Wildcard...

[MrChristo]

3-1 for 70-38...

Washington +4

Early days, but anything over a FG looks very generous here.
Statistically these teams are very even, with Washington even holding a slight advantage in ypc and pass D...and, it nearly goes without saying that the Redskins schedule has been a hell of a lot tougher than Seattle's NFC West loaded joke.
Since week 1, at home, Seattle have beaten a terrible Cinci team by just 3 (7-9), LOST to NO (7-9)...beaten SL (3-13), SF (5-11), Chic (7-9), 'Zona (8-8) & Baltimore (5-11)
In fact, going purely by teams record, Seattle have faced just TWO teams all year better than the 'Skins...a 3 point loss @ Cleveland and a 21 point loss @ Pits.
Washington have been better still since Collins took over, and I think they even get the SU win here.

 

[3 Seconds]

I would completely disagree. :shrug:

First off who has Washington beaten?

Really only 1 team w/ a winning record the NYG. Yesterday's Dallas game doesnt count. That was gift-wrapped.

Big wins over the sad Dolphins & Jets by 3 points. A huge win over Zona by 2.

Now they have a short week, travel across country to play a team that has always been extremely good at home.

Just not seeing why Washington is the pick.

GL!

 

[Hooks]

How fast we forget!
Yes, the Skins weren't playing good ball early in the year, that's because they weren't FINISHING games. How many games did they lose in the 2nd. half.
The horrible death of Sean Taylor and the change at QB has totally changed this Redskins team.
I wouldn't want to play that team right now !

 

[escarzamd]

Great season MC......64%!!!

Like the 'Skins.........GL and Happy '08!

 

[AR182]

3-1 for 70-38...

Washington +4

Early days, but anything over a FG looks very generous here.
Statistically these teams are very even, with Washington even holding a slight advantage in ypc and pass D...and, it nearly goes without saying that the Redskins schedule has been a hell of a lot tougher than Seattle's NFC West loaded joke.
Since week 1, at home, Seattle have beaten a terrible Cinci team by just 3 (7-9), LOST to NO (7-9)...beaten SL (3-13), SF (5-11), Chic (7-9), 'Zona (8-8) & Baltimore (5-11)
In fact, going purely by teams record, Seattle have faced just TWO teams all year better than the 'Skins...a 3 point loss @ Cleveland and a 21 point loss @ Pits.
Washington have been better still since Collins took over, and I think they even get the SU win here.

agree with the pick....good luck & congrats on an outstanding year..

 

[gardenweasel]

3-1 for 70-38...

Washington +4

Early days, but anything over a FG looks very generous here.
Statistically these teams are very even, with Washington even holding a slight advantage in ypc and pass D...and, it nearly goes without saying that the Redskins schedule has been a hell of a lot tougher than Seattle's NFC West loaded joke.
Since week 1, at home, Seattle have beaten a terrible Cinci team by just 3 (7-9), LOST to NO (7-9)...beaten SL (3-13), SF (5-11), Chic (7-9), 'Zona (8-8) & Baltimore (5-11)
In fact, going purely by teams record, Seattle have faced just TWO teams all year better than the 'Skins...a 3 point loss @ Cleveland and a 21 point loss @ Pits.
Washington have been better still since Collins took over, and I think they even get the SU win here.

i agree 100%,my friend.....

btw....happy new year,you lil` `roo,you.....:thumb:

 

[MrChristo]

Thanks guys. :toast:

Certainly hope everyone made it into 2008 all happy and safe. :00hour

(2008 Man, does it feel like I'm gettin' old!)

Jax @ Steelers over 38.5

The Jags haven't had an under since Gerrard went down mid-game @ Indi...a whole 11 weeks ago!!
During that stretch they have yet to score less than 24 points, including 29 @ Pits (wk. 15) and 25 @ Indi in wk. 13.
I do think they can be scored on tho...they've had a very soft schedule. The 4 teams they've played in the top 12 for scoring put up 22 (Pits), 28 (Indi), 17 (SD and Houston at home)...Houston 41 away last week, not that that really counts.
Steelers have scored less than 21 at home just once, and that was the 3-0 bog game v. Miami.
Weather ahead looks to be ok, so no reason not to see points here.

NYG @ TB under 39.5

Pretty sure this total has been overblown by a couple of very high scoring games by both teams late, but I think it will be a low scoring match-up.
Two pretty good D's...in fact Indi and Pits are the only better pass D's (ypp), so the bll should spend plenty of time on the ground.
Tampa's home D is better still, they allow 13.5 ppg and more than 14 just one time all season!...That was 24 to Jax, but held them to just 12 FD's, Gerrard to 7/16 for 100, and 7 of the point came from an INT.
NY D has been very good aswell...a couple of games look bad (Jets and Minni) but 35 combined D/ST points in those 2...
...the actual Giants defense has allowed more than 22 to just 3 teams...all of which are in the top 4 for scoring! (Dallas, GB and NE).
Two solid pass D's, two teams that run nearly 50% of the time anyway, one jittery Eli and hopefully zero D/ST scores should see this one under.

(Although I might hold out on this one, hopefully to grab a 40 somewhere.)

Good Luck all

 

[bake2252]

Always appreciate your picks Mr. Christo. Tough to go against the skins these days, it was only a few weeks ago that everyone on TV was touting the vikings and that no one would want to play them in the playoffs... that is until the skins demolished them and earned their way into the playoffs. Good luck to you.

 

[Dizzayton]

These playoffs should be interesting, especially the NFC playoffs where anything can happen. As far as the AFC, I don't expect to see many surprises. The NYG/TB game should be a good one. Talk about a pressure game for Eli Manning....WOW! Giants have the players to win if Eli plays well. But the smart money is likely that he fails and Tampa wins by 10+. Good luck on your picks MC and congrats on probably the best NFL season I have ever seen recorded on this website.

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

congrats for ur great season Mr. Christo... all the best this POs !!


vicc

 

[MrChristo]

Going to do something I've never had much success doing...but found a great line at Centrebet, when everywhere else is on the way up...

Washington @ Seattle over 39.5

Seattle defense has allowed less than 19 in just 6 games all season...

...Balt (24th in scoring, and a mess late!)
...Carolina (26th in scoring. 29th in total offense...in a game they LOST!)
...San Fran (twice. Dead last in scoring and total O)
...SL (28th in scoring and 24th total O)

...and Tampa in the first game of the season where the Bucs moved the ball well enough but just couldn't score.

They gave up 23 to Chicago, who av. the same ppg as Wash...and 27 to NO who av. about 3 ppg more.

They've played 3 comparable D's to the 'Skins tho, scored 20 v. Tampa, 27 at home v. Baltimore before calling off the dogs in the 3rd, and 28 @ Philli.
...and do av. over 27 ppg at home.
I think they will come out throwing aswell, which should be good for some points either way.
Wouldn't take this above 40, but 39.5 is very handy indeed.


A big thankyou again to everyone... :00x27 (haha. I do like that!...I mean, it's no popcorn, but still...)

I like the way Coughlan has been talking about Eli this week, Dizz...basically emphasizing that he doesn't have to make silly throws (that's what "win the game" means in coach speak! )...
...I can see a very conservative game plan from, well, both teams, but esp. NYG here.
Jacobs gets 25+ touches and Eli makes a pass or two down in the red zone if need be.

 

[moe777]

gl cristo,,love the skinz myself this wek

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

How do you get Utah out of Seattle? I thought I was in the NBA forum looking at a 1st quarter total for a second there. :mj07:

GL with your picks. And I agree, Seattle will throw the ball A LOT because they aren't going to have much success on the ground Saturday.

 

[MrChristo]

How do you get Utah out of Seattle? I thought I was in the NBA forum looking at a 1st quarter total for a second there. :mj07:

GL with your picks. And I agree, Seattle will throw the ball A LOT because they aren't going to have much success on the ground Saturday.

lol! Ooooopppppsssss. Fixed now!

I can't even come up with a totally unrational explaination for that one!!

(The way I'm going in NBA I'd take Washington/Utah over 39.5 for the game and still lose! :mj07: )

Oh, and Dizzayton, you're only saying those things 'cause you're still drunk on rum

 

[Killrus]

Man, SEA 7-1 at home...WAS going on the road...
Tough call...yikes...


Good luck this weekend...

 

[FirstnGoal]

Like them all but we're bumping heads on the Seahawks/Skins game.

Good Luck!

You've had a super year!

 

[Skins]

I would completely disagree. :shrug:

First off who has Washington beaten?

Really only 1 team w/ a winning record the NYG. Yesterday's Dallas game doesnt count. That was gift-wrapped.

Big wins over the sad Dolphins & Jets by 3 points. A huge win over Zona by 2.

Now they have a short week, travel across country to play a team that has always been extremely good at home.

Just not seeing why Washington is the pick.

GL!

I saw a draft order yesterday in USA Today that listed Opp records for each of the 31 teams. Only Philly has played a schedule that has teams with better record than Washington....so not sure how that jives with your analysis....

Ironically, the Patriots had one of the easier schedules on this basis.

 

[MrChristo]

I bought back the Washingto over due to weather concerns.

Took under 40.5 ...

...3 of the 'Skins games have ended on 40 in reg. this season...sneaky chance for the middle hit!? :0corn

Poor throwing conditions have to favour the vsitors here don't they?! :shrug:

 

[rusty]

I saw a draft order yesterday in USA Today that listed Opp records for each of the 31 teams. Only Philly has played a schedule that has teams with better record than Washington....so not sure how that jives with your analysis....

Ironically, the Patriots had one of the easier schedules on this basis.

Hows that possible when they beat Dallas,Indy,Pitt.,Clev.,S.D.,Plus beat all the teams in Skins division including them.

Trust me,im rooting,and prob. betting Skins all way.But please schedule is no comparision!!

 

[Dizzayton]

Good calls on the totals. I am passing on this SD game myself. Don't like the spread but don't like Titans either. Eli and Giants played very well. They could be dangerous.