6 steamed to -8, it will fall by game time. Game played in Anaheim, San Diego not far from Anaheim and have played in the same arena many times, Arizona with a few Cally players, Fisher as a dog of 6 or more points, priceless, Miller as a fav of 6 or more this year 2-0, 20-14 as a fav overall, SDSU, 3-2 overall as an underdog this year, 0-0 as a dog more than 6 1/2 pts. SDSU is 16-3 on the road SU this year scoring 69 ppg allow 61 ppg, Zona 14-4 SU on the road, scoring 70 and allow 61. I have Zona winning by 4, I have 4 pts to play with!! Later!!
Last year in Sweet 16 of the 8 games, 6 went over, 2 went under! Average line 138 1/2 last year.
GL!!
New Management System format, 3/18/2014
1 unit.....14-11-1, +1.9
3 unit.....4-4-1, -1.2
5 unit.....4-0, +20.0
10 unit...
Teasers...1-0, +1.35
WON...23...LOSS..15...PUSH....2..
+22.05, since 3/18/2014.
opcorn2
