10-10 (+0.79)
Zona @ Jets under 45.5 (1.91)
League: 3-15 under (1-17 this no!...av. total 38.3...av. score 31.2) away (-3 to +3) off a 7+ SU (and ats) loss as any away dog with <28 mins TOP, if opp is off a 7+ ats loss. [Zona]
0-9 (Av. score 26.5!!) if non-Div.
League: 0-8 (Av. total 42.1...av. score 33.7) home (-3 to +3) total of 40.5+, off a 10+ ats loss as a 7+ dog with <28 mins TOP if opp is off any ats loss. [Jets]
(Denv 22-19 Min +3, 41.5 2007.)
Inflated line from a prime time scorcher?! :scared
A 77 point explosion, but 2 TD's direct from TO's, and Jets struggled for only just over 300 total yards...41 on the ground!
Other than that, the two teams have been comfortably under this number in 5 of 6 games so far.
2 big name QB's should give way to the ground game this week...looks a lot of points.
TB -1 (1.95)
League: 4-16-1 (Av. loss 6.0) away (-3 to +3) off a 7+ ats loss a home 3+ dog, if opp is off any ats win. [GB]
1-11-1 (Av. loss 8.0) if opp won ats with <100 yards rushing.
Dallas showed up GB's main problem last week...and it isn't a rookie QB.
A run defense allowing 5.7 ypc...Dallas went for 217...
...the 2nd ranked TB run game (5.5 ypc) should have a monster game.
Either way, Griese threw for over 400 last week...Bucs look more balanced on offense, and clearly have the better D...playing at home. :shrug:
Jax -7 (1.94) and under 43 (1.93)
League: 3-14 (2-14-1 this no...av. loss 20.5!) away 7+ dog, total 40+, off any ats loss as away dog, if opp had 150+ rushing yards. (Denv 3-23 @ SD @ +9, SL 7-35 @ Dallas +13, 2007) [Houst]
0-6 (Av. loss 19.5) inside Div.
League: 4-17 under (Av. total 42.5...av. score 36.0) Div 7+ fav, total 40+ off any SU win as a 3+ dog. [Jax]
1-10 under (Av. score 33.5) if opp is off any ats loss. (NO 22-16 Atl @ 42.5, 2007)
Wasn't sure which way to go with this, but reckon there's far more chance of a 2-0 than the other way.
Terrible spot for the Texans, scored 12 and 19 so far and 3rd straight game on the road, against another tough D.
Not entirely sure that the Jags can take full advantage. A spluttering offense has scored just 3 TD's to 7 FG's...
...of course Houston giving away points for fun, but surely a 27-13 wouldn't surprise too many. :shrug:
Minni @ Tenn over 36 (1.99)
League: 17-3 over (19-1 this no!..Av. total 43.5...av. score 52.6) non-Div 3+ fav off a 14+ ats win as home 3+ fav with <30 mins TOP. [Tenn]
(SD 17-35 Min @ 41.5...2007)
12-0 this no. (Av. score 55.0!) if on the road next week.
Sure, two solid D's, but also 2 aggresive, turn over causing D's, should see a score or two...
...and I think this line is based on these teams a month ago, not now they both have genuine downfield passing threats.
Collins has scored 24 (in a holwing gale!!) and 31, Frerotte threw for over 7.2 ypp and a TD last week.
Anything less than 37 looks low to me.
Dallas v. Washington over 46 (1.98)
League: 22-5 over (Av. total 47.5...av. score 56.4) 10+ fav, total 44.5+ off a 7+ ats win as any away dog. [Dal]
10-0 (Av. score 59.0!) if they had 32+ mins TOP.
Dallas scoring at will...have eased up on both Cleveland and GB with long, grinding drives...so can the 'Skins keep it close?
They've scored 29 and 24 in thier last 2 and Campbell looks to be growing into Zorn's system, 7ypp, no picks, QB rating of over 100.
Almost identical lines last year @ Dallas saw a game of 28-23, looking for something similar this time around.
Carolina v. Atlanta under 39.5 (1.91)
Riding a trend I've gone with for the last couple of years...
...Carolina 0-12 under (Av. total 39.6...av. score 33.0) as a Div home fav. (Since 2002...Fox era)
Conservative coaching rules for the Cats...better still we have an Atlanta team who will try to establish a ground game after scoring just 9 in Ryan's only road game so far.
Carolina offense has been far from stella anyway...
Good Luck all
Zona @ Jets under 45.5 (1.91)
League: 3-15 under (1-17 this no!...av. total 38.3...av. score 31.2) away (-3 to +3) off a 7+ SU (and ats) loss as any away dog with <28 mins TOP, if opp is off a 7+ ats loss. [Zona]
0-9 (Av. score 26.5!!) if non-Div.
League: 0-8 (Av. total 42.1...av. score 33.7) home (-3 to +3) total of 40.5+, off a 10+ ats loss as a 7+ dog with <28 mins TOP if opp is off any ats loss. [Jets]
(Denv 22-19 Min +3, 41.5 2007.)
Inflated line from a prime time scorcher?! :scared
A 77 point explosion, but 2 TD's direct from TO's, and Jets struggled for only just over 300 total yards...41 on the ground!
Other than that, the two teams have been comfortably under this number in 5 of 6 games so far.
2 big name QB's should give way to the ground game this week...looks a lot of points.
TB -1 (1.95)
League: 4-16-1 (Av. loss 6.0) away (-3 to +3) off a 7+ ats loss a home 3+ dog, if opp is off any ats win. [GB]
1-11-1 (Av. loss 8.0) if opp won ats with <100 yards rushing.
Dallas showed up GB's main problem last week...and it isn't a rookie QB.
A run defense allowing 5.7 ypc...Dallas went for 217...
...the 2nd ranked TB run game (5.5 ypc) should have a monster game.
Either way, Griese threw for over 400 last week...Bucs look more balanced on offense, and clearly have the better D...playing at home. :shrug:
Jax -7 (1.94) and under 43 (1.93)
League: 3-14 (2-14-1 this no...av. loss 20.5!) away 7+ dog, total 40+, off any ats loss as away dog, if opp had 150+ rushing yards. (Denv 3-23 @ SD @ +9, SL 7-35 @ Dallas +13, 2007) [Houst]
0-6 (Av. loss 19.5) inside Div.
League: 4-17 under (Av. total 42.5...av. score 36.0) Div 7+ fav, total 40+ off any SU win as a 3+ dog. [Jax]
1-10 under (Av. score 33.5) if opp is off any ats loss. (NO 22-16 Atl @ 42.5, 2007)
Wasn't sure which way to go with this, but reckon there's far more chance of a 2-0 than the other way.
Terrible spot for the Texans, scored 12 and 19 so far and 3rd straight game on the road, against another tough D.
Not entirely sure that the Jags can take full advantage. A spluttering offense has scored just 3 TD's to 7 FG's...
...of course Houston giving away points for fun, but surely a 27-13 wouldn't surprise too many. :shrug:
Minni @ Tenn over 36 (1.99)
League: 17-3 over (19-1 this no!..Av. total 43.5...av. score 52.6) non-Div 3+ fav off a 14+ ats win as home 3+ fav with <30 mins TOP. [Tenn]
(SD 17-35 Min @ 41.5...2007)
12-0 this no. (Av. score 55.0!) if on the road next week.
Sure, two solid D's, but also 2 aggresive, turn over causing D's, should see a score or two...
...and I think this line is based on these teams a month ago, not now they both have genuine downfield passing threats.
Collins has scored 24 (in a holwing gale!!) and 31, Frerotte threw for over 7.2 ypp and a TD last week.
Anything less than 37 looks low to me.
Dallas v. Washington over 46 (1.98)
League: 22-5 over (Av. total 47.5...av. score 56.4) 10+ fav, total 44.5+ off a 7+ ats win as any away dog. [Dal]
10-0 (Av. score 59.0!) if they had 32+ mins TOP.
Dallas scoring at will...have eased up on both Cleveland and GB with long, grinding drives...so can the 'Skins keep it close?
They've scored 29 and 24 in thier last 2 and Campbell looks to be growing into Zorn's system, 7ypp, no picks, QB rating of over 100.
Almost identical lines last year @ Dallas saw a game of 28-23, looking for something similar this time around.
Carolina v. Atlanta under 39.5 (1.91)
Riding a trend I've gone with for the last couple of years...
...Carolina 0-12 under (Av. total 39.6...av. score 33.0) as a Div home fav. (Since 2002...Fox era)
Conservative coaching rules for the Cats...better still we have an Atlanta team who will try to establish a ground game after scoring just 9 in Ryan's only road game so far.
Carolina offense has been far from stella anyway...
Good Luck all
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