Got most of these lines earlier in the week...
...not 100% sure why the Det/NO total dropped there for a while? :shrug:
KC v. Miami under 40
20+ mph winds, and a temp (with wind chill) of -9 F
Miami have topped 40 just once in the last 6 weeks anyway, solid D, low scoring offense.
I said last week the honeymoon was over for Thigpen and the KC offense. A lucky 20 @ Oakland (7 from a blocked FG)...17 @ Denver, and less than 300 yards last week for 21...all 3 teams 25th or worse in total D...Miami are 11th.
Tough to see both of these teams hitting 20 in these conditions.
Tease: Cinci @ Cleveland under 38.5/GB @ Chic under 47
25+ mph winds, snow and 8 F forecast in Cleveland.
Clevelan offense has scored 6, 6, 9 & 3 in their last 4 games!
Cinci haven't topped 23 all season!!..Fitzpatrick hasn't topped 21 even.
First meeting was 12-20...
...32 or so is a bit low for my liking, but 38 looks a fair way off.
Wind chill of -8 F @ Chicago on Monday.
Always a tough slog between these teams, and you have to go back 9 games to 2003 to the last time these two topped 47!
Again, pretty tough to move the ball when you can't feel it!
Buffalo +7
League: 1-14 (Av. LOSS 3.7) any home fav off a 7+ ats loss as away 7+ dog, if opp last won ats on the road.
0-12 (Av. LOSS 6.1) (2-10 SU!!) if opp had 30+ mins TOP.
Denver haven't won a home game by more than 7 all season, and that was against an awful KC.
Buffalo had 32-187 yards on the ground last week against a very good Jets run D...so they should have another massive game here against the equal worst run D in the NFL @ 4.9 ypc. (Even wthout Lynch maybe)
I reckon the Bills are a big chance to win this one SU, but the 7 was too many to resist.
Detroit v. NO over 50
Detroit have actually played some good D's recently...
Last 8 games have been against 6 of the top 10 for ponts allowed!!
They've still av'd nearly 19 ppg in those games and Orlovski is getting better, and finding out how fun it can be throwing it in Calvin Johnson's direction!
NO are 25th and give up over 25 ppg.
They do score their butts off tho...totalled 50 or more in 6 of last 7 games, with just less @ Tampa.
2 BAD D's, in a dome...should be balls flying everywhere, and plenty of points.
Pittsburgh +1.5
Got a great line in this game, but would take Pits as favs...think they win by 3 or more.
League: 1-15 SU! (Av. loss 5.3...the one win was in OT!) home (-3 to +3) ff a SU loss as away fav, if the total is <36 [Tenn]
0-10 ats and SU (Av. loss 6.2) if they had <30 mins TOP.
Titans run D has been struggling lately...worse now with Vanden Bosch an Hayneworth both out...so definate advantage to Pits D, even on the road, imo.
Rothlisberger keeps showing they are never out of the game, even down late, but with 2 pretty even offenses, I just thnk the Steelers are the better team here.
Washington v. Philli under 38.5
Sticking to the Redskin under train...0-9-1 under last 10 as Portis is hurting and frustrated, Cambell can't throw down field and the O-line is beat up big time.
23-17 first meeting, but 7 from a punt return...could be windy...Washington have topped 37 one time in their last 9...
...2 top 5 defenses...I think this one will be a slog.
Tampa v. SD under 43 (1.89)
Chargers have toppe 43 just one time in their last 10 games...LT stuggling (just 39 yards v. a horrible KC run D), and won't get any favours here against the Bucs, allowing just 70 yards @ 3.3 at home on the season!
Bucs allow just 12 ppg at home too...home games av. just 36 ppg...even NO was a 23-20 game, so 43 here looks a lot.
Good Luck all
...not 100% sure why the Det/NO total dropped there for a while? :shrug:
KC v. Miami under 40
20+ mph winds, and a temp (with wind chill) of -9 F
Miami have topped 40 just once in the last 6 weeks anyway, solid D, low scoring offense.
I said last week the honeymoon was over for Thigpen and the KC offense. A lucky 20 @ Oakland (7 from a blocked FG)...17 @ Denver, and less than 300 yards last week for 21...all 3 teams 25th or worse in total D...Miami are 11th.
Tough to see both of these teams hitting 20 in these conditions.
Tease: Cinci @ Cleveland under 38.5/GB @ Chic under 47
25+ mph winds, snow and 8 F forecast in Cleveland.
Clevelan offense has scored 6, 6, 9 & 3 in their last 4 games!
Cinci haven't topped 23 all season!!..Fitzpatrick hasn't topped 21 even.
First meeting was 12-20...
...32 or so is a bit low for my liking, but 38 looks a fair way off.
Wind chill of -8 F @ Chicago on Monday.
Always a tough slog between these teams, and you have to go back 9 games to 2003 to the last time these two topped 47!
Again, pretty tough to move the ball when you can't feel it!
Buffalo +7
League: 1-14 (Av. LOSS 3.7) any home fav off a 7+ ats loss as away 7+ dog, if opp last won ats on the road.
0-12 (Av. LOSS 6.1) (2-10 SU!!) if opp had 30+ mins TOP.
Denver haven't won a home game by more than 7 all season, and that was against an awful KC.
Buffalo had 32-187 yards on the ground last week against a very good Jets run D...so they should have another massive game here against the equal worst run D in the NFL @ 4.9 ypc. (Even wthout Lynch maybe)
I reckon the Bills are a big chance to win this one SU, but the 7 was too many to resist.
Detroit v. NO over 50
Detroit have actually played some good D's recently...
Last 8 games have been against 6 of the top 10 for ponts allowed!!
They've still av'd nearly 19 ppg in those games and Orlovski is getting better, and finding out how fun it can be throwing it in Calvin Johnson's direction!
NO are 25th and give up over 25 ppg.
They do score their butts off tho...totalled 50 or more in 6 of last 7 games, with just less @ Tampa.
2 BAD D's, in a dome...should be balls flying everywhere, and plenty of points.
Pittsburgh +1.5
Got a great line in this game, but would take Pits as favs...think they win by 3 or more.
League: 1-15 SU! (Av. loss 5.3...the one win was in OT!) home (-3 to +3) ff a SU loss as away fav, if the total is <36 [Tenn]
0-10 ats and SU (Av. loss 6.2) if they had <30 mins TOP.
Titans run D has been struggling lately...worse now with Vanden Bosch an Hayneworth both out...so definate advantage to Pits D, even on the road, imo.
Rothlisberger keeps showing they are never out of the game, even down late, but with 2 pretty even offenses, I just thnk the Steelers are the better team here.
Washington v. Philli under 38.5
Sticking to the Redskin under train...0-9-1 under last 10 as Portis is hurting and frustrated, Cambell can't throw down field and the O-line is beat up big time.
23-17 first meeting, but 7 from a punt return...could be windy...Washington have topped 37 one time in their last 9...
...2 top 5 defenses...I think this one will be a slog.
Tampa v. SD under 43 (1.89)
Chargers have toppe 43 just one time in their last 10 games...LT stuggling (just 39 yards v. a horrible KC run D), and won't get any favours here against the Bucs, allowing just 70 yards @ 3.3 at home on the season!
Bucs allow just 12 ppg at home too...home games av. just 36 ppg...even NO was a 23-20 game, so 43 here looks a lot.
Good Luck all
